Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions: 2015 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-03, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 27–23 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +10.73 total EPA, and +7.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.21 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+73.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 82-R.Rodgers for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +15.21 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.90 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +10.73 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
3. 3 G. Tate · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +5.81 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.68 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Bell · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +1.32 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
6. 6 E. Ebron · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +1.12 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Fuller · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +0.60 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Crockett · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +0.43 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Detroit Lions — E. Ebron (M. Stafford pass) (Q1 46:53)
• Detroit Lions — C. Johnson (M. Stafford pass) (Q1 46:08)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Starks (Q3 20:53)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 19:12)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Rodgers (Q4 3:12)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Rodgers (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 0:00)

Field goals

• Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q1 53:53)
• Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q3 23:58)
• Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q4 7:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 17–0. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the GB 33 (Q1 53:53) — (8:53) 5-M.Prater 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 3 (Q1 46:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 85-E.Ebron for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [21-H.Clinton-Dix].; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 46:50) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 17 (Q1 46:08) — (1:08) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 81-C.Johnson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 46:02).

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–3. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the GB 16 (Q3 23:58) — (8:58) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 8 (Q3 20:53); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q3 20:44) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 8 (Q3 19:12) — (4:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q3 19:06) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 20–3. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the GB 24 (Q4 7:11) — (7:11) 5-M.Prater 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 17 (Q4 3:12) — (3:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q4 3:04) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 80 (Q4 3:04) — (3:04) PENALTY on DET-66-L.Waddle, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DET 20 - No Play.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 61 (Q4 0:00) — (:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 82-R.Rodgers for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:00) — (:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 82-R.Rodgers for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +73.6% · EPA +6.87]
• Detroit Lions (Q4 2:54) — (2:54) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 13-T.Jones to DET 47 for 29 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix). [WPA +16.3% · EPA +1.76]
• Detroit Lions (Q4 0:29) — (:29) 6-S.Martin punts 35 yards to GB 21, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, fair catch by 33-M.Hyde. [WPA -12.5% · EPA -0.23]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 3:12) — (3:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.6% · EPA +3.80]
• Detroit Lions (Q3 20:44) — (5:44) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DET 12 for -8 yards (56-J.Peppers). FUMBLES (56-J.Peppers), RECOVERED by GB-47-J.Ryan at DET 12. 47-J.Ryan to DET 12 for no gain (87-B.Pettigrew). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -6.44]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q4 0:00) — (:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 82-R.Rodgers for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +73.6% · EPA +6.87]
• Detroit Lions (Q3 20:44) — (5:44) 9-M.Stafford sacked at DET 12 for -8 yards (56-J.Peppers). FUMBLES (56-J.Peppers), RECOVERED by GB-47-J.Ryan at DET 12. 47-J.Ryan to DET 12 for no gain (87-B.Pettigrew). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -6.44]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:22) — (1:22) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle intended for 89-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 27-G.Quin at GB 41. 27-G.Quin to GB 17 for 24 yards (30-J.Kuhn). [WPA -6.4% · EPA -5.10]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 42:19) — (12:19) 2-M.Crosby 41 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. [WPA -2.4% · EPA -4.23]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 45 dropbacks · 53.3% completion · +7.4% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +10.73 total EPA
• M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 41 dropbacks · 56.1% completion · +0.2% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -1.00 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.02 vs -0.08), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Detroit Lions: 13 drives, -6.82 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 13 drives, -1.61 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• R. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q1 53:53 · GB 33 · Score 0-3
   (8:53) 5-M.Prater 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
2. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 46:53 · GB 3 · Score 0-9
   (1:53) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 85-E.Ebron for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [21-H.Clinton-Dix].
3. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 46:50 · GB 15 · Score 0-10
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
4. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 46:08 · GB 17 · Score 0-16
   (1:08) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 81-C.Johnson for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 46:02 · GB 15 · Score 0-17
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin. PENALTY on GB-29-C.Hayward, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
6. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q3 23:58 · GB 16 · Score 0-20
   (8:58) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
7. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 20:53 · DET 8 · Score 6-20
   (5:53) (Shotgun) 44-J.Starks right tackle to DET 5 for 3 yards (42-I.Abdul-Quddus). FUMBLES (42-I.Abdul-Quddus), recovered by GB-18-R.Cobb at DET 0. TOUCHDOWN.
8. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 20:44 · DET 15 · Score 7-20
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 19:12 · DET 8 · Score 13-20
   (4:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 19:06 · DET 15 · Score 14-20
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
11. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 7:11 · GB 24 · Score 14-23
    (7:11) 5-M.Prater 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 3:12 · DET 17 · Score 20-23
    (3:12) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles left end for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 3:04 · DET 15 · Score 21-23
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
14. Green Bay Packers TD (+7) — Q4 3:04 · GB 80 · Score 21-23
    (3:04) PENALTY on DET-66-L.Waddle, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DET 20 - No Play.
15. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 0:00 · DET 61 · Score 27-23
    (:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 82-R.Rodgers for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.