Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions: 2006 Week 3 Recap

Game story

In Week 3 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-09-24, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 31–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Kitna (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +0.41 total EPA, and +0.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Favre (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.16 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-22.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Detroit Lions changed the game: (2:12) 8-J.Kitna pass short right intended for 17-C.Bradford INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Manuel at DET 29. 22-M.Manuel for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Favre · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +18.16 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Williams · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +10.30 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.47 EPA/play
3. 3 G. Jennings · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +10.14 total EPA · 3 snaps · +3.38 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Green · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.92 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Bryson · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +4.84 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.42 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Franks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.01 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Campbell · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.19 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Jones · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.07 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — G. Jennings (B. Favre pass) (Q1 52:16)
• Detroit Lions — S. Bryson (J. Kitna pass) (Q1 48:58)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Manuel (Q1 47:12)
• Detroit Lions — R. Williams (J. Kitna pass) (Q1 45:03)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Driver (B. Favre pass) (Q3 21:52)
• Detroit Lions — K. Jones (Q3 18:28)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Green (B. Favre pass) (Q4 12:25)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — D. Rayner (Q2 37:54)
• Detroit Lions — J. Hanson (Q4 5:28)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 14–14. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 75 (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) 4-B.Favre pass short right to 85-G.Jennings for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q1 52:03) — 16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 37 (Q1 48:58) — (3:58) 8-J.Kitna pass short right to 24-S.Bryson for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 48:51) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 78 (Q1 47:12) — (2:12) 8-J.Kitna pass short right intended for 17-C.Bradford INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Manuel at DET 29. 22-M.Manuel for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q1 47:05) — 16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 42 (Q1 45:03) — (:03) 8-J.Kitna pass deep right to 11-R.Williams for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 45:00) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the DET 6 (Q2 37:54) — (7:54) 16-D.Rayner 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 5 (Q3 21:52) — (6:52) 4-B.Favre pass short right to 80-D.Driver for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q3 21:44) — 16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 5 (Q3 18:28) — (3:28) 34-K.Jones right tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q3 18:24) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 10 (Q4 12:25) — (12:25) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass short middle to 30-A.Green for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q4 12:19) — 16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the GB 22 (Q4 5:28) — (5:28) 4-J.Hanson 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Detroit Lions (Q1 47:12) — (2:12) 8-J.Kitna pass short right intended for 17-C.Bradford INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Manuel at DET 29. 22-M.Manuel for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -22.2% · EPA -8.13]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) 4-B.Favre pass short right to 85-G.Jennings for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +20.9% · EPA +7.27]
• Detroit Lions (Q1 45:03) — (:03) 8-J.Kitna pass deep right to 11-R.Williams for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.1% · EPA +3.78]
• Detroit Lions (Q1 48:58) — (3:58) 8-J.Kitna pass short right to 24-S.Bryson for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.3% · EPA +4.10]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 25:00) — (10:00) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass short right to 30-A.Green ran ob at GB 45 for 13 yards. PENALTY on DET-98-K.Edwards, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced at GB 45. [WPA +11.7% · EPA +3.22]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Detroit Lions (Q1 47:12) — (2:12) 8-J.Kitna pass short right intended for 17-C.Bradford INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Manuel at DET 29. 22-M.Manuel for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -22.2% · EPA -8.13]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) 4-B.Favre pass short right to 85-G.Jennings for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +20.9% · EPA +7.27]
• Detroit Lions (Q1 48:58) — (3:58) 8-J.Kitna pass short right to 24-S.Bryson for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.3% · EPA +4.10]
• Detroit Lions (Q1 45:03) — (:03) 8-J.Kitna pass deep right to 11-R.Williams for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.1% · EPA +3.78]

Quarterback report card

J.Kitna led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Kitna (Detroit Lions) · 47 dropbacks · 53.2% completion · +0.9% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.41 total EPA
• B.Favre (Green Bay Packers) · 36 dropbacks · 69.4% completion · +6.0% CPOE · +0.50 EPA/play · +18.16 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.10 vs -0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Detroit Lions: 13 drives, -3.22 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +8.15 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• B. Favre (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Favre (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 52:16 · DET 75 · Score 6-0
   (7:16) 4-B.Favre pass short right to 85-G.Jennings for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 52:03 · DET 2 · Score 7-0
   16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
3. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 48:58 · GB 37 · Score 7-6
   (3:58) 8-J.Kitna pass short right to 24-S.Bryson for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 48:51 · GB 2 · Score 7-7
   4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 47:12 · GB 78 · Score 13-7
   (2:12) 8-J.Kitna pass short right intended for 17-C.Bradford INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Manuel at DET 29. 22-M.Manuel for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 47:05 · DET 2 · Score 14-7
   16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
7. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 45:03 · GB 42 · Score 14-13
   (:03) 8-J.Kitna pass deep right to 11-R.Williams for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 45:00 · GB 2 · Score 14-14
   4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
9. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 37:54 · DET 6 · Score 17-14
   (7:54) 16-D.Rayner 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 21:52 · DET 5 · Score 23-14
    (6:52) 4-B.Favre pass short right to 80-D.Driver for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 21:44 · DET 2 · Score 24-14
    16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
12. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q3 18:28 · GB 5 · Score 24-20
    (3:28) 34-K.Jones right tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q3 18:24 · GB 2 · Score 24-21
    4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
14. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 12:25 · DET 10 · Score 30-21
    (12:25) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass short middle to 30-A.Green for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 12:19 · DET 2 · Score 31-21
    16-D.Rayner extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-9-J.Ryan.
16. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 5:28 · GB 22 · Score 31-24
    (5:28) 4-J.Hanson 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.