Game story
In Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-22, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 19–17 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
R. Wilson (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +7.67 total EPA, and +15.0% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Love (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.96 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-20.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (1:52) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right intended for 83-S.Toure INTERCEPTED by 6-P.Locke at DEN 12. 6-P.Locke to DEN 26 for 14 yards (85-T.Kraft).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Love · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +10.96 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
- 2 C. Sutton · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +8.20 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
- 3 R. Wilson · Denver Broncos · Passing · +7.67 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
- 4 J. Reed · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.00 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
- 5 J. Jeudy · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.94 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
- 6 J. McLaughlin · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +2.75 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
- 7 D. Wicks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.23 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.23 EPA/play
- 8 B. Sims · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.75 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Love — GB · Passing
J. Love posted the highest total EPA (+10.96) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 34 counted snaps, they averaged +0.32 EPA per play.
The signature play (+3.96 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (8:35) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 11-J.Reed for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Denver Broncos — C. Sutton (R. Wilson pass)
- Green Bay Packers — R. Doubs (J. Love pass)
- Green Bay Packers — J. Reed (J. Love pass)
Field goals
- Denver Broncos — W. Lutz
- Denver Broncos — W. Lutz
- Denver Broncos — W. Lutz
- Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson
- Denver Broncos — W. Lutz
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the GB 13 (Q1 53:30) — (8:30) 16-W.Lutz 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..
The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 6–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the GB 10 (Q2 43:17) — (13:17) 16-W.Lutz 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the GB 17 (Q2 30:09) — (:09) 16-W.Lutz 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..
The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–7. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the DEN 11 (Q3 25:28) — (10:28) 17-A.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the GB 18 (Q3 21:22) — (6:22) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 21:17) — 16-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DEN 16 (Q3 16:53) — (1:53) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 87-R.Doubs for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q3 16:46) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..
The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DEN 4 (Q4 8:35) — (8:35) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 11-J.Reed for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q4 8:31) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the GB 34 (Q4 3:54) — (3:54) 16-W.Lutz 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 1:52) — (1:52) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep right intended for 83-S.Toure INTERCEPTED by 6-P.Locke at DEN 12. 6-P.Locke to DEN 26 for 14 yards (85-T.Kraft).
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 3:11) — (3:11) 10-J.Love pass short middle to 28-A.Dillon to DEN 44 for 29 yards (47-J.Jewell).
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 8:35) — (8:35) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 11-J.Reed for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love left tackle to DEN 40 for 4 yards (47-J.Jewell). PENALTY on GB-74-E.Jenkins, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DEN 44 - No Play.
- Denver Broncos (Q1 59:16) — (14:16) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton to GB 39 for 33 yards (37-C.Valentine).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 8:35) — (8:35) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 11-J.Reed for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Denver Broncos (Q1 59:16) — (14:16) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton to GB 39 for 33 yards (37-C.Valentine).
- Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:46) — (:46) 17-A.Carlson 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
- Denver Broncos (Q3 21:22) — (6:22) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
R.Wilson led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- R.Wilson (Denver Broncos) · 34 dropbacks · 58.8% completion · +15.0% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +7.67 total EPA
- J.Love (Green Bay Packers) · 34 dropbacks · 61.8% completion · +3.9% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +10.96 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Green Bay Packers | Denver Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.072 | +0.089 |
| Offensive success rate | 43.2% | 41.3% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.339 | +0.226 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.079 | -0.078 |
| Defensive EPA/play | -0.089 | -0.072 |
| Defensive success rate | 58.7% | 56.8% |
By the numbers
Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Green Bay Packers +0.07, Denver Broncos +0.09) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.
- Denver Broncos: 9 drives, +6.69 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
- Green Bay Packers: 9 drives, +5.83 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- J. Love (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- R. Wilson (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- J. Love (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 53:30 · GB 13 · Score 0-3
(8:30) 16-W.Lutz 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 43:17 · GB 10 · Score 0-6
(13:17) 16-W.Lutz 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:09 · GB 17 · Score 0-9
(:09) 16-W.Lutz 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 25:28 · DEN 11 · Score 3-9
(10:28) 17-A.Carlson 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 21:22 · GB 18 · Score 3-15
(6:22) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 21:17 · GB 15 · Score 3-16
16-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 16:53 · DEN 16 · Score 9-16
(1:53) 10-J.Love pass deep right to 87-R.Doubs for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 16:46 · DEN 15 · Score 10-16
17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 8:35 · DEN 4 · Score 16-16
(8:35) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 11-J.Reed for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 8:31 · DEN 15 · Score 17-16
17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. - Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 3:54 · GB 34 · Score 17-19
(3:54) 16-W.Lutz 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos?
The Denver Broncos beat the Green Bay Packers 19-17 in Week 7, 2023 on 2023-10-22.
What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos?
The final score was Green Bay Packers 17, Denver Broncos 19 (GB 17-19 DEN) in Week 7, 2023 on 2023-10-22.
What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos?
Q1: Green Bay Packers 0, Denver Broncos 3; Q2: Green Bay Packers 0, Denver Broncos 6; Q3: Green Bay Packers 10, Denver Broncos 7; Q4: Green Bay Packers 7, Denver Broncos 3; Final: Green Bay Packers 17, Denver Broncos 19.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos?
Denver Broncos touchdown — C. Sutton (R. Wilson pass) (Q3 21:22) Green Bay Packers touchdown — R. Doubs (J. Love pass) (Q3 16:53) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Reed (J. Love pass) (Q4 8:35) Denver Broncos field goal — W. Lutz (Q1 53:30, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — W. Lutz (Q2 43:17, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — W. Lutz (Q2 30:09, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — A. Carlson (Q3 25:28, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — W. Lutz (Q4 3:54, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos?
R. Wilson (Denver Broncos), 58.8% completion, +15.0% CPOE, +0.23 EPA per dropback, +7.67 total passing EPA. J. Love (Green Bay Packers), 61.8% completion, +3.9% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +10.96 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos?
J. Love (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +10.96 on passing plays. across 34 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+3.96 EPA): (8:35) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 11-J.Reed for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -20.7%.
Was Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos a close game?
Yes — the margin was 2 points. Denver Broncos won 19-17 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Green Bay Packers
Entered 2-3 Now 2-4 L
Denver Broncos
Entered 1-5 Now 2-5 W
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