Green Bay Packers vs. Carolina Panthers: 2015 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-11-08, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 37–29 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +4.25 total EPA, and -6.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Newton (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.63 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+19.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (13:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 82-J.Cotchery to GB 15 for 59 yards (33-M.Hyde).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Newton · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +8.63 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.05 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Funchess · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +5.13 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.28 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Starks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.41 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Cotchery · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.30 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +4.25 total EPA · 61 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
7. 7 G. Olsen · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.66 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Brown · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.66 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — R. Rodgers (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 46:05)
• Carolina Panthers — C. Newton (Q2 42:14)
• Carolina Panthers — G. Olsen (C. Newton pass) (Q2 38:59)
• Carolina Panthers — C. Brown (C. Newton pass) (Q2 30:49)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 29:10)
• Carolina Panthers — D. Funchess (C. Newton pass) (Q4 9:27)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Starks (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 8:04)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Rodgers (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 3:47)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q1 55:16)
• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q2 35:05)
• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q3 19:52)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the GB 2 (Q1 55:16) — (10:16) 9-G.Gano 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 1 (Q1 46:05) — (1:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 82-R.Rodgers for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q1 45:55) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 24–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q2 42:14) — (12:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 42:09) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the GB 7 (Q2 38:59) — (8:59) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 38:55) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the GB 32 (Q2 35:05) — (5:05) 9-G.Gano 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the GB 39 (Q2 30:49) — (:49) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 10-C.Brown for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-39-D.Goodson, Defensive Holding, declined.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 30:41) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 53 (Q3 29:10) — (14:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 18-R.Cobb for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 29:00) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the GB 4 (Q3 19:52) — (4:52) 9-G.Gano 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 15–7. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the GB 14 (Q4 9:27) — (9:27) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-D.Funchess for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 9:22) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 29 (Q4 8:04); Green Bay Packers registered a safety from the CAR 2 (Q4 7:54); Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q4 3:47) — (3:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 82-R.Rodgers for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [20-K.Coleman].; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 3:43) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Carolina Panthers (Q2 43:42) — (13:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 82-J.Cotchery to GB 15 for 59 yards (33-M.Hyde). [WPA +19.5% · EPA +5.26]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 3:43) — (3:43) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right intended for 19-T.Ginn INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Randall at CAR 26. 23-D.Randall to CAR 22 for 4 yards (19-T.Ginn). The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete p [WPA -13.9% · EPA -4.66]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 50:02) — (5:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams to CAR 36 for 13 yards (31-C.Tillman) [93-K.Love]. [WPA +11.6% · EPA +2.72]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 40:19) — (10:19) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle to 17-D.Funchess to GB 10 for 52 yards (23-D.Randall). [WPA +7.5% · EPA +3.00]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:57) — (2:57) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb to CAR 9 for 8 yards (25-B.Benwikere). [WPA +7.4% · EPA +2.27]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Carolina Panthers (Q2 43:42) — (13:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 82-J.Cotchery to GB 15 for 59 yards (33-M.Hyde). [WPA +19.5% · EPA +5.26]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 29:10) — (14:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 18-R.Cobb for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.0% · EPA +4.95]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 5:05) — (5:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 89-J.Jones to CAR 20 for 36 yards (24-J.Norman). [WPA +2.0% · EPA +4.75]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 30:49) — (:49) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 10-C.Brown for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-39-D.Goodson, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +1.2% · EPA +4.75]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 61 dropbacks · 41.0% completion · -6.3% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +4.25 total EPA
• C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 36 dropbacks · 41.7% completion · -5.5% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +8.63 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Carolina Panthers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.02), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Carolina Panthers: 15 drives, +4.99 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 16 drives, -1.89 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• C. Newton (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• C. Newton (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q1 55:16 · GB 2 · Score 0-3
   (10:16) 9-G.Gano 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
2. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 46:05 · CAR 1 · Score 6-3
   (1:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 82-R.Rodgers for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 45:55 · CAR 15 · Score 7-3
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
4. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 42:14 · GB 1 · Score 7-9
   (12:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 42:09 · GB 15 · Score 7-10
   9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
6. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 38:59 · GB 7 · Score 7-16
   (8:59) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 38:55 · GB 15 · Score 7-17
   9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 35:05 · GB 32 · Score 7-20
   (5:05) 9-G.Gano 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
9. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 30:49 · GB 39 · Score 7-26
   (:49) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 10-C.Brown for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-39-D.Goodson, Defensive Holding, declined.
10. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 30:41 · GB 15 · Score 7-27
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
11. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 29:10 · CAR 53 · Score 13-27
    (14:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 18-R.Cobb for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 29:00 · CAR 15 · Score 14-27
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
13. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q3 19:52 · GB 4 · Score 14-30
    (4:52) 9-G.Gano 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
14. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 9:27 · GB 14 · Score 14-36
    (9:27) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-D.Funchess for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 9:22 · GB 15 · Score 14-37
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
16. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 8:04 · CAR 29 · Score 20-37
    (8:04) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 44-J.Starks for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling
17. Green Bay Packers Safety (+2) — Q4 7:54 · CAR 2 · Score 22-37
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Rodgers pass to 17-D.Adams is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. PENALTY on CAR-41-R.Harper, Defensive Holding, 5 y
18. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 3:47 · CAR 3 · Score 28-37
    (3:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 82-R.Rodgers for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [20-K.Coleman].
19. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 3:43 · CAR 15 · Score 29-37
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.