FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 27, 2015 · 11 min read

Green Bay Packers vs. Arizona Cardinals: 2015 Week 16 Recap

Cardinals defeat Packers 38–8 in Week 16

M.Floyd led Fantasy Impact as Cardinals prevailed in a 8–38 Week 16 finish.

Green Bay Packers 8 10–5
Final 8–38
Arizona Cardinals 38 13–2 Winner
Winner
Arizona Cardinals
Final score
8–38
Halftime
Green Bay Packers 0–17 Arizona Cardinals
Top passer
Aaron Rodgers
FantasyHQ MVP
M.Floyd
Game date
December 27, 2015

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • E.Lacy 1 REC · 28 YDS · 1 TD +2.7 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Masthay 1 CAR · 7 YDS +2.5 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Quarless 2 REC · 17 YDS +1.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Cardinals

  • M.Floyd 6 REC · 111 YDS +5.0 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Palmer 18/31 · 256 YDS · 2 TD +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • L.Fitzgerald 4 REC · 29 YDS · 1 TD +3.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Arizona Cardinals defeated the Green Bay Packers 38–8 in Week 16 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-27, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-12.0% win probability) came in the second quarter when Arizona Cardinals swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-27, the Arizona Cardinals took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 38–8 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 29 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with -18.95 total EPA, and -6.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Floyd (Arizona Cardinals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.04 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Arizona Cardinals changed the game: (2:00) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle intended for 31-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 76-M.Daniels at ARI 21. 76-M.Daniels to ARI 15 for 6 yards (70-B.Massie).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q3T
Green Bay Packers080008
Arizona Cardinals172100038

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Floyd · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +5.04 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Palmer · Arizona Cardinals · Passing · +3.41 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
  3. 3 L. Fitzgerald · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +3.39 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
  4. 4 E. Lacy · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.71 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.35 EPA/play
  5. 5 Jo. Brown · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +2.57 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Masthay · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.55 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.55 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Quarless · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.82 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Johnson · Arizona Cardinals · Rushing · +1.58 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Floyd — ARI · Receiving

M. Floyd posted the highest total EPA (+5.04) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Arizona Cardinals's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +0.63 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.26 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (9:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 41 for -10 yards (96-K.Martin). FUMBLES (96-K.Martin) [96-K.Martin], RECOVERED by ARI-90-C.Redding at GB 36. 90-C.Redding for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Arizona Cardinals — L. Fitzgerald (C. Palmer pass) (Q2 44:11)
  • Arizona Cardinals — C. Palmer (Q2 30:11)
  • Arizona Cardinals — D. Johnson (Q3 29:10)
  • Arizona Cardinals — C. Redding (Q3 24:47)
  • Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 21:41)
  • Arizona Cardinals — J. Powers (Q3 18:11)

Field goals

  • Arizona Cardinals — C. Catanzaro (Q2 35:51)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 17–0. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the GB 3 (Q2 44:11) — (14:11) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 44:07) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the GB 1 (Q2 35:51) — (5:51) 7-C.Catanzaro 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the GB 7 (Q2 30:11) — (:11) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 12-Jo.Brown for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 30:06) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler..

The third quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 21–8. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the GB 14 (Q3 29:10) — (14:10) 31-D.Johnson right tackle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 29:02) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the ARI 49 (Q3 24:47); Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 24:34) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ARI 28 (Q3 21:41); Green Bay Packers registered a safety from the ARI 2 (Q3 21:31) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Rodgers pass to 89-J.Jones is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the ARI 82 (Q3 18:11); Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 18:05) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Arizona Cardinals (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle intended for 31-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 76-M.Daniels at ARI 21. 76-M.Daniels to ARI 15 for 6 yards (70-B.Massie). [WPA -12.0% · EPA -5.44]
  • Arizona Cardinals (Q1 53:41) — (8:41) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 31-D.Johnson pushed ob at GB 35 for 44 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix). [WPA +11.4% · EPA +3.79]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q2 31:05) — (1:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right intended for 89-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 28-J.Bethel at ARI 0. Touchback. Penalty on GB-67-D.Barclay, Illegal Use of Hands, declined. [WPA -8.3% · EPA -4.48]
  • Arizona Cardinals (Q1 51:30) — (6:30) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at GB 38 for -9 yards (96-M.Neal). [WPA -7.8% · EPA -3.01]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q2 34:49) — (4:49) (Punt formation) 8-T.Masthay left end to ARI 48 for 7 yards (96-K.Martin). [WPA +5.2% · EPA +2.55]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 24:47) — (9:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 41 for -10 yards (96-K.Martin). FUMBLES (96-K.Martin) [96-K.Martin], RECOVERED by ARI-90-C.Redding at GB 36. 90-C.Redding for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.8% · EPA -8.26]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 18:11) — (3:11) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 9 for -9 yards (54-D.Freeney). FUMBLES (54-D.Freeney) [54-D.Freeney], RECOVERED by ARI-25-J.Powers at GB 7. 25-J.Powers for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.3% · EPA -5.58]
  • Arizona Cardinals (Q4 5:20) — (5:20) 33-K.Williams up the middle to GB 22 for 5 yards (64-M.Pennel). FUMBLES (64-M.Pennel), RECOVERED by GB-42-M.Burnett at GB 20. 42-M.Burnett to GB 41 for 21 yards (5-D.Stanton). [WPA +0.0% · EPA -5.45]
  • Arizona Cardinals (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle intended for 31-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 76-M.Daniels at ARI 21. 76-M.Daniels to ARI 15 for 6 yards (70-B.Massie). [WPA -12.0% · EPA -5.44]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 45 dropbacks · 33.3% completion · -6.1% CPOE · -0.42 EPA/play · -18.95 total EPA
  • C.Palmer (Arizona Cardinals) · 31 dropbacks · 58.1% completion · +4.0% CPOE · +0.11 EPA/play · +3.41 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatGreen Bay PackersArizona Cardinals
Offensive EPA/play-0.341+0.017
Offensive success rate31.8%52.1%
Pass EPA/play-0.444+0.094
Rush EPA/play-0.380-0.142
Defensive EPA/play-0.017+0.341
Defensive success rate47.9%68.2%

By the numbers

Arizona Cardinals held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.34), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Arizona Cardinals: 13 drives, +1.25 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Green Bay Packers: 13 drives, -29.98 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Arizona Cardinals leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Floyd (Arizona Cardinals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • C. Palmer (ARI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 44:11 · GB 3 · Score 0-6
    (14:11) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 44:07 · GB 15 · Score 0-7
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.
  3. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q2 35:51 · GB 1 · Score 0-10
    (5:51) 7-C.Catanzaro 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.
  4. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 30:11 · GB 7 · Score 0-16
    (:11) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short right to 12-Jo.Brown for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 30:06 · GB 15 · Score 0-17
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.
  6. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 29:10 · GB 14 · Score 0-23
    (14:10) 31-D.Johnson right tackle for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 29:02 · GB 15 · Score 0-24
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.
  8. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 24:47 · ARI 49 · Score 0-30
    (9:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 41 for -10 yards (96-K.Martin). FUMBLES (96-K.Martin) [96-K.Martin], RECOVERED by ARI-90-C.Redding at GB 36. 90-C.Red
  9. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 24:34 · GB 15 · Score 0-31
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.
  10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 21:41 · ARI 28 · Score 6-31
    (6:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 27-E.Lacy for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on ARI-51-K.Minter, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforc
  11. Green Bay Packers Safety (+2) — Q3 21:31 · ARI 2 · Score 8-31
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Rodgers pass to 89-J.Jones is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  12. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 18:11 · ARI 82 · Score 8-37
    (3:11) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 9 for -9 yards (54-D.Freeney). FUMBLES (54-D.Freeney) [54-D.Freeney], RECOVERED by ARI-25-J.Powers at GB 7. 25-J.Powe
  13. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 18:05 · GB 15 · Score 8-38
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-82-M.Leach, Holder-2-D.Butler.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals?

The Arizona Cardinals beat the Green Bay Packers 38-8 in Week 16, 2015 on 2015-12-27.

What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals?

The final score was Green Bay Packers 8, Arizona Cardinals 38 (GB 8-38 ARI) in Week 16, 2015 on 2015-12-27.

What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals?

Q2: Green Bay Packers 0, Arizona Cardinals 17; Q3: Green Bay Packers 8, Arizona Cardinals 21; Final: Green Bay Packers 8, Arizona Cardinals 38.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals?

Arizona Cardinals touchdown — L. Fitzgerald (C. Palmer pass) (Q2 44:11) Arizona Cardinals touchdown — C. Palmer (Q2 30:11) Arizona Cardinals touchdown — D. Johnson (Q3 29:10) Arizona Cardinals touchdown — C. Redding (Q3 24:47) Green Bay Packers touchdown — E. Lacy (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 21:41) Arizona Cardinals touchdown — J. Powers (Q3 18:11) Arizona Cardinals field goal — C. Catanzaro (Q2 35:51, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 33.3% completion, -6.1% CPOE, -0.42 EPA per dropback, -18.95 total passing EPA. C. Palmer (Arizona Cardinals), 58.1% completion, +4.0% CPOE, +0.11 EPA per dropback, +3.41 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals?

M. Floyd (Arizona Cardinals) led the game in total EPA with +5.04 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.26 EPA): (9:47) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 41 for -10 yards (96-K.Martin). FUMBLES (96-K.Martin) [96-K.Martin], RECOVERED by ARI-90-C.Redding at GB 36. 90-C.Redding for 36 yards, T. The biggest win-probability swing was -12.0%.

Season records after this game

Green Bay Packers

Entered 10-4 Now 10-5 L

Arizona Cardinals

Entered 12-2 Now 13-2 W