FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 24, 2023 · 12 min read

Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings: 2023 Week 16 Recap

Lions defeat Vikings 30–24 in Week 16

Jared Goff led Fantasy Impact as Lions prevailed in a 30–24 Week 16 finish.

Detroit Lions 30 11–4 Winner
Final 30–24
Minnesota Vikings 24 7–8
Winner
Detroit Lions
Final score
30–24
Halftime
Detroit Lions 23–14 Minnesota Vikings
Top passer
Jared Goff
FantasyHQ MVP
Jared Goff
Game date
December 24, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Lions

  • Jared Goff
    Jared Goff 30/43 · 246 YDS · 2 TD +14.9 Fantasy Impact
  • A.St.Brown +6.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Joshua Williams
    Joshua Williams 5 REC · 43 YDS +3.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • Jordan Jefferson
    Jordan Jefferson 6 REC · 141 YDS · 1 TD +7.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Nick Mullens
    Nick Mullens 22/43 · 374 YDS · 2 TD +6.9 Fantasy Impact
  • K.J. Osborn
    K.J. Osborn 5 REC · 95 YDS · 1 TD +6.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Detroit Lions defeated the Minnesota Vikings 30–24 in Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-24, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-26.1% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Minnesota Vikings swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-24, the Detroit Lions took care of business against the Minnesota Vikings, pulling away with a 30–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Goff (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +14.89 total EPA, and +1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Goff (Detroit Lions) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.89 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-26.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Minnesota Vikings changed the game: (:58) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass deep middle intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 6-I.Melifonwu at DET 5. 6-I.Melifonwu to DET 16 for 11 yards (30-C.Ham).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Detroit Lions71667030
Minnesota Vikings7773024

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Goff · Detroit Lions · Passing · +14.89 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Jefferson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +7.76 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
  3. 3 N. Mullens · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +6.86 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
  4. 4 K. Osborn · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +6.86 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
  5. 5 A.St. Brown · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.27 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Williams · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.63 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Hockenson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +3.17 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
  8. 8 S. LaPorta · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.14 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Goff — DET · Passing

J. Goff posted the highest total EPA (+14.89) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Detroit Lions's efficiency. Across 43 counted snaps, they averaged +0.35 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.99 EPA) came from Detroit Lions: (2:12) 26-J.Gibbs left end to DET 49 for 13 yards (24-C.Bynum). FUMBLES (24-C.Bynum), touched at MIN 49, RECOVERED by MIN-40-I.Pace at MIN 46. 40-I.Pace to DET 48 for 6 yards (14-A.St. Brown; 87-S.LaPorta).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Detroit Lions — D. Montgomery (Q1 52:17)
  • Minnesota Vikings — T. Chandler (Q1 47:53)
  • Detroit Lions — J. Gibbs (Q2 31:54)
  • Minnesota Vikings — J. Jefferson (N. Mullens pass) (Q2 30:37)
  • Minnesota Vikings — K. Osborn (N. Mullens pass) (Q3 27:01)
  • Detroit Lions — A. St (J. Goff pass) (Q3 19:41)
  • Detroit Lions — J. Gibbs (Q4 11:09)

Field goals

  • Detroit Lions — M. Badgley (Q2 35:08)
  • Minnesota Vikings — G. Joseph (Q4 5:22)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the MIN 1 (Q1 52:17) — (7:17) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 5-D.Montgomery right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q1 52:13) — 17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the DET 2 (Q1 47:53) — (2:53) (Shotgun) 32-T.Chandler right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q1 47:51) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright..

The second quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 16–7. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the MIN 18 (Q2 35:08) — (5:08) 17-M.Badgley 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the MIN 14 (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) 26-J.Gibbs right end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the MIN 15 (Q2 31:48) — 17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the DET 26 (Q2 30:37) — (:37) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass deep right to 18-J.Jefferson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 30:29) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright..

The third quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 7–6. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the DET 6 (Q3 27:01) — (12:01) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass short right to 17-K.Osborn for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q3 26:56) — 1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the MIN 1 (Q3 19:41) — (4:41) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 7–3. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the MIN 3 (Q4 11:09) — (11:09) 26-J.Gibbs right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q4 11:07) — 17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the DET 8 (Q4 5:22) — (5:22) 1-G.Joseph 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 0:58) — (:58) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass deep middle intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 6-I.Melifonwu at DET 5. 6-I.Melifonwu to DET 16 for 11 yards (30-C.Ham). [WPA -26.1% · EPA -3.48]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q3 27:51) — (12:51) 12-N.Mullens pass deep middle to 17-K.Osborn to DET 6 for 47 yards (30-K.Dorsey). [WPA +14.2% · EPA +3.21]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 1:05) — (1:05) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass deep right to 4-B.Powell ran ob at DET 30 for 26 yards (32-B.Branch). [WPA +12.8% · EPA +2.15]
  • Detroit Lions (Q3 16:55) — (1:55) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 14-A.St. Brown to DET 48 for 25 yards (24-C.Bynum). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +2.78]
  • Detroit Lions (Q3 23:28) — (8:28) 26-J.Gibbs left guard to MIN 16 for 18 yards (98-D.Wonnum). [WPA +11.6% · EPA +3.03]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Detroit Lions (Q1 47:12) — (2:12) 26-J.Gibbs left end to DET 49 for 13 yards (24-C.Bynum). FUMBLES (24-C.Bynum), touched at MIN 49, RECOVERED by MIN-40-I.Pace at MIN 46. 40-I.Pace to DET 48 for 6 yards (14-A.St. Brown; 87-S.LaP [WPA -10.6% · EPA -4.99]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 30:37) — (:37) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass deep right to 18-J.Jefferson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +3.64]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 6:52) — (6:52) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass deep left to 18-J.Jefferson to DET 47 for 28 yards (31-K.Joseph). DET-31-K.Joseph was injured during the play. PENALTY on DET-31-K.Joseph, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 [WPA +7.8% · EPA +3.51]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q4 0:58) — (:58) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass deep middle intended for 18-J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by 6-I.Melifonwu at DET 5. 6-I.Melifonwu to DET 16 for 11 yards (30-C.Ham). [WPA -26.1% · EPA -3.48]

Quarterback report card

J.Goff led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Goff (Detroit Lions) · 43 dropbacks · 69.8% completion · +1.6% CPOE · +0.35 EPA/play · +14.89 total EPA
  • N.Mullens (Minnesota Vikings) · 43 dropbacks · 51.2% completion · +6.2% CPOE · +0.16 EPA/play · +6.86 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDetroit LionsMinnesota Vikings
Offensive EPA/play+0.112+0.015
Offensive success rate44.0%39.1%
Pass EPA/play+0.346+0.160
Rush EPA/play-0.021-0.344
Defensive EPA/play-0.015-0.112
Defensive success rate60.9%56.0%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Detroit Lions generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.11 vs +0.01), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Detroit Lions: 11 drives, +11.23 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 10 drives, +1.06 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Detroit Lions leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Goff (Detroit Lions) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • N. Mullens (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 52:17 · MIN 1 · Score 6-0
    (7:17) 70-D.Skipper reported in as eligible. 5-D.Montgomery right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 52:13 · MIN 15 · Score 7-0
    17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  3. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q1 47:53 · DET 2 · Score 7-6
    (2:53) (Shotgun) 32-T.Chandler right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q1 47:51 · DET 15 · Score 7-7
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
  5. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q2 35:08 · MIN 18 · Score 10-7
    (5:08) 17-M.Badgley 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  6. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 31:54 · MIN 14 · Score 16-7
    (1:54) 26-J.Gibbs right end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Detroit Lions TD (+7) — Q2 31:48 · MIN 15 · Score 17-7
    17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  8. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 30:37 · DET 26 · Score 17-13
    (:37) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass deep right to 18-J.Jefferson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 30:29 · DET 15 · Score 17-14
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
  10. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q3 27:01 · DET 6 · Score 17-20
    (12:01) (Shotgun) 12-N.Mullens pass short right to 17-K.Osborn for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q3 26:56 · DET 15 · Score 17-21
    1-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.
  12. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q3 19:41 · MIN 1 · Score 23-21
    (4:41) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 14-A.St. Brown for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 11:09 · MIN 3 · Score 29-21
    (11:09) 26-J.Gibbs right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 11:07 · MIN 15 · Score 30-21
    17-M.Badgley extra point is GOOD, Center-43-J.McQuaide, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  15. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q4 5:22 · DET 8 · Score 30-24
    (5:22) 1-G.Joseph 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-14-R.Wright.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings?

The Detroit Lions beat the Minnesota Vikings 30-24 in Week 16, 2023 on 2023-12-24.

What was the final score of Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings?

The final score was Detroit Lions 30, Minnesota Vikings 24 (DET 30-24 MIN) in Week 16, 2023 on 2023-12-24.

What was the score by quarter in Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings?

Q1: Detroit Lions 7, Minnesota Vikings 7; Q2: Detroit Lions 16, Minnesota Vikings 7; Q3: Detroit Lions 6, Minnesota Vikings 7; Q4: Detroit Lions 7, Minnesota Vikings 3; Final: Detroit Lions 30, Minnesota Vikings 24.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings?

Detroit Lions touchdown — D. Montgomery (Q1 52:17) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — T. Chandler (Q1 47:53) Detroit Lions touchdown — J. Gibbs (Q2 31:54) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — J. Jefferson (N. Mullens pass) (Q2 30:37) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — K. Osborn (N. Mullens pass) (Q3 27:01) Detroit Lions touchdown — A. St (J. Goff pass) (Q3 19:41) Detroit Lions touchdown — J. Gibbs (Q4 11:09) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Badgley (Q2 35:08, 3 pts) Minnesota Vikings field goal — G. Joseph (Q4 5:22, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings?

J. Goff (Detroit Lions), 69.8% completion, +1.6% CPOE, +0.35 EPA per dropback, +14.89 total passing EPA. N. Mullens (Minnesota Vikings), 51.2% completion, +6.2% CPOE, +0.16 EPA per dropback, +6.86 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings?

J. Goff (Detroit Lions) led the game in total EPA with +14.89 on passing plays. across 43 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.99 EPA): (2:12) 26-J.Gibbs left end to DET 49 for 13 yards (24-C.Bynum). FUMBLES (24-C.Bynum), touched at MIN 49, RECOVERED by MIN-40-I.Pace at MIN 46. 40-I.Pace to DET 48 for 6 yards (14-A. The biggest win-probability swing was -26.1%.

Was Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings a close game?

Yes — the margin was 6 points. Detroit Lions won 30-24 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Detroit Lions

Entered 10-4 Now 11-4 W

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 7-7 Now 7-8 L