FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 9 · November 4, 2012 · 10 min read

Detroit Lions vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2012 Week 9 Recap

Lions defeat Jaguars 31–14 in Week 9

Matthew Stafford led Fantasy Impact as Lions prevailed in a 31–14 Week 9 finish.

Detroit Lions 31 4–4 Winner
Final 31–14
Jacksonville Jaguars 14 1–7
Winner
Detroit Lions
Final score
31–14
Halftime
Detroit Lions 28–0 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
Blaine Gabbert
FantasyHQ MVP
Matthew Stafford
Game date
November 4, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Lions

  • Matthew Stafford
    Matthew Stafford 22/35 · 285 YDS +19.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Cornelius Johnson
    Cornelius Johnson 7 REC · 129 YDS +12.2 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Broyles 6 REC · 52 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • C.Shorts 3 REC · 56 YDS +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Spurlock 5 REC · 35 YDS · 1 TD +1.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Layden Robinson
    Layden Robinson 6 REC · 41 YDS +1.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Detroit Lions defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 31–14 in Week 9 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-04, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+13.7% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Detroit Lions swung the momentum.

In Week 9 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-11-04, the Detroit Lions took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 31–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -0.86 total EPA, and +8.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +19.20 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Detroit Lions changed the game: (6:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 85-T.Scheffler ran ob at JAX 35 for 28 yards.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q4T
Detroit Lions281000031
Jacksonville Jaguars01400014

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +19.20 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Johnson · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +12.23 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.53 EPA/play
  3. 3 R. Broyles · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +5.25 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Leshoure · Detroit Lions · Rushing · +3.17 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Bell · Detroit Lions · Rushing · +2.90 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Shorts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.77 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.69 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Bell · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +2.24 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  8. 8 T. Scheffler · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +2.03 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Stafford — DET · Passing

M. Stafford posted the highest total EPA (+19.20) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Detroit Lions's efficiency. Across 35 counted snaps, they averaged +0.55 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.09 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (2:06) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 23-R.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 36-J.Green at DET 18. 36-J.Green to DET 36 for 18 yards (63-B.Meester).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Detroit Lions — M. Leshoure (Q2 42:21)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Leshoure (Q2 38:02)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Leshoure (Q2 30:35)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Spurlock (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 8:40)
  • Detroit Lions — J. Bell (Q4 2:48)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Blackmon (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 0:54)

Field goals

  • Detroit Lions — J. Hanson (Q4 14:01)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 28–0. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the JAX 7 (Q2 42:21) — (12:21) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 42:16) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q2 38:02) — (8:02) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 37:58) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the JAX 8 (Q2 30:35) — (:35) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 30:29) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the DET 80 (Q2 30:28).

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 14–10. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the JAX 24 (Q4 14:01) — (14:01) 4-J.Hanson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the DET 5 (Q4 8:40) — (8:40) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short middle to 86-M.Spurlock for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the DET 2 (Q4 8:36) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-B.Gabbert pass to 23-R.Jennings is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the JAX 10 (Q4 2:48) — (2:48) 35-J.Bell up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 2:42) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the DET 6 (Q4 0:54) — (:54) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short middle to 14-J.Blackmon for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Detroit Lions (Q1 51:38) — (6:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 85-T.Scheffler ran ob at JAX 35 for 28 yards. [WPA +13.7% · EPA +3.51]
  • Detroit Lions (Q1 49:58) — (4:58) 4-J.Hanson 47 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris. [WPA -10.3% · EPA -3.77]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 38:36) — (8:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 81-C.Johnson to JAX 1 for 38 yards (42-C.Prosinski). Penalty on JAX-51-P.Posluszny, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +9.9% · EPA +4.47]
  • Detroit Lions (Q1 45:43) — (:43) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 81-C.Johnson to JAX 38 for 26 yards (42-C.Prosinski). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +2.27]
  • Detroit Lions (Q1 50:04) — (5:04) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete short left to 35-J.Bell. [WPA -5.6% · EPA -1.28]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 17:06) — (2:06) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 23-R.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 36-J.Green at DET 18. 36-J.Green to DET 36 for 18 yards (63-B.Meester). [WPA -1.5% · EPA -5.09]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 38:36) — (8:36) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 81-C.Johnson to JAX 1 for 38 yards (42-C.Prosinski). Penalty on JAX-51-P.Posluszny, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +9.9% · EPA +4.47]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 0:54) — (:54) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short middle to 14-J.Blackmon for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.0% · EPA +4.26]
  • Detroit Lions (Q1 49:58) — (4:58) 4-J.Hanson 47 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris. [WPA -10.3% · EPA -3.77]

Quarterback report card

B.Gabbert led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 43 dropbacks · 62.8% completion · +8.3% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -0.86 total EPA
  • M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 35 dropbacks · 62.9% completion · +5.4% CPOE · +0.55 EPA/play · +19.20 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDetroit LionsJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play+0.288+0.064
Offensive success rate51.2%54.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.549-0.020
Rush EPA/play+0.166+0.112
Defensive EPA/play-0.064-0.288
Defensive success rate45.2%48.8%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Detroit Lions generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.29 vs +0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Detroit Lions: 9 drives, +24.75 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 9 drives, +4.67 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Detroit Lions leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Gabbert (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Stafford (DET) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 42:21 · JAX 7 · Score 6-0
    (12:21) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 42:16 · JAX 2 · Score 7-0
    4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
  3. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 38:02 · JAX 1 · Score 13-0
    (8:02) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 37:58 · JAX 2 · Score 14-0
    4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
  5. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 30:35 · JAX 8 · Score 20-0
    (:35) 25-M.Leshoure up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 30:29 · JAX 2 · Score 21-0
    4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
  7. Detroit Lions TD (+7) — Q2 30:28 · DET 80 · Score 21-0
    (:28) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass deep middle intended for 84-C.Shorts INTERCEPTED by 24-E.Coleman at JAX 45. 24-E.Coleman to JAX 45 for no gain (84-C.Shorts).
  8. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 14:01 · JAX 24 · Score 24-0
    (14:01) 4-J.Hanson 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 8:40 · DET 5 · Score 24-6
    (8:40) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short middle to 86-M.Spurlock for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q4 8:36 · DET 2 · Score 24-8
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 11-B.Gabbert pass to 23-R.Jennings is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  11. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 2:48 · JAX 10 · Score 30-8
    (2:48) 35-J.Bell up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 2:42 · JAX 2 · Score 31-8
    4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-5-N.Harris.
  13. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 0:54 · DET 6 · Score 31-14
    (:54) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short middle to 14-J.Blackmon for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Detroit Lions beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 31-14 in Week 9, 2012 on 2012-11-04.

What was the final score of Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Detroit Lions 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 14 (DET 31-14 JAX) in Week 9, 2012 on 2012-11-04.

What was the score by quarter in Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q2: Detroit Lions 28, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q4: Detroit Lions 10, Jacksonville Jaguars 14; Final: Detroit Lions 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 14.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Detroit Lions touchdown — M. Leshoure (Q2 42:21) Detroit Lions touchdown — M. Leshoure (Q2 38:02) Detroit Lions touchdown — M. Leshoure (Q2 30:35) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — M. Spurlock (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 8:40) Detroit Lions touchdown — J. Bell (Q4 2:48) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — J. Blackmon (B. Gabbert pass) (Q4 0:54) Detroit Lions field goal — J. Hanson (Q4 14:01, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

B. Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars), 62.8% completion, +8.3% CPOE, -0.02 EPA per dropback, -0.86 total passing EPA. M. Stafford (Detroit Lions), 62.9% completion, +5.4% CPOE, +0.55 EPA per dropback, +19.20 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) led the game in total EPA with +19.20 on passing plays. across 35 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.09 EPA): (2:06) (Shotgun) 11-B.Gabbert pass short left intended for 23-R.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 36-J.Green at DET 18. 36-J.Green to DET 36 for 18 yards (63-B.Meester).. The biggest win-probability swing was +13.7%.

Season records after this game

Detroit Lions

Entered 3-4 Now 4-4 W

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 1-6 Now 1-7 L