Detroit Lions vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2004 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-11-14, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 23–17 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +0.33 total EPA.

On the individual side, J. Smith (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.45 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-33.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (1:03) 2-C.Hanson punts 43 yards to DET 17, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 18-E.Drummond for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Smith · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +11.45 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Williams · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +5.16 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.58 EPA/play
3. 3 L. Toefield · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.29 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Brady · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.56 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
5. 5 S. Alexander · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +2.49 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Williams · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.58 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.58 EPA/play
7. 7 S. Bryson · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +1.25 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +1.21 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Toefield (D. Garrard pass) (Q1 53:25)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — G. Jones (Q3 20:50)
• Detroit Lions — E. Drummond (Q4 13:24)
• Detroit Lions — E. Drummond (Q4 1:03)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Smith (D. Garrard pass) (OT 9:40)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 30:05)
• Detroit Lions — J. Hanson (Q4 6:34)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the DET 12 (Q1 53:25) — (8:25) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 22-L.Toefield for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q1 53:18) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the DET 13 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 10-J.Scobee 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the DET 1 (Q3 20:50) — (5:50) 33-G.Jones left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q3 20:49) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

The fourth quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 17–0. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the DET 71 (Q4 13:24) — (13:24) 2-C.Hanson punts 26 yards to DET 45, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 18-E.Drummond for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JJ33 attempted to down the punt.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 13:07) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-67-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the JAX 3 (Q4 6:34) — (6:34) 4-J.Hanson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-67-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the DET 60 (Q4 1:03) — (1:03) 2-C.Hanson punts 43 yards to DET 17, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 18-E.Drummond for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 0:46) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-67-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris..

Overtime: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 6–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the DET 36 (OT 9:40) — (9:40) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:03) — (1:03) 2-C.Hanson punts 43 yards to DET 17, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 18-E.Drummond for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -33.9% · EPA -6.99]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 9:40) — (9:40) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +31.8% · EPA +4.78]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 11:13) — (11:13) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith to DET 38 for 16 yards (31-B.Marion). [WPA +24.1% · EPA +2.19]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 12:33) — (12:33) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith to JAX 46 for 17 yards (35-A.Goodman). [WPA +18.7% · EPA +1.92]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 14:15) — (14:15) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 80-K.Brady to JAX 34 for 6 yards (59-A.Lewis). [WPA +13.1% · EPA +1.45]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:03) — (1:03) 2-C.Hanson punts 43 yards to DET 17, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 18-E.Drummond for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -33.9% · EPA -6.99]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 13:24) — (13:24) 2-C.Hanson punts 26 yards to DET 45, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 18-E.Drummond for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JJ33 attempted to down the punt. [WPA -6.7% · EPA -6.59]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 9:40) — (9:40) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +31.8% · EPA +4.78]
• Detroit Lions (Q2 42:29) — (12:29) 3-J.Harrington pass intended for 86-S.Alexander INTERCEPTED by 27-R.Mathis (51-A.Ayodele) at JAX 37. 27-R.Mathis to DET 42 for 21 yards (76-J.Backus). [WPA -9.2% · EPA -3.82]

Quarterback report card

D.Garrard led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 41 dropbacks · 46.3% completion · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.33 total EPA
• J.Harrington (Detroit Lions) · 38 dropbacks · 28.9% completion · -0.52 EPA/play · -19.85 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.13 vs -0.25), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Detroit Lions: 13 drives, -18.75 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 15 drives, -14.78 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Smith (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 53:25 · DET 12 · Score 0-6
   (8:25) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 22-L.Toefield for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 53:18 · DET 2 · Score 0-7
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · DET 13 · Score 0-10
   (:05) 10-J.Scobee 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 20:50 · DET 1 · Score 0-16
   (5:50) 33-G.Jones left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 20:49 · DET 2 · Score 0-17
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
6. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 13:24 · DET 71 · Score 6-17
   (13:24) 2-C.Hanson punts 26 yards to DET 45, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 18-E.Drummond for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JJ33 attempted to down the punt.
7. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 13:07 · JAX 2 · Score 7-17
   4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-67-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
8. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 6:34 · JAX 3 · Score 10-17
   (6:34) 4-J.Hanson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-67-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
9. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 1:03 · DET 60 · Score 16-17
   (1:03) 2-C.Hanson punts 43 yards to DET 17, Center-88-J.Zelenka. 18-E.Drummond for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 0:46 · JAX 2 · Score 17-17
    4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-67-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — OT 9:40 · DET 36 · Score 17-23
    (9:40) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass to 82-J.Smith for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.