Game story
In Week 17 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-30, the Detroit Lions took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 31–0 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
D. Kizer (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with -10.57 total EPA, and -15.5% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +17.52 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+8.6% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Detroit Lions changed the game: (11:23) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-B.Powell pushed ob at GB 36 for 18 yards (38-T.Williams).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | 7 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 31 |
| Green Bay Packers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +17.52 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
- 2 B. Powell · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +7.23 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
- 3 T. Jones · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +7.23 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.81 EPA/play
- 4 L. Toilolo · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.94 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.73 EPA/play
- 5 M. Prater · Detroit Lions · Passing · +4.07 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.07 EPA/play
- 6 Z. Zenner · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +2.42 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
- 7 T. Riddick · Detroit Lions · Rushing · +2.13 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
- 8 J. Kumerow · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.30 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
M. Stafford — DET · Passing
M. Stafford posted the highest total EPA (+17.52) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Detroit Lions's efficiency. Across 33 counted snaps, they averaged +0.53 EPA per play.
The signature play (+4.07 EPA) came from Detroit Lions: (10:41) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater pass short left to 87-L.Toilolo for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Detroit Lions — T. Jones (M. Stafford pass)
- Detroit Lions — L. Toilolo (M. Prater pass)
- Detroit Lions — Z. Zenner
- Detroit Lions — T. Jones (M. Stafford pass)
Field goals
- Detroit Lions — M. Prater
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 7–0. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 5 (Q1 48:01) — (3:01) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 13-T.Jones for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 47:58) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..
The second quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 14–0. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 8 (Q2 40:41) — (10:41) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater pass short left to 87-L.Toilolo for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 40:36) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 13 (Q2 31:11) — (1:11) 34-Z.Zenner right tackle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 31:06) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..
The third quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 3–0. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the GB 25 (Q3 18:12) — (3:12) 5-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..
The fourth quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 7–0. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 23 (Q4 6:59) — (6:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 13-T.Jones for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 6:53) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Detroit Lions (Q1 56:23) — (11:23) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 10-B.Powell pushed ob at GB 36 for 18 yards (38-T.Williams).
- Detroit Lions (Q2 42:55) — (12:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 10-B.Powell to GB 15 for 41 yards (28-T.Brown).
- Detroit Lions (Q2 40:41) — (10:41) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater pass short left to 87-L.Toilolo for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Detroit Lions (Q1 50:28) — (5:28) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 13-T.Jones to GB 7 for 12 yards (37-J.Jackson).
- Green Bay Packers (Q2 38:33) — (8:33) (Shotgun) 9-D.Kizer scrambles right end ran ob at GB 46 for 11 yards (31-T.Tabor).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Detroit Lions (Q2 40:41) — (10:41) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater pass short left to 87-L.Toilolo for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 5:42) — (5:42) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Kizer pass short right intended for 22-K.Bibbs INTERCEPTED by 28-Q.Diggs [95-R.Okwara] at DET 47. 28-Q.Diggs to DET 47 for no gain (22-K.Bibbs).
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 11:04) — (11:04) (Shotgun) 9-D.Kizer scrambles right end to DET 37 for 12 yards (40-J.Davis).
- Detroit Lions (Q2 31:11) — (1:11) 34-Z.Zenner right tackle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
D.Kizer led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- D.Kizer (Green Bay Packers) · 40 dropbacks · 40.0% completion · -15.5% CPOE · -0.26 EPA/play · -10.57 total EPA
- M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 33 dropbacks · 60.6% completion · -3.7% CPOE · +0.53 EPA/play · +17.52 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Detroit Lions | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.177 | -0.313 |
| Offensive success rate | 48.3% | 25.4% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.635 | -0.329 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.109 | -0.539 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.313 | -0.177 |
| Defensive success rate | 74.6% | 51.7% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Detroit Lions generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.18 vs -0.31), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Detroit Lions: 10 drives, +15.44 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
- Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, -22.20 total EPA, 0 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Detroit Lions leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- D. Kizer (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- M. Stafford (DET) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 48:01 · GB 5 · Score 6-0
(3:01) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 13-T.Jones for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 47:58 · GB 15 · Score 7-0
5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin. - Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 40:41 · GB 8 · Score 13-0
(10:41) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater pass short left to 87-L.Toilolo for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 40:36 · GB 15 · Score 14-0
5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin. - Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 31:11 · GB 13 · Score 20-0
(1:11) 34-Z.Zenner right tackle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 31:06 · GB 15 · Score 21-0
5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin. - Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q3 18:12 · GB 25 · Score 24-0
(3:12) 5-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin. - Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 6:59 · GB 23 · Score 30-0
(6:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 13-T.Jones for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 6:53 · GB 15 · Score 31-0
5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers?
The Detroit Lions beat the Green Bay Packers 31-0 in Week 17, 2018 on 2018-12-30.
What was the final score of Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers?
The final score was Detroit Lions 31, Green Bay Packers 0 (DET 31-0 GB) in Week 17, 2018 on 2018-12-30.
What was the score by quarter in Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers?
Q1: Detroit Lions 7, Green Bay Packers 0; Q2: Detroit Lions 14, Green Bay Packers 0; Q3: Detroit Lions 3, Green Bay Packers 0; Q4: Detroit Lions 7, Green Bay Packers 0; Final: Detroit Lions 31, Green Bay Packers 0.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers?
Detroit Lions touchdown — T. Jones (M. Stafford pass) (Q1 48:01) Detroit Lions touchdown — L. Toilolo (M. Prater pass) (Q2 40:41) Detroit Lions touchdown — Z. Zenner (Q2 31:11) Detroit Lions touchdown — T. Jones (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 6:59) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q3 18:12, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers?
D. Kizer (Green Bay Packers), 40.0% completion, -15.5% CPOE, -0.26 EPA per dropback, -10.57 total passing EPA. M. Stafford (Detroit Lions), 60.6% completion, -3.7% CPOE, +0.53 EPA per dropback, +17.52 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers?
M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) led the game in total EPA with +17.52 on passing plays. across 33 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.07 EPA): (10:41) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater pass short left to 87-L.Toilolo for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +8.6%.
Season records after this game
Detroit Lions
Entered 5-10 Now 6-10 W
Green Bay Packers
Entered 6-8 Now 6-9 L
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