Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears: 2017 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-11-19, the Detroit Lions took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 27–24 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +10.79 total EPA, and +11.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.79 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-29.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: (:08) (Field Goal formation) 4-C.Barth 46 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +10.79 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
2. 2 Jo. Howard · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +5.95 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Jones · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +5.66 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Jones · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +4.83 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Trubisky · Chicago Bears · Passing · +4.74 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Shaheen · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.66 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Inman · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +2.97 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Golladay · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +2.95 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Chicago Bears — A. Shaheen (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 48:29)
• Detroit Lions — D. Hayden (Q2 44:09)
• Chicago Bears — unlisted player (Q2 38:36)
• Detroit Lions — M. Jones (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 35:24)
• Detroit Lions — A. Abdullah (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 30:24)
• Chicago Bears — T. Cohen (Q4 5:09)

Field goals

• Chicago Bears — C. Barth (Q1 53:24)
• Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q4 10:04)
• Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q4 1:40)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 10–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the DET 5 (Q1 53:24) — (8:24) (Field Goal formation) 4-C.Barth 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the DET 1 (Q1 48:29) — (3:29) 79-B.Sowell reported in as eligible. 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 87-A.Shaheen for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q1 48:23) — 4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The second quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 21–7. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the DET 73 (Q2 44:09) — (14:09) 10-M.Trubisky FUMBLES (Aborted) at CHI 26, RECOVERED by DET-31-D.Hayden at CHI 27. 31-D.Hayden for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q2 44:00) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the DET 12 (Q2 38:36) — (8:36) (Shotgun) 24-Jo.Howard left tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 38:30) — 4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the CHI 28 (Q2 35:24) — (5:24) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 11-M.Jones for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q2 35:17) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the CHI 2 (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 21-A.Abdullah for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q2 30:20) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

The fourth quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–6. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the CHI 9 (Q4 10:04) — (10:04) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the DET 15 (Q4 5:09) — (5:09) 29-T.Cohen left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q4 5:02) — 4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the CHI 34 (Q4 1:40) — (1:40) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Chicago Bears (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Field Goal formation) 4-C.Barth 46 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. [WPA -29.3% · EPA -2.22]
• Detroit Lions (Q4 2:44) — (2:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 85-E.Ebron to CHI 26 for 26 yards (22-C.LeBlanc; 39-E.Jackson). [WPA +18.7% · EPA +2.00]
• Chicago Bears (Q4 5:09) — (5:09) 29-T.Cohen left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.3% · EPA +2.60]
• Chicago Bears (Q4 0:28) — (:28) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky scrambles left end to DET 43 for 19 yards (32-T.Wilson). [WPA +16.8% · EPA +1.48]
• Chicago Bears (Q4 6:18) — (6:18) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 17-D.Inman to DET 32 for 17 yards (32-T.Wilson) [78-J.Valoaga]. PENALTY on DET-78-J.Valoaga, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at DET 32. [WPA +15.9% · EPA +2.65]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Chicago Bears (Q2 44:09) — (14:09) 10-M.Trubisky FUMBLES (Aborted) at CHI 26, RECOVERED by DET-31-D.Hayden at CHI 27. 31-D.Hayden for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.8% · EPA -8.26]
• Detroit Lions (Q1 49:55) — (4:55) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at CHI 46 for -5 yards (44-N.Kwiatkoski). FUMBLES (44-N.Kwiatkoski) [44-N.Kwiatkoski], RECOVERED by CHI-96-A.Hicks at CHI 45. 96-A.Hicks to CHI 45 for no gain (60- [WPA -12.5% · EPA -4.31]
• Detroit Lions (Q2 35:24) — (5:24) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 11-M.Jones for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.6% · EPA +3.45]
• Chicago Bears (Q1 49:46) — (4:46) 24-Jo.Howard left guard pushed ob at DET 5 for 50 yards (23-D.Slay). [WPA +7.1% · EPA +3.27]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 39 dropbacks · 53.8% completion · +11.3% CPOE · +0.28 EPA/play · +10.79 total EPA
• M.Trubisky (Chicago Bears) · 35 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · -4.6% CPOE · +0.14 EPA/play · +4.74 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Detroit Lions generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs +0.02), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Chicago Bears: 11 drives, +1.73 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Detroit Lions: 11 drives, +6.82 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Detroit Lions leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Stafford (DET) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• M. Trubisky (CHI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q1 53:24 · DET 5 · Score 0-3
   (8:24) (Field Goal formation) 4-C.Barth 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
2. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 48:29 · DET 1 · Score 0-9
   (3:29) 79-B.Sowell reported in as eligible. 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 87-A.Shaheen for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 48:23 · DET 15 · Score 0-10
   4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
4. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 44:09 · DET 73 · Score 6-10
   (14:09) 10-M.Trubisky FUMBLES (Aborted) at CHI 26, RECOVERED by DET-31-D.Hayden at CHI 27. 31-D.Hayden for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 44:00 · CHI 15 · Score 7-10
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
6. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 38:36 · DET 12 · Score 7-16
   (8:36) (Shotgun) 24-Jo.Howard left tackle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 38:30 · DET 15 · Score 7-17
   4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
8. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 35:24 · CHI 28 · Score 13-17
   (5:24) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 11-M.Jones for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 35:17 · CHI 15 · Score 14-17
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
10. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 30:24 · CHI 2 · Score 20-17
    (:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 21-A.Abdullah for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 30:20 · CHI 15 · Score 21-17
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
12. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 10:04 · CHI 9 · Score 24-17
    (10:04) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
13. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q4 5:09 · DET 15 · Score 24-23
    (5:09) 29-T.Cohen left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q4 5:02 · DET 15 · Score 24-24
    4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-49-A.DePaola, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
15. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 1:40 · CHI 34 · Score 27-24
    (1:40) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.