Game story
In Week 4 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-02, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 27–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -9.54 total EPA, and -5.6% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, P. Lynch (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.41 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-14.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (13:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 11-A.Humphries INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at TB 36. 21-A.Talib to TB 11 for 25 yards (68-J.Hawley).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 27 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 P. Lynch · Denver Broncos · Passing · +8.41 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
- 2 D. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +8.07 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.15 EPA/play
- 3 E. Sanders · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.88 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
- 4 T. Siemian · Denver Broncos · Passing · +3.24 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
- 5 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.77 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
- 6 J. Norwood · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.26 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
- 7 J. Heuerman · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.83 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.83 EPA/play
- 8 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.25 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
P. Lynch — DEN · Passing
P. Lynch posted the highest total EPA (+8.41) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Denver Broncos's efficiency. Across 27 counted snaps, they averaged +0.31 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.62 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (13:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 11-A.Humphries INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at TB 36. 21-A.Talib to TB 11 for 25 yards (68-J.Hawley).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Denver Broncos — D. Thomas (T. Siemian pass)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Winston
- Denver Broncos — C. Anderson
- Denver Broncos — E. Sanders (P. Lynch pass)
Field goals
- Denver Broncos — B. McManus
- Denver Broncos — B. McManus
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the TB 11 (Q1 58:31) — (13:31) 13-T.Siemian pass short right to 88-D.Thomas for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 58:26) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the DEN 7 (Q1 51:47); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q1 51:40) — 19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger..
The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q2 42:18) — (12:18) 77-D.Weems reported in as eligible. 22-C.Anderson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 42:14) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the TB 20 (Q2 30:09) — (:09) (Field Goal formation) 8-B.McManus 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon..
The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the TB 6 (Q3 22:07) — (7:07) (Field Goal formation) 8-B.McManus 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon..
The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q4 9:01) — (9:01) 12-P.Lynch pass short right to 10-E.Sanders for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 8:55) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 58:41) — (13:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 11-A.Humphries INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at TB 36. 21-A.Talib to TB 11 for 25 yards (68-J.Hawley).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 33:34) — (3:34) 78-G.Cherilus reported in as eligible. 34-C.Sims up the middle to DEN 30 for -4 yards (43-T.Ward). FUMBLES (43-T.Ward), RECOVERED by DEN-97-B.Winn at DEN 30. 97-B.Winn to DEN 34 for 4 yards (34
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 43:22) — (13:22) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at TB 42. 21-A.Talib to TB 27 for 15 yards (68-J.Hawley).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 51:47) — (6:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston scrambles up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
- Denver Broncos (Q2 30:40) — (:40) (Shotgun) 12-P.Lynch pass short right to 10-E.Sanders to TB 29 for 18 yards (54-L.David).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 58:41) — (13:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 11-A.Humphries INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at TB 36. 21-A.Talib to TB 11 for 25 yards (68-J.Hawley).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 33:34) — (3:34) 78-G.Cherilus reported in as eligible. 34-C.Sims up the middle to DEN 30 for -4 yards (43-T.Ward). FUMBLES (43-T.Ward), RECOVERED by DEN-97-B.Winn at DEN 30. 97-B.Winn to DEN 34 for 4 yards (34
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 43:22) — (13:22) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at TB 42. 21-A.Talib to TB 27 for 15 yards (68-J.Hawley).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 40:37) — (10:37) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass incomplete deep right to 13-M.Evans. PENALTY on DEN-34-W.Parks, Defensive Pass Interference, 24 yards, enforced at TB 21 - No Play.
Quarterback report card
J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 48 dropbacks · 35.4% completion · -5.6% CPOE · -0.20 EPA/play · -9.54 total EPA
- P.Lynch (Denver Broncos) · 27 dropbacks · 51.9% completion · +3.1% CPOE · +0.31 EPA/play · +8.41 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Denver Broncos | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.023 | -0.264 |
| Offensive success rate | 44.0% | 31.0% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.299 | -0.199 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.221 | -0.584 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.264 | -0.023 |
| Defensive success rate | 69.0% | 56.0% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.26), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Denver Broncos: 13 drives, +2.05 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13 drives, -23.01 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- P. Lynch (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Winston (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- P. Lynch (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 58:31 · TB 11 · Score 6-0
(13:31) 13-T.Siemian pass short right to 88-D.Thomas for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 58:26 · TB 15 · Score 7-0
8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 51:47 · DEN 7 · Score 7-6
(6:47) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston scrambles up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Up - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 51:40 · DEN 15 · Score 7-7
19-R.Aguayo extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-B.Anger. - Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 42:18 · TB 1 · Score 13-7
(12:18) 77-D.Weems reported in as eligible. 22-C.Anderson left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 42:14 · TB 15 · Score 14-7
8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:09 · TB 20 · Score 17-7
(:09) (Field Goal formation) 8-B.McManus 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 22:07 · TB 6 · Score 20-7
(7:07) (Field Goal formation) 8-B.McManus 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon. - Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 9:01 · TB 5 · Score 26-7
(9:01) 12-P.Lynch pass short right to 10-E.Sanders for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 8:55 · TB 15 · Score 27-7
8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Denver Broncos beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27-7 in Week 4, 2016 on 2016-10-02.
What was the final score of Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Denver Broncos 27, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 (DEN 27-7 TB) in Week 4, 2016 on 2016-10-02.
What was the score by quarter in Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Denver Broncos 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q2: Denver Broncos 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q3: Denver Broncos 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q4: Denver Broncos 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: Denver Broncos 27, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Denver Broncos touchdown — D. Thomas (T. Siemian pass) (Q1 58:31) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Winston (Q1 51:47) Denver Broncos touchdown — C. Anderson (Q2 42:18) Denver Broncos touchdown — E. Sanders (P. Lynch pass) (Q4 9:01) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q2 30:09, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q3 22:07, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 35.4% completion, -5.6% CPOE, -0.20 EPA per dropback, -9.54 total passing EPA. P. Lynch (Denver Broncos), 51.9% completion, +3.1% CPOE, +0.31 EPA per dropback, +8.41 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
P. Lynch (Denver Broncos) led the game in total EPA with +8.41 on passing plays. across 27 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.62 EPA): (13:41) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 11-A.Humphries INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at TB 36. 21-A.Talib to TB 11 for 25 yards (68-J.Hawley).. The biggest win-probability swing was -14.3%.
Season records after this game
Denver Broncos
Entered 3-0 Now 4-0 W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 1-2 Now 1-3 L
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