Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets: 2008 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-11-30, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 34–17 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Favre (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -5.44 total EPA, and -10.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Cutler (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.58 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-25.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (9:31) #16 Smith in at QB (Shotgun) 16-B.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 23, RECOVERED by DEN-39-V.Fox at NYJ 23. 39-V.Fox for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Cutler · Denver Broncos · Passing · +12.58 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
2. 2 E. Royal · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +6.93 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Scheffler · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +6.19 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Keller · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.99 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Jones · New York Jets · Rushing · +5.06 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Stokley · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.95 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.48 EPA/play
7. 7 L. Washington · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.30 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
8. 8 B. Marshall · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.37 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Denver Broncos — V. Fox (Q1 54:31)
• New York Jets — T. Jones (Q1 53:32)
• Denver Broncos — E. Royal (J. Cutler pass) (Q1 51:55)
• New York Jets — T. Jones (Q2 42:56)
• Denver Broncos — P. Hillis (Q2 34:38)
• Denver Broncos — B. Stokley (J. Cutler pass) (Q4 9:37)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q1 46:48)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q2 30:08)
• New York Jets — J. Feely (Q3 17:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 17–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the DEN 61 (Q1 54:31); Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 53:41) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.; New York Jets found the end zone from the DEN 59 (Q1 53:32) — (8:32) 20-T.Jones right tackle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 53:21) — 3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-6-R.Hodges.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the NYJ 59 (Q1 51:55); Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 51:44) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the NYJ 7 (Q1 46:48) — (1:48) 5-M.Prater 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern..

The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the DEN 29 (Q2 42:56); New York Jets added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 42:44) — 3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-6-R.Hodges.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q2 34:38) — (4:38) #67Lichtensteiger reports as eligible receiver. 22-P.Hillis up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 34:29) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the NYJ 17 (Q2 30:08) — (:08) 5-M.Prater 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 3–0. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the DEN 12 (Q3 17:55) — (2:55) 3-J.Feely 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-6-R.Hodges..

The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the NYJ 36 (Q4 9:37) — (9:37) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 14-B.Stokley for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 9:26) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q1 54:31) — (9:31) #16 Smith in at QB (Shotgun) 16-B.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 23, RECOVERED by DEN-39-V.Fox at NYJ 23. 39-V.Fox for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -25.3% · EPA -9.17]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 51:55) — (6:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 19-E.Royal for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. New York Jets challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 06:44.) [WPA +17.2% · EPA +5.81]
• New York Jets (Q1 53:32) — (8:32) 20-T.Jones right tackle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.7% · EPA +4.74]
• New York Jets (Q2 42:56) — (12:56) 20-T.Jones right tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Denver challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 12:44.) [WPA +8.2% · EPA +3.10]
• New York Jets (Q2 37:55) — (7:55) 4-B.Favre pass deep left intended for 87-L.Coles INTERCEPTED by 32-D.Bly at DEN 32. 32-D.Bly to DEN 32 for no gain (87-L.Coles). [WPA -7.2% · EPA -2.75]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q1 54:31) — (9:31) #16 Smith in at QB (Shotgun) 16-B.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 23, RECOVERED by DEN-39-V.Fox at NYJ 23. 39-V.Fox for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -25.3% · EPA -9.17]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 51:55) — (6:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 19-E.Royal for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. New York Jets challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 06:44.) [WPA +17.2% · EPA +5.81]
• New York Jets (Q1 53:32) — (8:32) 20-T.Jones right tackle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.7% · EPA +4.74]
• Denver Broncos (Q4 9:37) — (9:37) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 14-B.Stokley for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.9% · EPA +4.40]

Quarterback report card

B.Favre led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Favre (New York Jets) · 48 dropbacks · 47.9% completion · -10.0% CPOE · -0.11 EPA/play · -5.44 total EPA
• J.Cutler (Denver Broncos) · 42 dropbacks · 64.3% completion · +2.0% CPOE · +0.30 EPA/play · +12.58 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.18 vs -0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Denver Broncos: 13 drives, +15.31 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 13 drives, -4.89 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. Cutler (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Favre (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 54:31 · DEN 61 · Score 6-0
   (9:31) #16 Smith in at QB (Shotgun) 16-B.Smith FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYJ 23, RECOVERED by DEN-39-V.Fox at NYJ 23. 39-V.Fox for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 53:41 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-0
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.
3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 53:32 · DEN 59 · Score 7-6
   (8:32) 20-T.Jones right tackle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 53:21 · DEN 2 · Score 7-7
   3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-6-R.Hodges.
5. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 51:55 · NYJ 59 · Score 13-7
   (6:55) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 19-E.Royal for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. New York Jets challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Up
6. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 51:44 · NYJ 2 · Score 14-7
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.
7. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 46:48 · NYJ 7 · Score 17-7
   (1:48) 5-M.Prater 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.
8. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 42:56 · DEN 29 · Score 17-13
   (12:56) 20-T.Jones right tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Denver challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 12:44.
9. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 42:44 · DEN 2 · Score 17-14
   3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-6-R.Hodges.
10. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 34:38 · NYJ 1 · Score 23-14
    (4:38) #67Lichtensteiger reports as eligible receiver. 22-P.Hillis up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 34:29 · NYJ 2 · Score 24-14
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.
12. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:08 · NYJ 17 · Score 27-14
    (:08) 5-M.Prater 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.
13. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 17:55 · DEN 12 · Score 27-17
    (2:55) 3-J.Feely 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-6-R.Hodges.
14. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 9:37 · NYJ 36 · Score 33-17
    (9:37) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right to 14-B.Stokley for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 9:26 · NYJ 2 · Score 34-17
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-1-B.Kern.