Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2024 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-11-24, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 29–19 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 25 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

G.Minshew II (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with -12.05 total EPA, and -5.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Sutton (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.99 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-18.4% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (11:44) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass deep right intended for 16-J.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones [15-N.Bonitto] at DEN 45. 22-B.Jones to LV 18 for 37 yards (11-T.Tucker).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Sutton · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +11.99 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Nix · Denver Broncos · Passing · +9.94 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Tucker · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +6.18 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Vele · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.62 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
5. 5 A. Cole · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +4.33 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.33 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Deablo · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.33 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.33 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Mims · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.06 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Franklin · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.03 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — A. Abdullah (G. Minshew pass) (Q2 43:40)
• Denver Broncos — C. Sutton (B. Nix pass) (Q3 25:53)
• Denver Broncos — C. Sutton (B. Nix pass) (Q4 5:34)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q1 47:51)
• Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q2 39:26)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 33:52)
• Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q2 30:58)
• Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q2 30:53)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 30:02)
• Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q4 12:10)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q4 9:04)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q4 3:41)
• Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q4 2:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 20 (Q1 47:51) — (2:51) 3-W.Lutz 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 13–9. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 6 (Q2 43:40) — (13:40) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short right to 8-A.Abdullah for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 43:36) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 35 (Q2 39:26) — (9:26) 3-W.Lutz 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 16 (Q2 33:52) — (3:52) 2-D.Carlson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 36 (Q2 30:58) — (:58) 3-W.Lutz 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the DEN 35 (Q2 30:53) — 3-W.Lutz kicks 65 yards from DEN 35 to end zone, Touchback to the LV 30.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 16 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 2-D.Carlson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 18 (Q3 25:53) — (10:53) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 25:49) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 19–6. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 26 (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) 3-W.Lutz 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 35 (Q4 9:04) — (9:04) 2-D.Carlson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 2 (Q4 5:34) — (5:34) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short middle to 14-C.Sutton for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 15 (Q4 5:30) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 4 (Q4 3:41) — (3:41) 2-D.Carlson 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 15 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) 3-W.Lutz 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 26:44) — (11:44) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass deep right intended for 16-J.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones [15-N.Bonitto] at DEN 45. 22-B.Jones to LV 18 for 37 yards (11-T.Tucker). [WPA -18.4% · EPA -6.27]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 38:33) — (8:33) (Punt formation) 6-A.Cole pass short right to 5-D.Deablo to DEN 30 for 34 yards (19-M.Mims). [WPA +10.7% · EPA +4.33]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 9:04) — (9:04) 2-D.Carlson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole. [WPA +10.2% · EPA +1.73]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 40:03) — (10:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-B.Nix sacked at LV 35 for -11 yards (9-T.Wilson). [WPA -9.9% · EPA -1.97]
• Denver Broncos (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) 3-W.Lutz 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon. [WPA +9.9% · EPA +1.00]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 26:44) — (11:44) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass deep right intended for 16-J.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones [15-N.Bonitto] at DEN 45. 22-B.Jones to LV 18 for 37 yards (11-T.Tucker). [WPA -18.4% · EPA -6.27]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 0:16) — (:16) (Shotgun) 10-D.Ridder sacked at DEN 9 for -8 yards (52-J.Elliss). [WPA -5.6% · EPA -4.87]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 38:33) — (8:33) (Punt formation) 6-A.Cole pass short right to 5-D.Deablo to DEN 30 for 34 yards (19-M.Mims). [WPA +10.7% · EPA +4.33]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 2:28) — (2:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Ridder sacked at LV 14 for -8 yards (15-N.Bonitto). FUMBLES (15-N.Bonitto) [98-J.Franklin-Myers], touched at LV 14, RECOVERED by DEN-97-M.Roach at LV 17. [WPA -6.8% · EPA -4.30]

Quarterback report card

G.Minshew II led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• G.Minshew II (Las Vegas Raiders) · 49 dropbacks · 51.0% completion · -5.6% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -12.05 total EPA
• B.Nix (Denver Broncos) · 45 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · -7.3% CPOE · +0.22 EPA/play · +9.94 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.09), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Denver Broncos: 11 drives, +7.30 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, -8.26 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• C. Sutton (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• G.Minshew II (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• B. Nix (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 47:51 · LV 20 · Score 3-0
   (2:51) 3-W.Lutz 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
2. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 43:40 · DEN 6 · Score 3-6
   (13:40) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass short right to 8-A.Abdullah for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 43:36 · DEN 15 · Score 3-7
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
4. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 39:26 · LV 35 · Score 6-7
   (9:26) 3-W.Lutz 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
5. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 33:52 · DEN 16 · Score 6-10
   (3:52) 2-D.Carlson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
6. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:58 · LV 36 · Score 9-10
   (:58) 3-W.Lutz 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
7. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:53 · DEN 35 · Score 9-10
   3-W.Lutz kicks 65 yards from DEN 35 to end zone, Touchback to the LV 30.
8. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · DEN 16 · Score 9-13
   (:02) 2-D.Carlson 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
9. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 25:53 · LV 18 · Score 15-13
   (10:53) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 25:49 · LV 15 · Score 16-13
    3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
11. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 12:10 · LV 26 · Score 19-13
    (12:10) 3-W.Lutz 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
12. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 9:04 · DEN 35 · Score 19-16
    (9:04) 2-D.Carlson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
13. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 5:34 · LV 2 · Score 25-16
    (5:34) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short middle to 14-C.Sutton for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Denver Broncos TD (+7) — Q4 5:30 · LV 15 · Score 26-16
    3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
15. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 3:41 · DEN 4 · Score 26-19
    (3:41) 2-D.Carlson 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-A.Cole.
16. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 2:00 · LV 15 · Score 29-19
    (2:00) 3-W.Lutz 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.