FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 24, 2018 · 11 min read

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2018 Week 16 Recap

Raiders defeat Broncos 27–14 in Week 16

Derek Carr led Fantasy Impact as Raiders prevailed in a 14–27 Week 16 finish.

Denver Broncos 14 6–9
Final 14–27
Las Vegas Raiders 27 4–11 Winner
Winner
Las Vegas Raiders
Final score
14–27
Halftime
Denver Broncos 0–24 Las Vegas Raiders
Top passer
Case Keenum
FantasyHQ MVP
Derek Carr
Game date
December 24, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Case Keenum
    Case Keenum 1 CAR +2.6 Fantasy Impact
  • DaVon Hamilton
    DaVon Hamilton 6 REC · 40 YDS · 1 TD +1.3 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Janovich 1 REC · 11 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • Derek Carr
    Derek Carr 19/31 · 159 YDS +6.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Jack Nelson
    Jack Nelson 7 REC · 75 YDS +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Richard 4 REC · 40 YDS +1.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Las Vegas Raiders defeated the Denver Broncos 27–14 in Week 16 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-24, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (+16.0% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-24, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 27–14 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Keenum (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with -1.67 total EPA, and -1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.59 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+16.0% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: Raiders Captains: #4 D.Carr, #58 K.Wilber, #61 R.Hudson, #98 F.Rucker Broncos Captains: #4 C.Keenum, #8 B.McManus, #23 D.Booker

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Denver Broncos0077014
Las Vegas Raiders1410010027

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +6.59 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Nelson · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.43 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. Keenum · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +2.62 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.62 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Richard · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.95 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Martin · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +1.37 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Hamilton · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.29 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Cook · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +0.92 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  8. 8 A. Janovich · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +0.90 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

D. Carr — LV · Passing

D. Carr posted the highest total EPA (+6.59) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Las Vegas Raiders's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.21 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.71 EPA) came from Denver Broncos: (10:35) 3-C.Wadman punts 65 yards to LV 1, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 17-D.Harris for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Harris (Q1 55:35)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Martin (Q2 38:01)
  • Denver Broncos — D. Hamilton (C. Keenum pass) (Q3 19:40)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — J. Richard (Q4 12:21)
  • Denver Broncos — C. Sutton (C. Keenum pass) (Q4 7:40)

Field goals

  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q2 30:23)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q4 4:42)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 14–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LV 66 (Q1 55:35); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q1 55:10) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 86 (Q1 53:00) — (8:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 87-J.Cook pushed ob at LV 28 for 14 yards (22-T.Brock)..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 24 (Q2 38:01) — (8:01) 28-D.Martin right tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 37:56) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 25 (Q2 30:23) — (:23) 8-D.Carlson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 7 (Q3 19:40) — (4:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass short left to 17-D.Hamilton for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 19:36) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 3 (Q4 12:21) — (12:21) (Shotgun) 30-J.Richard up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q4 12:16) — 8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 19 (Q4 7:40) — (7:40) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q4 7:31) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 27 (Q4 4:42) — (4:42) 8-D.Carlson 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1) — Raiders Captains: #4 D.Carr, #58 K.Wilber, #61 R.Hudson, #98 F.Rucker Broncos Captains: #4 C.Keenum, #8 B.McManus, #23 D.Booker [WPA +16.0% · EPA -1.54]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 55:35) — (10:35) 3-C.Wadman punts 65 yards to LV 1, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 17-D.Harris for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the fi [WPA -15.6% · EPA -5.71]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 45:52) — (:52) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum to DEN 40 for -6 yards (50-N.Morrow). FUMBLES (50-N.Morrow), recovered by DEN-30-P.Lindsay at DEN 42. 30-P.Lindsay ran ob at LV 47 for 11 yards (25-E.Harris). [WPA +6.2% · EPA +2.62]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 59:53) — (14:53) 30-P.Lindsay up the middle to DEN 26 for 3 yards (22-R.Melvin, 50-N.Morrow). [WPA +6.2% · EPA -0.18]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 50:05) — (5:05) 30-P.Lindsay left guard to DEN 36 for 11 yards (99-A.Key). PENALTY on LV-92-P.Hall, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 36. [WPA +5.3% · EPA +1.90]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Denver Broncos (Q1 55:35) — (10:35) 3-C.Wadman punts 65 yards to LV 1, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 17-D.Harris for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the fi [WPA -15.6% · EPA -5.71]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 0:35) — (:35) 4-D.Carr kneels to DEN 8 for -1 yards. [EPA -3.29]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 5:43) — (5:43) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass deep middle intended for 81-T.Patrick INTERCEPTED by 31-M.Gilchrist at DEN 33. 31-M.Gilchrist to DEN 31 for 2 yards (81-T.Patrick). [WPA -1.6% · EPA -3.20]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 7:40) — (7:40) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.4% · EPA +2.88]

Quarterback report card

C.Keenum led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Keenum (Denver Broncos) · 44 dropbacks · 52.3% completion · -1.6% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.67 total EPA
  • D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 31 dropbacks · 61.3% completion · +2.7% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +6.59 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDenver BroncosLas Vegas Raiders
Offensive EPA/play-0.149+0.000
Offensive success rate38.4%46.2%
Pass EPA/play-0.038+0.212
Rush EPA/play+0.011-0.078
Defensive EPA/play-0.000+0.149
Defensive success rate53.8%61.6%

By the numbers

Las Vegas Raiders held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.00 vs -0.15), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Denver Broncos: 11 drives, -12.81 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 11 drives, +0.03 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 55:35 · LV 66 · Score 0-6
    (10:35) 3-C.Wadman punts 65 yards to LV 1, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 17-D.Harris for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and t
  2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 55:10 · DEN 15 · Score 0-7
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.
  3. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+7) — Q1 53:00 · DEN 86 · Score 0-7
    (8:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 87-J.Cook pushed ob at LV 28 for 14 yards (22-T.Brock).
  4. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 38:01 · DEN 24 · Score 0-13
    (8:01) 28-D.Martin right tackle for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 37:56 · DEN 15 · Score 0-14
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.
  6. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 30:23 · DEN 25 · Score 0-17
    (:23) 8-D.Carlson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.
  7. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 19:40 · LV 7 · Score 6-17
    (4:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass short left to 17-D.Hamilton for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 19:36 · LV 15 · Score 7-17
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.
  9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 12:21 · DEN 3 · Score 7-23
    (12:21) (Shotgun) 30-J.Richard up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 12:16 · DEN 15 · Score 7-24
    8-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.
  11. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 7:40 · LV 19 · Score 13-24
    (7:40) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass deep right to 14-C.Sutton for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 7:31 · LV 15 · Score 14-24
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.
  13. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 4:42 · DEN 27 · Score 14-27
    (4:42) 8-D.Carlson 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-5-J.Townsend.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

The Las Vegas Raiders beat the Denver Broncos 27-14 in Week 16, 2018 on 2018-12-24.

What was the final score of Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

The final score was Denver Broncos 14, Las Vegas Raiders 27 (DEN 14-27 LV) in Week 16, 2018 on 2018-12-24.

What was the score by quarter in Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Q1: Denver Broncos 0, Las Vegas Raiders 14; Q2: Denver Broncos 0, Las Vegas Raiders 10; Q3: Denver Broncos 7, Las Vegas Raiders 0; Q4: Denver Broncos 7, Las Vegas Raiders 10; Final: Denver Broncos 14, Las Vegas Raiders 27.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — D. Harris (Q1 55:35) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — D. Martin (Q2 38:01) Denver Broncos touchdown — D. Hamilton (C. Keenum pass) (Q3 19:40) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — J. Richard (Q4 12:21) Denver Broncos touchdown — C. Sutton (C. Keenum pass) (Q4 7:40) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (Q2 30:23, 3 pts) Las Vegas Raiders field goal — D. Carlson (Q4 4:42, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

C. Keenum (Denver Broncos), 52.3% completion, -1.6% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -1.67 total passing EPA. D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders), 61.3% completion, +2.7% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +6.59 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) led the game in total EPA with +6.59 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.71 EPA): (10:35) 3-C.Wadman punts 65 yards to LV 1, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 17-D.Harris for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and the play was Upheld. . The biggest win-probability swing was +16.0%.

Season records after this game

Denver Broncos

Entered 6-8 Now 6-9 L

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 3-11 Now 4-11 W