Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2013 Week 17 Recap

Game story

In Week 17 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-12-29, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 34–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Pryor (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with +7.33 total EPA, and -6.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +23.67 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-11.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (6:57) M.McCants reports as elilgible receiver. (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 20, RECOVERED by DEN-92-S.Williams at LV 21.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Denver Broncos · Passing · +23.67 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +10.96 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.83 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Pryor · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +7.33 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Moreno · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +6.44 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.35 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Ball · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +3.68 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
7. 7 R. Streater · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.47 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
8. 8 N. Kasa · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.45 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.23 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Denver Broncos — E. Decker (P. Manning pass) (Q1 52:11)
• Denver Broncos — K. Moreno (P. Manning pass) (Q1 50:45)
• Denver Broncos — D. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q2 35:46)
• Denver Broncos — D. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q2 30:18)
• Las Vegas Raiders — R. Streater (T. Pryor pass) (Q4 4:30)
• Las Vegas Raiders — N. Kasa (T. Pryor pass) (Q4 0:46)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q2 42:42)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q4 6:41)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 14–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 3 (Q1 52:11) — (7:11) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-E.Decker for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 52:05) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 7 (Q1 50:45) — (5:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 27-K.Moreno for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 50:39) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 17–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 16 (Q2 42:42) — (12:42) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 63 (Q2 35:46) — (5:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 88-D.Thomas for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q2 35:37) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 5 (Q2 30:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 88-D.Thomas for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q2 30:13) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 14–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 36 (Q4 6:41) — (6:41) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 14 (Q4 4:30) — (4:30) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass short left to 80-R.Streater for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN [96-M.Unrein].; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 4:24) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 9 (Q4 0:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass short middle to 88-N.Kasa for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 0:37) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 51:57) — (6:57) M.McCants reports as elilgible receiver. (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 20, RECOVERED by DEN-92-S.Williams at LV 21. [WPA -11.2% · EPA -5.58]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 54:39) — (9:39) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 12-A.Caldwell to LV 25 for 16 yards (35-C.Chekwa). [WPA +6.0% · EPA +1.21]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 35:46) — (5:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 88-D.Thomas for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +4.8% · EPA +6.25]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 52:48) — (7:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 27-K.Moreno to LV 3 for 7 yards (29-B.Ross). [WPA +4.6% · EPA +2.08]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 56:51) — (11:51) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 27-K.Moreno to DEN 42 for 6 yards (99-L.Houston). [WPA +3.7% · EPA +1.19]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Denver Broncos (Q2 35:46) — (5:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 88-D.Thomas for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +4.8% · EPA +6.25]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 51:57) — (6:57) M.McCants reports as elilgible receiver. (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 20, RECOVERED by DEN-92-S.Williams at LV 21. [WPA -11.2% · EPA -5.58]
• Denver Broncos (Q3 26:04) — (11:04) 4-B.Colquitt punt is BLOCKED by 49-J.Olawale, Center-46-A.Brewer, RECOVERED by LV-37-C.Casey at DEN 24. 37-C.Casey to DEN 24 for no gain (84-J.Tamme). [WPA -0.1% · EPA -4.35]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 4:34) — (4:34) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass incomplete deep right to 17-D.Moore. PENALTY on DEN-23-Q.Jammer, Defensive Pass Interference, 21 yards, enforced at DEN 35 - No Play. [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.63]

Quarterback report card

T.Pryor led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Pryor (Las Vegas Raiders) · 48 dropbacks · 43.8% completion · -6.1% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +7.33 total EPA
• P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 30 dropbacks · 83.3% completion · +22.2% CPOE · +0.79 EPA/play · +23.67 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.19 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Denver Broncos: 11 drives, +18.05 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 11 drives, -5.69 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Manning (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• T. Pryor (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• P. Manning (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 52:11 · LV 3 · Score 6-0
   (7:11) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 87-E.Decker for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 52:05 · LV 2 · Score 7-0
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
3. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 50:45 · LV 7 · Score 13-0
   (5:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 27-K.Moreno for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 50:39 · LV 2 · Score 14-0
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
5. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 42:42 · LV 16 · Score 17-0
   (12:42) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
6. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 35:46 · LV 63 · Score 23-0
   (5:46) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 88-D.Thomas for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 35:37 · LV 2 · Score 24-0
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
8. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 30:18 · LV 5 · Score 30-0
   (:18) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 88-D.Thomas for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 30:13 · LV 2 · Score 31-0
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
10. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 6:41 · LV 36 · Score 34-0
    (6:41) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
11. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 4:30 · DEN 14 · Score 34-6
    (4:30) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass short left to 80-R.Streater for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN [96-M.Unrein].
12. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 4:24 · DEN 2 · Score 34-7
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.
13. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 0:46 · DEN 9 · Score 34-13
    (:46) (Shotgun) 2-T.Pryor pass short middle to 88-N.Kasa for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 0:37 · DEN 2 · Score 34-14
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-7-M.King.