FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 6, 2012 · 11 min read

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2012 Week 14 Recap

Broncos defeat Raiders 26–13 in Week 14

Paul Manning led Fantasy Impact as Broncos prevailed in a 26–13 Week 14 finish.

Denver Broncos 26 10–3 Winner
Final 26–13
Las Vegas Raiders 13 3–10
Winner
Denver Broncos
Final score
26–13
Halftime
Denver Broncos 13–7 Las Vegas Raiders
Top passer
Paul Manning
FantasyHQ MVP
Paul Manning
Game date
December 6, 2012

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Paul Manning 26/44 · 288 YDS · 1 TD +15.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Drake Thomas
    Drake Thomas 5 REC · 83 YDS +6.1 Fantasy Impact
  • E.Decker 8 REC · 88 YDS +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Raiders

  • R.Streater 4 REC · 100 YDS +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Heyward-Bey 5 REC · 82 YDS · 1 TD +2.9 Fantasy Impact
  • D.McFadden 2 REC · 12 YDS · 1 TD +1.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Denver Broncos defeated the Las Vegas Raiders 26–13 in Week 14 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-12-06, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (+18.2% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-12-06, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 26–13 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Manning (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +15.70 total EPA, and +10.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.70 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+18.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: Broncos' Captains: #18 P.Manning; #24 C.Bailey; #30 D.Bruton; #84 J.Tamme; #92 E.Dumervil

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Denver Broncos103130026
Las Vegas Raiders0706013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 P. Manning · Denver Broncos · Passing · +15.70 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  2. 2 R. Streater · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +6.17 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +6.14 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
  4. 4 E. Decker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.58 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  5. 5 K. Moreno · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.10 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Heyward-Bey · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.93 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Dreessen · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.37 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. McFadden · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.72 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

P. Manning — DEN · Passing

P. Manning posted the highest total EPA (+15.70) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Denver Broncos's efficiency. Across 44 counted snaps, they averaged +0.36 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.27 EPA) came from Las Vegas Raiders: (5:50) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at LV 3 for -9 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller), RECOVERED by DEN-96-M.Unrein at LV 2. 96-M.Unrein to LV 2 for no gain (3-C.Palmer).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Denver Broncos — J. Dreessen (P. Manning pass) (Q1 55:35)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. McFadden (C. Palmer pass) (Q2 32:06)
  • Denver Broncos — K. Moreno (Q3 20:14)
  • Las Vegas Raiders — D. Heyward-Bey (C. Palmer pass) (Q4 5:47)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q1 50:15)
  • Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q2 43:42)
  • Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q3 22:33)
  • Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q3 15:23)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 6 (Q1 55:35) — (10:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 81-J.Dreessen for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 55:30) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 25 (Q1 50:15) — (5:15) 5-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 15 (Q2 43:42) — (13:42) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 6 (Q2 32:06) — (2:06) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 20-D.McFadden for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 31:59) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 13–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 2 (Q3 22:33) — (7:33) 5-M.Prater 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 1 (Q3 20:14) — (5:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-K.Moreno left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q3 20:07) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 15 (Q3 15:23) — (:23) 5-M.Prater 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 6–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 56 (Q4 5:47) — (5:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep left to 85-D.Heyward-Bey for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1) — Broncos' Captains: #18 P.Manning; #24 C.Bailey; #30 D.Bruton; #84 J.Tamme; #92 E.Dumervil [WPA +18.2% · EPA -0.02]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 48:49) — (3:49) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep middle to 80-R.Streater to DEN 22 for 58 yards (32-T.Carter). [WPA +12.0% · EPA +5.01]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 48:06) — (3:06) 3-C.Palmer pass deep middle intended for 83-B.Myers INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bailey at DEN 3. 24-C.Bailey to DEN 21 for 18 yards (85-D.Heyward-Bey). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -4.68]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 58:10) — (13:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 87-E.Decker to LV 38 for 16 yards (33-T.Branch). [WPA +10.5% · EPA +2.39]
  • Denver Broncos (Q3 25:27) — (10:27) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 88-D.Thomas pushed ob at DEN 42 for 22 yards (21-R.Bartell). [WPA +9.7% · EPA +2.84]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 20:50) — (5:50) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at LV 3 for -9 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller), RECOVERED by DEN-96-M.Unrein at LV 2. 96-M.Unrein to LV 2 for no gain (3-C.Palmer). [WPA -9.6% · EPA -5.27]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 48:49) — (3:49) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep middle to 80-R.Streater to DEN 22 for 58 yards (32-T.Carter). [WPA +12.0% · EPA +5.01]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 5:47) — (5:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep left to 85-D.Heyward-Bey for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.3% · EPA +4.86]
  • Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 48:06) — (3:06) 3-C.Palmer pass deep middle intended for 83-B.Myers INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Bailey at DEN 3. 24-C.Bailey to DEN 21 for 18 yards (85-D.Heyward-Bey). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -4.68]

Quarterback report card

P.Manning led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 44 dropbacks · 59.1% completion · +10.7% CPOE · +0.36 EPA/play · +15.70 total EPA
  • C.Palmer (Las Vegas Raiders) · 35 dropbacks · 54.3% completion · -0.7% CPOE · +0.05 EPA/play · +1.61 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDenver BroncosLas Vegas Raiders
Offensive EPA/play+0.171-0.020
Offensive success rate53.1%37.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.357+0.046
Rush EPA/play+0.021-0.281
Defensive EPA/play+0.020-0.171
Defensive success rate62.3%46.9%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.17 vs -0.02), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Denver Broncos: 10 drives, +16.46 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Las Vegas Raiders: 11 drives, -1.37 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • P. Manning (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • P. Manning (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 55:35 · LV 6 · Score 6-0
    (10:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 81-J.Dreessen for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 55:30 · LV 2 · Score 7-0
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  3. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 50:15 · LV 25 · Score 10-0
    (5:15) 5-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  4. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 43:42 · LV 15 · Score 13-0
    (13:42) 5-M.Prater 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  5. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 32:06 · DEN 6 · Score 13-6
    (2:06) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass short left to 20-D.McFadden for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 31:59 · DEN 2 · Score 13-7
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
  7. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 22:33 · LV 2 · Score 16-7
    (7:33) 5-M.Prater 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  8. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 20:14 · LV 1 · Score 22-7
    (5:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-K.Moreno left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 20:07 · LV 2 · Score 23-7
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  10. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 15:23 · LV 15 · Score 26-7
    (:23) 5-M.Prater 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  11. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 5:47 · DEN 56 · Score 26-13
    (5:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer pass deep left to 85-D.Heyward-Bey for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

The Denver Broncos beat the Las Vegas Raiders 26-13 in Week 14, 2012 on 2012-12-06.

What was the final score of Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

The final score was Denver Broncos 26, Las Vegas Raiders 13 (DEN 26-13 LV) in Week 14, 2012 on 2012-12-06.

What was the score by quarter in Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Q1: Denver Broncos 10, Las Vegas Raiders 0; Q2: Denver Broncos 3, Las Vegas Raiders 7; Q3: Denver Broncos 13, Las Vegas Raiders 0; Q4: Denver Broncos 0, Las Vegas Raiders 6; Final: Denver Broncos 26, Las Vegas Raiders 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Denver Broncos touchdown — J. Dreessen (P. Manning pass) (Q1 55:35) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — D. McFadden (C. Palmer pass) (Q2 32:06) Denver Broncos touchdown — K. Moreno (Q3 20:14) Las Vegas Raiders touchdown — D. Heyward-Bey (C. Palmer pass) (Q4 5:47) Denver Broncos field goal — M. Prater (Q1 50:15, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — M. Prater (Q2 43:42, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — M. Prater (Q3 22:33, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — M. Prater (Q3 15:23, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

P. Manning (Denver Broncos), 59.1% completion, +10.7% CPOE, +0.36 EPA per dropback, +15.70 total passing EPA. C. Palmer (Las Vegas Raiders), 54.3% completion, -0.7% CPOE, +0.05 EPA per dropback, +1.61 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders?

P. Manning (Denver Broncos) led the game in total EPA with +15.70 on passing plays. across 44 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.27 EPA): (5:50) (Shotgun) 3-C.Palmer sacked at LV 3 for -9 yards (58-V.Miller). FUMBLES (58-V.Miller), RECOVERED by DEN-96-M.Unrein at LV 2. 96-M.Unrein to LV 2 for no gain (3-C.Palmer).. The biggest win-probability swing was +18.2%.

Season records after this game

Denver Broncos

Entered 9-3 Now 10-3 W

Las Vegas Raiders

Entered 3-9 Now 3-10 L