Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2010 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2010 NFL season on 2010-12-19, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 39–23 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Campbell (Las Vegas Raiders) paced the passing game, with +3.81 total EPA, and -5.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Lloyd (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.05 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-18.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (9:50) 8-J.Campbell pass deep left intended for 45-M.Reece INTERCEPTED by 23-R.Hill at DEN 14. 23-R.Hill to 50 for 36 yards (76-R.Gallery).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Lloyd · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +7.05 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.41 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Ford · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +4.57 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.28 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Tebow · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +4.42 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Tebow · Denver Broncos · Passing · +3.93 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Campbell · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +3.81 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Ford · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +1.44 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Gaffney · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.14 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Heyward-Bey · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +0.88 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Ford (Q1 58:26)
• Denver Broncos — T. Tebow (Q1 54:49)
• Denver Broncos — B. Lloyd (T. Tebow pass) (Q1 52:46)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Bush (Q1 48:25)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Reece (J. Campbell pass) (Q4 14:44)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Bush (Q4 3:39)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — S. Hauschka (Q2 44:14)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q2 31:07)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q3 22:32)
• Denver Broncos — S. Hauschka (Q3 20:09)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q3 16:34)
• Denver Broncos — S. Hauschka (Q4 10:09)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 14–14. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 71 (Q1 58:26) — (13:26) 12-J.Ford right end for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 58:14) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 40 (Q1 54:49) — (9:49) (Shotgun) 15-T.Tebow up the middle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 54:40) — 3-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 33 (Q1 52:46); Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 52:38) — 3-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 1 (Q1 48:25) — (3:25) 29-M.Bush left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 48:20) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 28 (Q2 44:14) — (14:14) 3-S.Hauschka 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 31 (Q2 31:07) — (1:07) 11-S.Janikowski 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 6–3. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 18 (Q3 22:32) — (7:32) 11-S.Janikowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 17 (Q3 20:09) — (5:09) 3-S.Hauschka 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 29 (Q3 16:34) — (1:34) 11-S.Janikowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 16–3. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 73 (Q4 14:44) — (14:44) 8-J.Campbell pass short right to 45-M.Reece for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 7 (Q4 14:32) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 27 (Q4 10:09) — (10:09) 3-S.Hauschka 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Las Vegas Raiders registered a safety from the LV 98 (Q4 7:41) — (7:41) 28-C.Buckhalter up the middle tackled in End Zone for -2 yards, SAFETY (52-Q.Groves).; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 1 (Q4 3:39) — (3:39) 29-M.Bush up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 3:37) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 39:50) — (9:50) 8-J.Campbell pass deep left intended for 45-M.Reece INTERCEPTED by 23-R.Hill at DEN 14. 23-R.Hill to 50 for 36 yards (76-R.Gallery). [WPA -18.5% · EPA -4.74]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1) — Broncos' Captains: #24 C.Bailey; #59 W.Woodyard; #73 C.Kuper; #89 D.Thomas [WPA +18.2% · EPA -0.02]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 53:28) — (8:28) 20-D.McFadden right end to LV 38 for -5 yards (52-J.Hunter). FUMBLES (52-J.Hunter), touched at LV 38, RECOVERED by DEN-52-J.Hunter at LV 32. 52-J.Hunter to LV 32 for no gain (12-J.Ford). [WPA -15.9% · EPA -5.56]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 54:49) — (9:49) (Shotgun) 15-T.Tebow up the middle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.6% · EPA +5.92]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 58:26) — (13:26) 12-J.Ford right end for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.6% · EPA +5.35]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Denver Broncos (Q1 54:49) — (9:49) (Shotgun) 15-T.Tebow up the middle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.6% · EPA +5.92]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q4 14:44) — (14:44) 8-J.Campbell pass short right to 45-M.Reece for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.1% · EPA +5.76]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 53:28) — (8:28) 20-D.McFadden right end to LV 38 for -5 yards (52-J.Hunter). FUMBLES (52-J.Hunter), touched at LV 38, RECOVERED by DEN-52-J.Hunter at LV 32. 52-J.Hunter to LV 32 for no gain (12-J.Ford). [WPA -15.9% · EPA -5.56]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 58:26) — (13:26) 12-J.Ford right end for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.6% · EPA +5.35]

Quarterback report card

J.Campbell led all passers in efficiency for Las Vegas Raiders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Campbell (Las Vegas Raiders) · 32 dropbacks · 46.9% completion · -5.7% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +3.81 total EPA
• T.Tebow (Denver Broncos) · 20 dropbacks · 40.0% completion · -4.8% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +3.93 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Las Vegas Raiders held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.12 vs +0.00), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Denver Broncos: 14 drives, +0.12 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 16 drives, +11.72 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• B. Lloyd (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Campbell (LV) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• T. Tebow (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 58:26 · DEN 71 · Score 0-6
   (13:26) 12-J.Ford right end for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 58:14 · DEN 2 · Score 0-7
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
3. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 54:49 · LV 40 · Score 6-7
   (9:49) (Shotgun) 15-T.Tebow up the middle for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 54:40 · LV 2 · Score 7-7
   3-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
5. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 52:46 · LV 33 · Score 13-7
   (7:46) 15-T.Tebow pass incomplete deep right to 84-B.Lloyd. Denver challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 15-T.Tebow pass deep right
6. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 52:38 · LV 2 · Score 14-7
   3-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 48:25 · DEN 1 · Score 14-13
   (3:25) 29-M.Bush left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 48:20 · DEN 2 · Score 14-14
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
9. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 44:14 · LV 28 · Score 17-14
   (14:14) 3-S.Hauschka 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
10. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q2 31:07 · DEN 31 · Score 17-17
    (1:07) 11-S.Janikowski 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
11. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 22:32 · DEN 18 · Score 17-20
    (7:32) 11-S.Janikowski 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
12. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 20:09 · LV 17 · Score 20-20
    (5:09) 3-S.Hauschka 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
13. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 16:34 · DEN 29 · Score 20-23
    (1:34) 11-S.Janikowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
14. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 14:44 · DEN 73 · Score 20-29
    (14:44) 8-J.Campbell pass short right to 45-M.Reece for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 14:32 · DEN 7 · Score 20-30
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
16. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 10:09 · LV 27 · Score 23-30
    (10:09) 3-S.Hauschka 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
17. Las Vegas Raiders Safety (+2) — Q4 7:41 · LV 98 · Score 23-32
    (7:41) 28-C.Buckhalter up the middle tackled in End Zone for -2 yards, SAFETY (52-Q.Groves).
18. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 3:39 · DEN 1 · Score 23-38
    (3:39) 29-M.Bush up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
19. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 3:37 · DEN 2 · Score 23-39
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.