FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 24, 2007 · 10 min read

Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers: 2007 Week 16 Recap

Chargers defeat Broncos 23–3 in Week 16

Philip Rivers led Fantasy Impact as Chargers prevailed in a 3–23 Week 16 finish.

Denver Broncos 3 6–9
Final 3–23
Los Angeles Chargers 23 10–5 Winner
Winner
Los Angeles Chargers
Final score
3–23
Halftime
Denver Broncos 0–16 Los Angeles Chargers
Top passer
J. Cutler
FantasyHQ MVP
Philip Rivers
Game date
December 24, 2007

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • B.Marshall 6 REC · 75 YDS +7.0 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Scheffler 2 REC · 37 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Mustard 2 REC · 21 YDS +1.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Chargers

  • Philip Rivers
    Philip Rivers 17/26 · 186 YDS · 1 TD +9.4 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Chambers 4 REC · 71 YDS · 1 TD +7.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Laken Tomlinson
    Laken Tomlinson 20 CAR · 107 YDS · 1 TD +5.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Los Angeles Chargers defeated the Denver Broncos 23–3 in Week 16 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-24, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-12.7% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Denver Broncos swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-24, the Los Angeles Chargers took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 23–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Cutler (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with -11.61 total EPA, and -16.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Rivers (Los Angeles Chargers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.45 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (12:46) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler sacked at LAC 18 for 0 yards (99-I.Olshansky). FUMBLES (99-I.Olshansky) [93-L.Castillo], RECOVERED by LAC-56-S.Merriman at LAC 16. 56-S.Merriman to LAC 16 for no gain (73-

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3T
Denver Broncos003003
Los Angeles Chargers10670023

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 P. Rivers · Los Angeles Chargers · Passing · +9.45 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Chambers · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +7.85 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.96 EPA/play
  3. 3 B. Marshall · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +7.04 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
  4. 4 L. Tomlinson · Los Angeles Chargers · Rushing · +4.99 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Scheffler · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.03 EPA/play
  6. 6 V. Jackson · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +3.79 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Gates · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +2.72 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.72 EPA/play
  8. 8 C. Davis · Los Angeles Chargers · Receiving · +2.62 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

P. Rivers — LAC · Passing

P. Rivers posted the highest total EPA (+9.45) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Chargers's efficiency. Across 26 counted snaps, they averaged +0.36 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.87 EPA) came from Los Angeles Chargers: (3:42) 7-B.Volek FUMBLES (Aborted) at LAC 9, RECOVERED by DEN-79-M.Thomas at LAC 7. 79-M.Thomas to LAC 7 for no gain (7-B.Volek).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Chargers — L. Tomlinson (Q1 46:59)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — C. Chambers (P. Rivers pass) (Q3 23:03)

Field goals

  • Los Angeles Chargers — N. Kaeding (Q1 52:32)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — N. Kaeding (Q2 33:45)
  • Los Angeles Chargers — N. Kaeding (Q2 30:02)
  • Denver Broncos — J. Elam (Q3 17:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 10–0. Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the DEN 23 (Q1 52:32) — (7:32) 10-N.Kaeding 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres.; Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the DEN 17 (Q1 46:59) — (1:59) 21-L.Tomlinson up the middle for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 46:51) — 10-N.Kaeding extra point is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres..

The second quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 6–0. Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the DEN 5 (Q2 33:45) — (3:45) 10-N.Kaeding 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres.; Los Angeles Chargers connected on a field goal from the DEN 11 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 10-N.Kaeding 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres..

The third quarter: Los Angeles Chargers won the period 7–3. Los Angeles Chargers found the end zone from the DEN 14 (Q3 23:03) — (8:03) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 89-C.Chambers for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Chargers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 22:56) — 10-N.Kaeding extra point is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LAC 5 (Q3 17:50) — (2:50) 1-J.Elam 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-6-J.Cutler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Denver Broncos (Q1 57:46) — (12:46) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler sacked at LAC 18 for 0 yards (99-I.Olshansky). FUMBLES (99-I.Olshansky) [93-L.Castillo], RECOVERED by LAC-56-S.Merriman at LAC 16. 56-S.Merriman to LAC 16 for no gain (73- [WPA -12.7% · EPA -4.18]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 48:35) — (3:35) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass deep left to 89-C.Chambers to DEN 12 for 30 yards (22-D.Foxworth). FUMBLES (22-D.Foxworth), ball out of bounds at DEN 12. [WPA +6.3% · EPA +3.03]
  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q1 55:07) — (10:07) 21-L.Tomlinson up the middle to DEN 46 for 2 yards (47-J.Lynch). PENALTY on DEN-47-J.Lynch, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 46. [WPA +6.2% · EPA +1.51]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 58:43) — (13:43) 6-J.Cutler pass deep middle to 88-T.Scheffler to LAC 21 for 20 yards (42-C.Hart). Penalty on LAC-31-A.Cromartie, Illegal Use of Hands, declined. [WPA +6.0% · EPA +1.40]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 45:30) — (:30) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 88-T.Scheffler pushed ob at DEN 45 for 17 yards (29-D.Florence). [WPA +4.6% · EPA +2.65]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Chargers (Q3 18:42) — (3:42) 7-B.Volek FUMBLES (Aborted) at LAC 9, RECOVERED by DEN-79-M.Thomas at LAC 7. 79-M.Thomas to LAC 7 for no gain (7-B.Volek). [WPA -0.7% · EPA -4.87]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 57:46) — (12:46) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler sacked at LAC 18 for 0 yards (99-I.Olshansky). FUMBLES (99-I.Olshansky) [93-L.Castillo], RECOVERED by LAC-56-S.Merriman at LAC 16. 56-S.Merriman to LAC 16 for no gain (73- [WPA -12.7% · EPA -4.18]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 11:48) — (11:48) 37-C.Sapp up the middle to LAC 3 for -1 yards (57-M.Wilhelm). [WPA -0.9% · EPA -3.44]
  • Denver Broncos (Q3 20:22) — (5:22) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 15-B.Marshall to LAC 21 for 27 yards (23-Q.Jammer). [WPA +0.5% · EPA +3.29]

Quarterback report card

J.Cutler led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Cutler (Denver Broncos) · 39 dropbacks · 35.9% completion · -16.6% CPOE · -0.30 EPA/play · -11.61 total EPA
  • P.Rivers (Los Angeles Chargers) · 26 dropbacks · 65.4% completion · +11.6% CPOE · +0.36 EPA/play · +9.45 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDenver BroncosLos Angeles Chargers
Offensive EPA/play-0.244+0.022
Offensive success rate31.0%42.2%
Pass EPA/play-0.298+0.151
Rush EPA/play-0.494-0.108
Defensive EPA/play-0.022+0.244
Defensive success rate57.8%69.0%

By the numbers

Los Angeles Chargers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.24), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Denver Broncos: 11 drives, -17.33 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Chargers: 12 drives, +1.81 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Los Angeles Chargers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • P. Rivers (Los Angeles Chargers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Cutler (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • P. Rivers (LAC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q1 52:32 · DEN 23 · Score 0-3
    (7:32) 10-N.Kaeding 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres.
  2. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q1 46:59 · DEN 17 · Score 0-9
    (1:59) 21-L.Tomlinson up the middle for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q1 46:51 · DEN 2 · Score 0-10
    10-N.Kaeding extra point is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres.
  4. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 33:45 · DEN 5 · Score 0-13
    (3:45) 10-N.Kaeding 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres.
  5. Los Angeles Chargers FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · DEN 11 · Score 0-16
    (:02) 10-N.Kaeding 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres.
  6. Los Angeles Chargers TD (+6) — Q3 23:03 · DEN 14 · Score 0-22
    (8:03) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 89-C.Chambers for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Los Angeles Chargers XP (+1) — Q3 22:56 · DEN 2 · Score 0-23
    10-N.Kaeding extra point is GOOD, Center-50-D.Binn, Holder-5-M.Scifres.
  8. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 17:50 · LAC 5 · Score 3-23
    (2:50) 1-J.Elam 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-6-J.Cutler.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?

The Los Angeles Chargers beat the Denver Broncos 23-3 in Week 16, 2007 on 2007-12-24.

What was the final score of Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?

The final score was Denver Broncos 3, Los Angeles Chargers 23 (DEN 3-23 LAC) in Week 16, 2007 on 2007-12-24.

What was the score by quarter in Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?

Q1: Denver Broncos 0, Los Angeles Chargers 10; Q2: Denver Broncos 0, Los Angeles Chargers 6; Q3: Denver Broncos 3, Los Angeles Chargers 7; Final: Denver Broncos 3, Los Angeles Chargers 23.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?

Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — L. Tomlinson (Q1 46:59) Los Angeles Chargers touchdown — C. Chambers (P. Rivers pass) (Q3 23:03) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — N. Kaeding (Q1 52:32, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — N. Kaeding (Q2 33:45, 3 pts) Los Angeles Chargers field goal — N. Kaeding (Q2 30:02, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — J. Elam (Q3 17:50, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?

J. Cutler (Denver Broncos), 35.9% completion, -16.6% CPOE, -0.30 EPA per dropback, -11.61 total passing EPA. P. Rivers (Los Angeles Chargers), 65.4% completion, +11.6% CPOE, +0.36 EPA per dropback, +9.45 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers?

P. Rivers (Los Angeles Chargers) led the game in total EPA with +9.45 on passing plays. across 26 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.87 EPA): (3:42) 7-B.Volek FUMBLES (Aborted) at LAC 9, RECOVERED by DEN-79-M.Thomas at LAC 7. 79-M.Thomas to LAC 7 for no gain (7-B.Volek).. The biggest win-probability swing was -12.7%.

Season records after this game

Denver Broncos

Entered 6-8 Now 6-9 L

Los Angeles Chargers

Entered 9-5 Now 10-5 W