Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2024 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-11-10, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 16–14 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +6.15 total EPA, and +2.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Nix (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.21 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-55.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (:01) 3-W.Lutz 35 yard field goal is BLOCKED (54-L.Chenal), Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon, RECOVERED by KC-2-J.Williams at KC 24.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Nix · Denver Broncos · Passing · +6.21 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
2. 2 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +6.15 total EPA · 51 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Sutton · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.93 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Vele · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.71 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +5.17 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Hopkins · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.20 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Trautman · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.05 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.05 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Perine · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.25 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Denver Broncos — D. Vele (B. Nix pass) (Q2 44:23)
• Denver Broncos — C. Sutton (B. Nix pass) (Q2 36:45)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Kelce (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 31:47)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 39:06)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q3 18:54)
• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q4 5:59)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 14–10. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the KC 6 (Q2 44:23) — (14:23) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short middle to 17-D.Vele for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 44:20) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the DEN 18 (Q2 39:06) — (9:06) 7-H.Butker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the KC 32 (Q2 36:45) — (6:45) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 36:39) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the DEN 2 (Q2 31:47) — (1:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 31:44) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza. ** Injury Update: KC-64-W.Morris has returned to the game..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 3–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the DEN 10 (Q3 18:54) — (3:54) 7-H.Butker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 3–0. Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the DEN 2 (Q4 5:59) — (5:59) 7-H.Butker 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Denver Broncos (Q4 0:01) — (:01) 3-W.Lutz 35 yard field goal is BLOCKED (54-L.Chenal), Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon, RECOVERED by KC-2-J.Williams at KC 24. [WPA -55.3% · EPA -2.74]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 10:02) — (10:02) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins to DEN 18 for 31 yards (21-R.Moss). [WPA +17.7% · EPA +3.62]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 23:28) — (8:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 34-S.Perine to DEN 32 for 35 yards (29-J.McMillian). [WPA +15.7% · EPA +3.63]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 31:47) — (1:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.6% · EPA +4.00]
• Denver Broncos (Q4 1:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 14-C.Sutton to KC 17 for 13 yards (22-T.McDuffie). [WPA +15.4% · EPA +1.02]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 31:47) — (1:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.6% · EPA +4.00]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 36:45) — (6:45) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.7% · EPA +3.73]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 23:28) — (8:28) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 34-S.Perine to DEN 32 for 35 yards (29-J.McMillian). [WPA +15.7% · EPA +3.63]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q4 10:02) — (10:02) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 8-D.Hopkins to DEN 18 for 31 yards (21-R.Moss). [WPA +17.7% · EPA +3.62]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 51 dropbacks · 54.9% completion · +2.3% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +6.15 total EPA
• B.Nix (Denver Broncos) · 34 dropbacks · 64.7% completion · +12.6% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +6.21 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Denver Broncos -0.01, Kansas City Chiefs +0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Denver Broncos: 9 drives, -0.99 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 9 drives, +1.54 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• B. Nix (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Nix (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 44:23 · KC 6 · Score 6-0
   (14:23) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short middle to 17-D.Vele for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 44:20 · KC 15 · Score 7-0
   3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
3. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 39:06 · DEN 18 · Score 7-3
   (9:06) 7-H.Butker 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
4. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 36:45 · KC 32 · Score 13-3
   (6:45) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 36:39 · KC 15 · Score 14-3
   3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
6. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 31:47 · DEN 2 · Score 14-9
   (1:47) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 87-T.Kelce for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 31:44 · DEN 15 · Score 14-10
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza. ** Injury Update: KC-64-W.Morris has returned to the game.
8. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q3 18:54 · DEN 10 · Score 14-13
   (3:54) 7-H.Butker 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.
9. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q4 5:59 · DEN 2 · Score 14-16
   (5:59) 7-H.Butker 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-14-M.Araiza.