Denver Broncos vs. Carolina Panthers: 2022 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-11-27, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 23–10 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Wilson (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with -10.71 total EPA, and -1.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Moore (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.98 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.7% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (4:02) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson sacked at CAR 31 for -8 yards (53-B.Burns). FUMBLES (53-B.Burns), touched at CAR 21, RECOVERED by CAR-97-Y.Gross-Matos at CAR 21.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Moore · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +6.98 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.16 EPA/play
2. 2 S. Darnold · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +5.04 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Sutton · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.67 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
4. 4 S. Chandler · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +2.17 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.17 EPA/play
5. 5 I. Thomas · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.72 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play
6. 6 L. Murray · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.36 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.36 EPA/play
7. 7 L. Shenault · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.98 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
8. 8 K. Hinton · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +0.79 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Carolina Panthers — D. Moore (S. Darnold pass) (Q1 45:36)
• Carolina Panthers — S. Darnold (Q3 22:26)
• Denver Broncos — B. Johnson (R. Wilson pass) (Q4 3:24)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q2 40:14)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q2 34:46)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q4 13:36)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q4 9:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the DEN 5 (Q1 45:36) — (:36) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 2-D.Moore for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q1 45:30) — 4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CAR 9 (Q2 40:14) — (10:14) 8-B.McManus 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the DEN 24 (Q2 34:46) — (4:46) 4-E.Pineiro 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker..

The third quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 13–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the DEN 2 (Q3 22:26); Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the DEN 15 (Q3 22:21) — 4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker..

The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–6. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the DEN 8 (Q4 13:36); Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the DEN 18 (Q4 9:04) — (9:04) 4-E.Pineiro 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CAR 1 (Q4 3:24) — (3:24) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 89-B.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 3:19) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Denver Broncos (Q2 34:02) — (4:02) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson sacked at CAR 31 for -8 yards (53-B.Burns). FUMBLES (53-B.Burns), touched at CAR 21, RECOVERED by CAR-97-Y.Gross-Matos at CAR 21. [WPA -12.7% · EPA -4.34]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 42:56) — (12:56) 17-C.Waitman punts 37 yards to CAR 25, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer. 20-R.Blackshear MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-32-D.Turner-Yell at CAR 27. [WPA +12.3% · EPA +5.14]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 34:42) — (4:42) 28-L.Murray up the middle ran ob at CAR 23 for 52 yards (7-S.Thompson). [WPA +9.9% · EPA +3.29]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 49:03) — (4:03) 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 2-D.Moore pushed ob at DEN 32 for 26 yards (27-D.Mathis). [WPA +7.8% · EPA +2.11]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 8-B.McManus 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman. [WPA -7.5% · EPA -1.53]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Denver Broncos (Q2 42:56) — (12:56) 17-C.Waitman punts 37 yards to CAR 25, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer. 20-R.Blackshear MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-32-D.Turner-Yell at CAR 27. [WPA +12.3% · EPA +5.14]
• Denver Broncos (Q4 13:33) — 4-E.Pineiro kicks 36 yards from 50 to DEN 14. 15-J.Virgil to DEN 35 for 21 yards (27-T.Carrie, 42-S.Franklin). FUMBLES (27-T.Carrie), RECOVERED by CAR-27-T.Carrie at DEN 35. [WPA -1.4% · EPA -4.69]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 34:02) — (4:02) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson sacked at CAR 31 for -8 yards (53-B.Burns). FUMBLES (53-B.Burns), touched at CAR 21, RECOVERED by CAR-97-Y.Gross-Matos at CAR 21. [WPA -12.7% · EPA -4.34]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 75-C.Erving reported in as eligible. 14-S.Darnold pass deep right to 2-D.Moore ran ob at DEN 9 for 52 yards. [WPA +0.6% · EPA +3.32]

Quarterback report card

R.Wilson led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• R.Wilson (Denver Broncos) · 43 dropbacks · 44.2% completion · -1.2% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -10.71 total EPA
• S.Darnold (Carolina Panthers) · 20 dropbacks · 55.0% completion · +5.0% CPOE · +0.25 EPA/play · +5.04 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Carolina Panthers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.17), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, +2.33 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Denver Broncos: 13 drives, -13.37 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Moore (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• S. Darnold (CAR) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 45:36 · DEN 5 · Score 0-6
   (:36) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 2-D.Moore for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 45:30 · DEN 15 · Score 0-7
   4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
3. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 40:14 · CAR 9 · Score 3-7
   (10:14) 8-B.McManus 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.
4. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 34:46 · DEN 24 · Score 3-10
   (4:46) 4-E.Pineiro 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
5. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 22:26 · DEN 2 · Score 3-16
   (7:26) (Shotgun) 75-C.Erving reported in as eligible. 14-S.Darnold up the middle to DEN 2 for no gain (47-J.Jewell). FUMBLES (47-J.Jewell), and recovers at DEN
6. Carolina Panthers TD (+7) — Q3 22:21 · DEN 15 · Score 3-17
   4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
7. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 13:36 · DEN 8 · Score 3-20
   (13:36) 4-E.Pineiro 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker. PENALTY on DEN-98-M.Purcell, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced b
8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 9:04 · DEN 18 · Score 3-23
   (9:04) 4-E.Pineiro 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
9. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 3:24 · CAR 1 · Score 9-23
   (3:24) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 89-B.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 3:19 · CAR 15 · Score 10-23
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-17-C.Waitman.