Denver Broncos vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2012 Week 15 Recap

Game story

In Week 15 of the 2012 NFL season on 2012-12-16, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Baltimore Ravens, pulling away with a 34–17 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with -16.99 total EPA, and -10.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, E. Decker (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.75 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-25.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (:30) (No Huddle) 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 81-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at DEN 2. 25-C.Harris for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Chris Harris' 98-yd INT return for TD is the longest INT

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 E. Decker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +11.75 total EPA · 11 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Pitta · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +8.29 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
3. 3 P. Manning · Denver Broncos · Passing · +4.58 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Moreno · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +4.01 total EPA · 23 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Jones · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.53 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Stokley · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.25 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Dreessen · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.06 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Reed · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.03 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Denver Broncos — J. Hester (Q2 41:59)
• Denver Broncos — C. Harris (Q2 30:30)
• Denver Broncos — E. Decker (P. Manning pass) (Q3 25:02)
• Denver Broncos — K. Moreno (Q3 22:44)
• Baltimore Ravens — D. Pitta (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 14:47)
• Baltimore Ravens — D. Pitta (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 4:32)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q1 52:16)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q3 27:22)
• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q4 5:16)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the BAL 9 (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 14–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the BAL 1 (Q2 41:59) — (11:59) 40-J.Hester left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q2 41:51) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the DEN 4 (Q2 30:30); Denver Broncos added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q2 30:15) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 14–3. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the DEN 27 (Q3 27:22) — (12:22) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the BAL 51 (Q3 25:02) — (10:02) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-E.Decker for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q3 24:53) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the BAL 6 (Q3 22:44) — (7:44) 27-K.Moreno right guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q3 22:40) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 14–3. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the DEN 31 (Q4 14:47); Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 14:31) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the BAL 18 (Q4 5:16) — (5:16) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the DEN 61 (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 4:08) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 30:30) — (:30) (No Huddle) 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 81-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at DEN 2. 25-C.Harris for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Chris Harris' 98-yd INT return for TD is the longest INT [WPA -25.0% · EPA -12.52]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q1 57:17) — (12:17) 5-J.Flacco up the middle to DEN 45 for 1 yard (97-J.Bannan). FUMBLES (97-J.Bannan), RECOVERED by DEN-26-R.Moore at DEN 47. 26-R.Moore to DEN 47 for no gain (82-T.Smith). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -4.77]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 54:52) — (9:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 14-B.Stokley to BAL 17 for 14 yards. [WPA +7.8% · EPA +1.96]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right to 12-J.Jones to DEN 34 for 43 yards (32-T.Carter). [WPA +7.3% · EPA +2.71]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 42:12) — (12:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 87-E.Decker for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Hud [WPA +6.3% · EPA +1.92]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 30:30) — (:30) (No Huddle) 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 81-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at DEN 2. 25-C.Harris for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Chris Harris' 98-yd INT return for TD is the longest INT [WPA -25.0% · EPA -12.52]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.1% · EPA +5.47]
• Denver Broncos (Q3 25:02) — (10:02) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-E.Decker for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.2% · EPA +4.77]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q1 57:17) — (12:17) 5-J.Flacco up the middle to DEN 45 for 1 yard (97-J.Bannan). FUMBLES (97-J.Bannan), RECOVERED by DEN-26-R.Moore at DEN 47. 26-R.Moore to DEN 47 for no gain (82-T.Smith). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -4.77]

Quarterback report card

J.Flacco led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 46 dropbacks · 43.5% completion · -10.8% CPOE · -0.37 EPA/play · -16.99 total EPA
• P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 30 dropbacks · 56.7% completion · +7.0% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +4.58 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.21), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Baltimore Ravens: 16 drives, -18.01 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Denver Broncos: 15 drives, +2.20 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• E. Decker (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Flacco (BAL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• P. Manning (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 52:16 · BAL 9 · Score 3-0
   (7:16) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
2. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 41:59 · BAL 1 · Score 9-0
   (11:59) 40-J.Hester left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 41:51 · BAL 2 · Score 10-0
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
4. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 30:30 · DEN 4 · Score 16-0
   (:30) (No Huddle) 5-J.Flacco pass short left intended for 81-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at DEN 2. 25-C.Harris for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Chris Harris' 98
5. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 30:15 · BAL 2 · Score 17-0
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
6. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q3 27:22 · DEN 27 · Score 17-3
   (12:22) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
7. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 25:02 · BAL 51 · Score 23-3
   (10:02) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-E.Decker for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 24:53 · BAL 2 · Score 24-3
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
9. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 22:44 · BAL 6 · Score 30-3
   (7:44) 27-K.Moreno right guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 22:40 · BAL 2 · Score 31-3
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
11. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 14:47 · DEN 31 · Score 31-9
    (14:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 88-D.Pitta for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane rulin
12. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 14:31 · DEN 2 · Score 31-10
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
13. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 5:16 · BAL 18 · Score 34-10
    (5:16) (Field Goal formation) 5-M.Prater 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
14. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 4:32 · DEN 61 · Score 34-16
    (4:32) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 88-D.Pitta for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 4:08 · DEN 2 · Score 34-17
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.