FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 15 · December 15, 2018 · 10 min read

Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos: 2018 Week 15 Recap

Browns defeat Broncos 17–16 in Week 15

Tim Patrick led Fantasy Impact as Browns prevailed in a 17–16 Week 15 finish.

Cleveland Browns 17 6–7 Winner
Final 17–16
Denver Broncos 16 6–8
Winner
Cleveland Browns
Final score
17–16
Halftime
Tied 10–10 at halftime
Top passer
Case Keenum
FantasyHQ MVP
Tim Patrick
Game date
December 15, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Browns

  • Breshad Perriman
    Breshad Perriman 1 REC · 31 YDS · 1 TD +3.7 Fantasy Impact
  • David Njoku
    David Njoku 3 REC · 30 YDS +3.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Dyontae Johnson
    Dyontae Johnson 4 CAR · 28 YDS +1.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Tim Patrick
    Tim Patrick 5 REC · 65 YDS +4.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Case Keenum
    Case Keenum 31/53 · 239 YDS · 1 TD +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • M.LaCosse 4 REC · 43 YDS +3.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Cleveland Browns defeated the Denver Broncos 17–16 in Week 15 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-15, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-28.0% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Cleveland Browns swung the momentum.

In Week 15 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-15, the Cleveland Browns took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 17–16 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Keenum (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +3.37 total EPA, and -0.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Patrick (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-28.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Cleveland Browns changed the game: (1:53) 24-N.Chubb right guard to DEN 12 for -2 yards (99-A.Gotsis).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Cleveland Browns7307017
Denver Broncos7333016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Patrick · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.30 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
  2. 2 B. Perriman · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +3.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.85 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Njoku · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +3.65 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Keenum · Denver Broncos · Passing · +3.37 total EPA · 53 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. LaCosse · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.30 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Sutton · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.04 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Johnson · Cleveland Browns · Rushing · +1.34 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  8. 8 B. Parker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +0.86 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Patrick — DEN · Receiving

T. Patrick posted the highest total EPA (+4.30) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Denver Broncos's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +0.54 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.38 EPA) came from Cleveland Browns: (5:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at DEN 43 for -7 yards (99-A.Gotsis). FUMBLES (99-A.Gotsis) [99-A.Gotsis], RECOVERED by DEN-95-D.Wolfe at DEN 40. 95-D.Wolfe to DEN 40 for no gain (64-J.Tretter).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Cleveland Browns — B. Perriman (B. Mayfield pass) (Q1 56:59)
  • Denver Broncos — C. Keenum (Q1 48:24)
  • Cleveland Browns — A. Callaway (B. Mayfield pass) (Q4 11:49)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q2 38:21)
  • Cleveland Browns — G. Joseph (Q2 34:57)
  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q3 16:45)
  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q4 4:39)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the DEN 31 (Q1 56:59) — (11:59) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 19-B.Perriman for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q1 56:49) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CLE 1 (Q1 48:24) — (3:24) 4-C.Keenum scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the CLE 15 (Q1 48:18) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CLE 26 (Q2 38:21) — (8:21) 8-B.McManus 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.; Cleveland Browns connected on a field goal from the DEN 22 (Q2 34:57) — (4:57) 17-G.Joseph 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CLE 24 (Q3 16:45) — (1:45) 8-B.McManus 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman..

The fourth quarter: Cleveland Browns won the period 7–3. Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the DEN 2 (Q4 11:49) — (11:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 11-A.Callaway for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q4 11:44) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CLE 11 (Q4 4:39) — (4:39) 8-B.McManus 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Cleveland Browns (Q4 1:53) — (1:53) 24-N.Chubb right guard to DEN 12 for -2 yards (99-A.Gotsis). [WPA -28.0% · EPA -2.98]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 0:43) — (:43) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum sacked at DEN 39 for -11 yards (22-J.Peppers). [WPA -23.4% · EPA -2.06]
  • Cleveland Browns (Q3 20:54) — (5:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at DEN 43 for -7 yards (99-A.Gotsis). FUMBLES (99-A.Gotsis) [99-A.Gotsis], RECOVERED by DEN-95-D.Wolfe at DEN 40. 95-D.Wolfe to DEN 40 for no gain (64-J.Tretter). [WPA -15.4% · EPA -5.38]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 14:49) — (14:49) 4-C.Keenum pass deep left intended for 17-D.Hamilton INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Carrie at DEN 48. 38-T.Carrie to DEN 48 for no gain (17-D.Hamilton). [WPA -14.6% · EPA -3.34]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 1:12) — (1:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass short left to 23-D.Booker to 50 for 15 yards (55-G.Avery). [WPA +13.8% · EPA +1.72]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Cleveland Browns (Q3 20:54) — (5:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at DEN 43 for -7 yards (99-A.Gotsis). FUMBLES (99-A.Gotsis) [99-A.Gotsis], RECOVERED by DEN-95-D.Wolfe at DEN 40. 95-D.Wolfe to DEN 40 for no gain (64-J.Tretter). [WPA -15.4% · EPA -5.38]
  • Cleveland Browns (Q1 56:59) — (11:59) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 19-B.Perriman for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.2% · EPA +4.30]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 14:49) — (14:49) 4-C.Keenum pass deep left intended for 17-D.Hamilton INTERCEPTED by 38-T.Carrie at DEN 48. 38-T.Carrie to DEN 48 for no gain (17-D.Hamilton). [WPA -14.6% · EPA -3.34]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 31:50) — (1:50) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum pass deep left intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 22-J.Peppers [65-L.Ogunjobi] at CLE 0. Touchback. [WPA -7.9% · EPA -3.21]

Quarterback report card

C.Keenum led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Keenum (Denver Broncos) · 53 dropbacks · 58.5% completion · -0.9% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +3.37 total EPA
  • B.Mayfield (Cleveland Browns) · 39 dropbacks · 46.2% completion · -2.0% CPOE · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.55 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCleveland BrownsDenver Broncos
Offensive EPA/play-0.030-0.041
Offensive success rate47.5%43.0%
Pass EPA/play-0.014+0.064
Rush EPA/play-0.100-0.400
Defensive EPA/play+0.041+0.030
Defensive success rate57.0%52.5%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Cleveland Browns -0.03, Denver Broncos -0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Cleveland Browns: 11 drives, -2.40 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Denver Broncos: 11 drives, -3.56 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Cleveland Browns leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • T. Patrick (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q1 56:59 · DEN 31 · Score 6-0
    (11:59) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 19-B.Perriman for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q1 56:49 · DEN 15 · Score 7-0
    17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  3. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 48:24 · CLE 1 · Score 7-6
    (3:24) 4-C.Keenum scrambles right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 48:18 · CLE 15 · Score 7-7
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.
  5. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 38:21 · CLE 26 · Score 7-10
    (8:21) 8-B.McManus 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.
  6. Cleveland Browns FG (+3) — Q2 34:57 · DEN 22 · Score 10-10
    (4:57) 17-G.Joseph 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  7. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 16:45 · CLE 24 · Score 10-13
    (1:45) 8-B.McManus 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.
  8. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q4 11:49 · DEN 2 · Score 16-13
    (11:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 11-A.Callaway for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q4 11:44 · DEN 15 · Score 17-13
    17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  10. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 4:39 · CLE 11 · Score 17-16
    (4:39) 8-B.McManus 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-3-C.Wadman.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos?

The Cleveland Browns beat the Denver Broncos 17-16 in Week 15, 2018 on 2018-12-15.

What was the final score of Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos?

The final score was Cleveland Browns 17, Denver Broncos 16 (CLE 17-16 DEN) in Week 15, 2018 on 2018-12-15.

What was the score by quarter in Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos?

Q1: Cleveland Browns 7, Denver Broncos 7; Q2: Cleveland Browns 3, Denver Broncos 3; Q3: Cleveland Browns 0, Denver Broncos 3; Q4: Cleveland Browns 7, Denver Broncos 3; Final: Cleveland Browns 17, Denver Broncos 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos?

Cleveland Browns touchdown — B. Perriman (B. Mayfield pass) (Q1 56:59) Denver Broncos touchdown — C. Keenum (Q1 48:24) Cleveland Browns touchdown — A. Callaway (B. Mayfield pass) (Q4 11:49) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q2 38:21, 3 pts) Cleveland Browns field goal — G. Joseph (Q2 34:57, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q3 16:45, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q4 4:39, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos?

C. Keenum (Denver Broncos), 58.5% completion, -0.9% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +3.37 total passing EPA. B. Mayfield (Cleveland Browns), 46.2% completion, -2.0% CPOE, -0.01 EPA per dropback, -0.55 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos?

T. Patrick (Denver Broncos) led the game in total EPA with +4.30 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.38 EPA): (5:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at DEN 43 for -7 yards (99-A.Gotsis). FUMBLES (99-A.Gotsis) [99-A.Gotsis], RECOVERED by DEN-95-D.Wolfe at DEN 40. 95-D.Wolfe to DEN 40 for no g. The biggest win-probability swing was -28.0%.

Was Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Cleveland Browns won 17-16 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Cleveland Browns

Entered 5-7 Now 6-7 W

Denver Broncos

Entered 6-7 Now 6-8 L