FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 15 · December 18, 2022 · 12 min read

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2022 Week 15 Recap

Bengals defeat Buccaneers 34–23 in Week 15

Chris Godwin led Fantasy Impact as Bengals prevailed in a 34–23 Week 15 finish.

Cincinnati Bengals 34 10–4 Winner
Final 34–23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 6–8
Winner
Cincinnati Bengals
Final score
34–23
Halftime
Cincinnati Bengals 3–23 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
T. Brady
FantasyHQ MVP
Chris Godwin
Game date
December 18, 2022

Top fantasy performers · Bengals

  • Joe Burrow
    Joe Burrow 27/44 · 196 YDS · 4 TD +5.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Mitchell Wilcox
    Mitchell Wilcox 3 REC · 34 YDS · 1 TD +4.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyler Boyd
    Tyler Boyd 5 REC · 35 YDS · 1 TD +3.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Chris Godwin
    Chris Godwin 8 REC · 83 YDS · 1 TD +6.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Russell Gage Jr.
    Russell Gage Jr. 8 REC · 59 YDS · 2 TD +6.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 5 REC · 83 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Cincinnati Bengals defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34–23 in Week 15 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-12-18, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-17.0% win probability) came in the third quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 15 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-12-18, the Cincinnati Bengals took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 34–23 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 26 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +3.43 total EPA, and +5.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.29 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.0% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (1:31) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 33, RECOVERED by CIN-98-D.Reader at TB 39.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Cincinnati Bengals031720034
Tampa Bay Buccaneers32006023

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.29 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
  2. 2 R. Gage · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.06 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Burrow · Cincinnati Bengals · Passing · +5.27 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Wilcox · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +4.67 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.56 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.96 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Brady · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +3.43 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Boyd · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +3.31 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  8. 8 L. Fournette · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.91 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Godwin — TB · Receiving

C. Godwin posted the highest total EPA (+6.29) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +0.79 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.47 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (1:31) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 33, RECOVERED by CIN-98-D.Reader at TB 39.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Gage (T. Brady pass) (Q2 44:17)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Godwin (T. Brady pass) (Q2 31:43)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — T. Higgins (J. Burrow pass) (Q3 20:47)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — T. Boyd (J. Burrow pass) (Q3 17:44)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — J. Chase (J. Burrow pass) (Q4 12:49)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — M. Wilcox (J. Burrow pass) (Q4 2:27)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Gage (T. Brady pass) (Q4 0:52)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Succop (Q1 51:10)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — E. McPherson (Q2 30:03)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — E. McPherson (Q3 27:08)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CIN 3 (Q1 51:10) — (6:10) 3-R.Succop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 20–3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CIN 1 (Q2 44:17) — (14:17) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 17-R.Gage for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q2 44:11) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CIN 5 (Q2 31:43) — (1:43) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CIN 15 (Q2 31:39) — 3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the TB 23 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 2-E.McPherson 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman..

The third quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 17–0. Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the TB 3 (Q3 27:08) — (12:08) 2-E.McPherson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q3 20:47) — (5:47) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 85-T.Higgins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q3 17:44) — (2:44) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 83-T.Boyd for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals registered a safety from the TB 2 (Q3 17:40) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 9-J.Burrow pass to 85-T.Higgins is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

The fourth quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 20–6. Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the TB 8 (Q4 12:49) — (12:49) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 1-J.Chase for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 12:45) — 2-E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the TB 12 (Q4 2:27) — (2:27) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 84-M.Wilcox for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the TB 15 (Q4 2:21) — 2-E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CIN 5 (Q4 0:52) — (:52) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 17-R.Gage for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 16:31) — (1:31) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 33, RECOVERED by CIN-98-D.Reader at TB 39. [WPA -17.0% · EPA -5.47]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 20:06) — (5:06) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at TB 12 for -9 yards (55-L.Wilson). FUMBLES (55-L.Wilson) [55-L.Wilson], RECOVERED by CIN-58-J.Ossai at TB 13. Fumble Forced by CIN-98-D.Reader. [WPA -13.7% · EPA -4.84]
  • Cincinnati Bengals (Q1 57:32) — (12:32) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left intended for 1-J.Chase INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Davis (22-K.Neal) at TB 30. 24-C.Davis to TB 30 for no gain (1-J.Chase). [WPA -13.4% · EPA -5.05]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 11:54) — (11:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 84-C.Brate INTERCEPTED by 57-G.Pratt (58-J.Ossai) [58-J.Ossai] at CIN 47. 57-G.Pratt to CIN 47 for no gain (13-M.Evans). [WPA -9.4% · EPA -4.27]
  • Cincinnati Bengals (Q4 14:15) — (14:15) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 84-M.Wilcox to TB 10 for 19 yards (26-L.Ryan). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +2.20]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 16:31) — (1:31) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 33, RECOVERED by CIN-98-D.Reader at TB 39. [WPA -17.0% · EPA -5.47]
  • Cincinnati Bengals (Q1 57:32) — (12:32) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left intended for 1-J.Chase INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Davis (22-K.Neal) at TB 30. 24-C.Davis to TB 30 for no gain (1-J.Chase). [WPA -13.4% · EPA -5.05]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 20:06) — (5:06) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady sacked at TB 12 for -9 yards (55-L.Wilson). FUMBLES (55-L.Wilson) [55-L.Wilson], RECOVERED by CIN-58-J.Ossai at TB 13. Fumble Forced by CIN-98-D.Reader. [WPA -13.7% · EPA -4.84]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 11:54) — (11:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left intended for 84-C.Brate INTERCEPTED by 57-G.Pratt (58-J.Ossai) [58-J.Ossai] at CIN 47. 57-G.Pratt to CIN 47 for no gain (13-M.Evans). [WPA -9.4% · EPA -4.27]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 48 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +5.5% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +3.43 total EPA
  • J.Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) · 44 dropbacks · 61.4% completion · +5.8% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +5.27 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCincinnati BengalsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.024-0.159
Offensive success rate48.8%40.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.120+0.071
Rush EPA/play-0.251-0.434
Defensive EPA/play+0.159-0.024
Defensive success rate59.1%51.2%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Cincinnati Bengals generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.16), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Cincinnati Bengals: 12 drives, +2.01 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, -14.03 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Cincinnati Bengals leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • C. Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Brady (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Burrow (CIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 51:10 · CIN 3 · Score 0-3
    (6:10) 3-R.Succop 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 44:17 · CIN 1 · Score 0-9
    (14:17) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 17-R.Gage for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 44:11 · CIN 15 · Score 0-10
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 31:43 · CIN 5 · Score 0-16
    (1:43) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 14-C.Godwin for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+7) — Q2 31:39 · CIN 15 · Score 0-17
    3-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
  6. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · TB 23 · Score 3-17
    (:03) 2-E.McPherson 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.
  7. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q3 27:08 · TB 3 · Score 6-17
    (12:08) 2-E.McPherson 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.
  8. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q3 20:47 · TB 5 · Score 12-17
    (5:47) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 85-T.Higgins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q3 17:44 · TB 3 · Score 18-17
    (2:44) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 83-T.Boyd for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Cincinnati Bengals Safety (+2) — Q3 17:40 · TB 2 · Score 20-17
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 9-J.Burrow pass to 85-T.Higgins is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  11. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q4 12:49 · TB 8 · Score 26-17
    (12:49) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short left to 1-J.Chase for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q4 12:45 · TB 15 · Score 27-17
    2-E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.
  13. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q4 2:27 · TB 12 · Score 33-17
    (2:27) 9-J.Burrow pass short right to 84-M.Wilcox for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+7) — Q4 2:21 · TB 15 · Score 34-17
    2-E.McPherson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-C.Adomitis, Holder-4-D.Chrisman.
  15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 0:52 · CIN 5 · Score 34-23
    (:52) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 17-R.Gage for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Cincinnati Bengals beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-23 in Week 15, 2022 on 2022-12-18.

What was the final score of Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Cincinnati Bengals 34, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23 (CIN 34-23 TB) in Week 15, 2022 on 2022-12-18.

What was the score by quarter in Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Cincinnati Bengals 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q2: Cincinnati Bengals 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20; Q3: Cincinnati Bengals 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q4: Cincinnati Bengals 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6; Final: Cincinnati Bengals 34, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Gage (T. Brady pass) (Q2 44:17) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Godwin (T. Brady pass) (Q2 31:43) Cincinnati Bengals touchdown — T. Higgins (J. Burrow pass) (Q3 20:47) Cincinnati Bengals touchdown — T. Boyd (J. Burrow pass) (Q3 17:44) Cincinnati Bengals touchdown — J. Chase (J. Burrow pass) (Q4 12:49) Cincinnati Bengals touchdown — M. Wilcox (J. Burrow pass) (Q4 2:27) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Gage (T. Brady pass) (Q4 0:52) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — R. Succop (Q1 51:10, 3 pts) Cincinnati Bengals field goal — E. McPherson (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Cincinnati Bengals field goal — E. McPherson (Q3 27:08, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

T. Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 62.5% completion, +5.5% CPOE, +0.07 EPA per dropback, +3.43 total passing EPA. J. Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals), 61.4% completion, +5.8% CPOE, +0.12 EPA per dropback, +5.27 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

C. Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +6.29 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.47 EPA): (1:31) 12-T.Brady FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 33, RECOVERED by CIN-98-D.Reader at TB 39.. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.0%.

Season records after this game

Cincinnati Bengals

Entered 9-4 Now 10-4 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 6-7 Now 6-8 L