Cincinnati Bengals vs. Detroit Lions: 2013 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-10-20, the Cincinnati Bengals took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 27–24 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +19.71 total EPA, and -0.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +22.26 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+34.0% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Detroit Lions changed the game: (12:10) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 81-C.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-M.Johnson].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Dalton · Cincinnati Bengals · Passing · +22.26 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +19.71 total EPA · 53 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Johnson · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +12.51 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Green · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +10.39 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Jones · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +7.19 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
6. 6 K. Ogletree · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +5.72 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.86 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Gresham · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +4.19 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.84 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Eifert · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +3.33 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Cincinnati Bengals — A. Green (A. Dalton pass) (Q1 56:12)
• Detroit Lions — B. Pettigrew (M. Stafford pass) (Q1 48:06)
• Cincinnati Bengals — M. Jones (A. Dalton pass) (Q2 30:46)
• Cincinnati Bengals — T. Eifert (A. Dalton pass) (Q3 25:49)
• Detroit Lions — C. Johnson (M. Stafford pass) (Q3 23:23)
• Detroit Lions — C. Johnson (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 12:10)

Field goals

• Detroit Lions — D. Akers (Q2 41:47)
• Cincinnati Bengals — M. Nugent (Q3 18:42)
• Cincinnati Bengals — M. Nugent (Q4 0:04)
• Cincinnati Bengals — unlisted player (Q4 0:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the DET 82 (Q1 56:12) — (11:12) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right to 18-A.Green for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q1 55:59) — 2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the CIN 3 (Q1 48:06) — (3:06) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 87-B.Pettigrew for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the CIN 2 (Q1 48:02) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

The second quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 7–3. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the CIN 18 (Q2 41:47) — (11:47) 2-D.Akers 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the DET 12 (Q2 30:46) — (:46) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 82-M.Jones for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q2 30:41) — 2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber..

The third quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 10–7. Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the DET 32 (Q3 25:49) — (10:49) 14-A.Dalton pass deep left to 85-T.Eifert for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q3 25:42) — 2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the CIN 27 (Q3 23:23) — (8:23) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 81-C.Johnson for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the CIN 2 (Q3 23:17) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the DET 30 (Q3 18:42) — (3:42) 2-M.Nugent 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber..

The fourth quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 7–6. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the CIN 50 (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 81-C.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-M.Johnson].; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the CIN 2 (Q4 11:59) — 2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the DET 36 (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 2-M.Nugent 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal (Q4 0:00) — END GAME.

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Detroit Lions (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 81-C.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-M.Johnson]. [WPA +34.0% · EPA +5.98]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 2-M.Nugent 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber. [WPA +27.6% · EPA +1.21]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q1 56:12) — (11:12) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right to 18-A.Green for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.6% · EPA +7.21]
• Detroit Lions (Q2 32:30) — (2:30) 2-D.Akers 34 yard field goal is BLOCKED (96-C.Dunlap), Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin, RECOVERED by CIN-20-R.Nelson at CIN 30. 20-R.Nelson to CIN 46 for 16 yards (65-D.Gandy). FUMBLES [WPA -16.5% · EPA -5.35]
• Detroit Lions (Q4 0:34) — (:34) 6-S.Martin punts 28 yards to CIN 49, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, out of bounds. [WPA -15.7% · EPA -1.00]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Cincinnati Bengals (Q1 56:12) — (11:12) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right to 18-A.Green for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.6% · EPA +7.21]
• Detroit Lions (Q4 12:10) — (12:10) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 81-C.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-M.Johnson]. [WPA +34.0% · EPA +5.98]
• Detroit Lions (Q2 32:30) — (2:30) 2-D.Akers 34 yard field goal is BLOCKED (96-C.Dunlap), Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin, RECOVERED by CIN-20-R.Nelson at CIN 30. 20-R.Nelson to CIN 46 for 16 yards (65-D.Gandy). FUMBLES [WPA -16.5% · EPA -5.35]
• Detroit Lions (Q3 25:07) — (10:07) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 11-K.Ogletree pushed ob at CIN 47 for 43 yards (20-R.Nelson). [WPA +8.5% · EPA +4.55]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 53 dropbacks · 52.8% completion · -0.9% CPOE · +0.37 EPA/play · +19.71 total EPA
• A.Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) · 39 dropbacks · 61.5% completion · +12.5% CPOE · +0.57 EPA/play · +22.26 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Cincinnati Bengals generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.19 vs +0.10), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Cincinnati Bengals: 10 drives, +14.49 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Detroit Lions: 11 drives, +9.06 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Cincinnati Bengals leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• A. Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Dalton (CIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q1 56:12 · DET 82 · Score 6-0
   (11:12) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right to 18-A.Green for 82 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q1 55:59 · DET 2 · Score 7-0
   2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
3. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 48:06 · CIN 3 · Score 7-6
   (3:06) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 87-B.Pettigrew for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 48:02 · CIN 2 · Score 7-7
   2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
5. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q2 41:47 · CIN 18 · Score 7-10
   (11:47) 2-D.Akers 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
6. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q2 30:46 · DET 12 · Score 13-10
   (:46) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 82-M.Jones for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q2 30:41 · DET 2 · Score 14-10
   2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
8. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q3 25:49 · DET 32 · Score 20-10
   (10:49) 14-A.Dalton pass deep left to 85-T.Eifert for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q3 25:42 · DET 2 · Score 21-10
   2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
10. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q3 23:23 · CIN 27 · Score 21-16
    (8:23) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 81-C.Johnson for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q3 23:17 · CIN 2 · Score 21-17
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
12. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q3 18:42 · DET 30 · Score 24-17
    (3:42) 2-M.Nugent 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
13. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 12:10 · CIN 50 · Score 24-23
    (12:10) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 81-C.Johnson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-M.Johnson].
14. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 11:59 · CIN 2 · Score 24-24
    2-D.Akers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
15. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q4 0:04 · DET 36 · Score 27-24
    (:04) 2-M.Nugent 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
16. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q4 0:00 · Score 27-24
    END GAME