FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 28, 2015 · 10 min read

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos: 2015 Week 16 Recap

Broncos defeat Bengals 20–17 in Week 16

AJ McCarron led Fantasy Impact as Broncos prevailed in a 17–20 Week 16 finish.

Cincinnati Bengals 17 11–4
Final 17–20
Denver Broncos 20 11–4 Winner
Winner
Denver Broncos
Final score
17–20
Halftime
Cincinnati Bengals 14–3 Denver Broncos
Top passer
B. Osweiler
FantasyHQ MVP
AJ McCarron
Game date
December 28, 2015

Top fantasy performers · Bengals

  • AJ McCarron
    AJ McCarron 22/41 · 208 YDS · 1 TD +10.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Art Green
    Art Green 5 REC · 57 YDS · 1 TD +4.1 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Sanu 3 REC · 29 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • B.Osweiler 27/45 · 284 YDS · 1 TD +7.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Eli Sanders 4 REC · 67 YDS · 1 TD +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • O.Daniels 5 REC · 70 YDS +3.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Denver Broncos defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 20–17 in Week 16 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-28, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-48.8% win probability) came in overtime when Denver Broncos swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2015 NFL season on 2015-12-28, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Cincinnati Bengals, pulling away with a 20–17 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Osweiler (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +6.96 total EPA, and +5.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. McCarron (Cincinnati Bengals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.77 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-48.8% win probability) landed in overtime when Denver Broncos changed the game: (10:05) 8-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Cincinnati Bengals7703017
Denver Broncos0377320

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. McCarron · Cincinnati Bengals · Passing · +10.77 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  2. 2 B. Osweiler · Denver Broncos · Passing · +6.96 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  3. 3 E. Sanders · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.72 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Green · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +4.13 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
  5. 5 O. Daniels · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +3.14 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Sanu · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
  7. 7 G. Bernard · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +2.86 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Sanu · Cincinnati Bengals · Rushing · +2.13 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. McCarron — CIN · Passing

A. McCarron posted the highest total EPA (+10.77) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Cincinnati Bengals's efficiency. Across 41 counted snaps, they averaged +0.26 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.35 EPA) came from Denver Broncos: (4:12) 22-C.Anderson up the middle to CIN 27 for 5 yards (90-M.Johnson). FUMBLES (90-M.Johnson), RECOVERED by CIN-20-R.Nelson at CIN 26. 20-R.Nelson to CIN 26 for no gain (85-V.Green).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Cincinnati Bengals — A. Green (A. McCarron pass) (Q1 52:31)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — M. Sanu (Q2 40:56)
  • Denver Broncos — E. Sanders (B. Osweiler pass) (Q3 25:20)
  • Denver Broncos — C. Anderson (Q4 11:27)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q2 30:18)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — M. Nugent (Q4 6:51)
  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (OT 10:05)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 7–0. Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the DEN 5 (Q1 52:31) — (7:31) (Shotgun) 5-A.McCarron pass short right to 18-A.Green for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q1 52:26) — 2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber..

The second quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 7–3. Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the DEN 6 (Q2 40:56) — (10:56) (Shotgun) 12-M.Sanu left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 40:51) — 2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CIN 5 (Q2 30:18) — (:18) 8-B.McManus 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CIN 8 (Q3 25:20) — (10:20) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass short left to 10-E.Sanders for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q3 25:14) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–3. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CIN 39 (Q4 11:27) — (11:27) (Shotgun) 22-C.Anderson up the middle for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q4 11:17) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the DEN 34 (Q4 6:51) — (6:51) 2-M.Nugent 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber..

Overtime: Denver Broncos won the period 3–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CIN 19 (OT 10:05) — (10:05) 8-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Denver Broncos (OT 10:05) — (10:05) 8-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. [WPA -48.8% · EPA +0.48]
  • Cincinnati Bengals (OT 9:48) — (9:48) (Shotgun) 5-A.McCarron FUMBLES (Aborted) at CIN 23, RECOVERED by DEN-94-D.Ware at CIN 23. [WPA -48.1% · EPA -0.82]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 8-B.McManus 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. [WPA -23.0% · EPA -2.35]
  • Denver Broncos (OT 13:36) — (13:36) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass short right to 85-V.Green pushed ob at DEN 41 for 8 yards (55-V.Burfict). PENALTY on CIN-55-V.Burfict, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 41. [WPA +20.1% · EPA +1.88]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 11:27) — (11:27) (Shotgun) 22-C.Anderson up the middle for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.8% · EPA +3.49]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Denver Broncos (Q4 4:12) — (4:12) 22-C.Anderson up the middle to CIN 27 for 5 yards (90-M.Johnson). FUMBLES (90-M.Johnson), RECOVERED by CIN-20-R.Nelson at CIN 26. 20-R.Nelson to CIN 26 for no gain (85-V.Green). [WPA -15.3% · EPA -4.35]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 11:27) — (11:27) (Shotgun) 22-C.Anderson up the middle for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.8% · EPA +3.49]
  • Cincinnati Bengals (Q2 32:31) — (2:31) 2-M.Nugent 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber. [WPA -5.0% · EPA -2.86]
  • Cincinnati Bengals (Q4 9:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 5-A.McCarron pass deep middle to 12-M.Sanu to CIN 34 for 20 yards (29-B.Roby) [58-V.Miller]. [WPA +10.1% · EPA +2.81]

Quarterback report card

B.Osweiler led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Osweiler (Denver Broncos) · 45 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +5.0% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +6.96 total EPA
  • A.McCarron (Cincinnati Bengals) · 41 dropbacks · 53.7% completion · +4.6% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +10.77 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCincinnati BengalsDenver Broncos
Offensive EPA/play+0.022+0.026
Offensive success rate40.0%52.4%
Pass EPA/play+0.263+0.155
Rush EPA/play-0.198-0.157
Defensive EPA/play-0.026-0.022
Defensive success rate47.6%60.0%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Cincinnati Bengals +0.02, Denver Broncos +0.03) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Cincinnati Bengals: 11 drives, +1.97 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Denver Broncos: 12 drives, +2.10 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • A. McCarron (Cincinnati Bengals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Osweiler (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • A. McCarron (CIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q1 52:31 · DEN 5 · Score 6-0
    (7:31) (Shotgun) 5-A.McCarron pass short right to 18-A.Green for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q1 52:26 · DEN 15 · Score 7-0
    2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
  3. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q2 40:56 · DEN 6 · Score 13-0
    (10:56) (Shotgun) 12-M.Sanu left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q2 40:51 · DEN 15 · Score 14-0
    2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
  5. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:18 · CIN 5 · Score 14-3
    (:18) 8-B.McManus 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  6. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 25:20 · CIN 8 · Score 14-9
    (10:20) (Shotgun) 17-B.Osweiler pass short left to 10-E.Sanders for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 25:14 · CIN 15 · Score 14-10
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  8. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 11:27 · CIN 39 · Score 14-16
    (11:27) (Shotgun) 22-C.Anderson up the middle for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 11:17 · CIN 15 · Score 14-17
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  10. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q4 6:51 · DEN 34 · Score 17-17
    (6:51) 2-M.Nugent 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
  11. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — OT 10:05 · CIN 19 · Score 17-20
    (10:05) 8-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos?

The Denver Broncos beat the Cincinnati Bengals 20-17 in Week 16, 2015 on 2015-12-28.

What was the final score of Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos?

The final score was Cincinnati Bengals 17, Denver Broncos 20 (CIN 17-20 DEN) in Week 16, 2015 on 2015-12-28.

What was the score by quarter in Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos?

Q1: Cincinnati Bengals 7, Denver Broncos 0; Q2: Cincinnati Bengals 7, Denver Broncos 3; Q3: Cincinnati Bengals 0, Denver Broncos 7; Q4: Cincinnati Bengals 3, Denver Broncos 7; Q5: Cincinnati Bengals 0, Denver Broncos 3; Final: Cincinnati Bengals 17, Denver Broncos 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos?

Cincinnati Bengals touchdown — A. Green (A. McCarron pass) (Q1 52:31) Cincinnati Bengals touchdown — M. Sanu (Q2 40:56) Denver Broncos touchdown — E. Sanders (B. Osweiler pass) (Q3 25:20) Denver Broncos touchdown — C. Anderson (Q4 11:27) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q2 30:18, 3 pts) Cincinnati Bengals field goal — M. Nugent (Q4 6:51, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (OT 10:05, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos?

B. Osweiler (Denver Broncos), 60.0% completion, +5.0% CPOE, +0.15 EPA per dropback, +6.96 total passing EPA. A. McCarron (Cincinnati Bengals), 53.7% completion, +4.6% CPOE, +0.26 EPA per dropback, +10.77 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos?

A. McCarron (Cincinnati Bengals) led the game in total EPA with +10.77 on passing plays. across 41 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.35 EPA): (4:12) 22-C.Anderson up the middle to CIN 27 for 5 yards (90-M.Johnson). FUMBLES (90-M.Johnson), RECOVERED by CIN-20-R.Nelson at CIN 26. 20-R.Nelson to CIN 26 for no gain (85-V.Gre. The biggest win-probability swing was -48.8%.

Was Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Denver Broncos won 20-17 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Cincinnati Bengals

Entered 11-3 Now 11-4 L

Denver Broncos

Entered 10-4 Now 11-4 W