Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills: 2007 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-11-04, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Cincinnati Bengals, pulling away with a 33–21 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Palmer (Cincinnati Bengals) paced the passing game, with +8.90 total EPA, and +6.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.80 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+24.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Cincinnati Bengals changed the game: 9-R.Lindell kicks 70 yards from BUF 30 to CIN 0. 16-G.Holt for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +14.80 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Losman · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +13.37 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Palmer · Cincinnati Bengals · Passing · +8.90 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
4. 4 T. Houshmandzadeh · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +6.31 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.58 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Royal · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.41 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.21 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Johnson · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +3.89 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Watson · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +3.71 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Lynch · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +2.46 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.46 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — L. Evans (J. Losman pass) (Q1 56:49)
• Cincinnati Bengals — T. Houshmandzadeh (C. Palmer pass) (Q1 53:40)
• Cincinnati Bengals — G. Holt (Q2 31:56)
• Cincinnati Bengals — J. Johnson (C. Palmer pass) (Q3 18:12)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Royal (M. Lynch pass) (Q4 5:57)
• Buffalo Bills — M. Lynch (Q4 2:33)

Field goals

• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q2 32:00)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q2 30:06)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q3 22:35)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q4 13:58)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the CIN 8 (Q1 56:49); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the CIN 2 (Q1 56:44) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the BUF 15 (Q1 53:40) — (8:40) 9-C.Palmer pass short left to 84-T.Houshmandzadeh for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at goal line, crossing to middle.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q1 53:35) — 17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.St. Louis, Holder-19-K.Larson..

The second quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 7–6. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the CIN 5 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 9-R.Lindell 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the BUF 30 (Q2 31:56) — 9-R.Lindell kicks 70 yards from BUF 30 to CIN 0. 16-G.Holt for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 31:44) — 17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.St. Louis, Holder-19-K.Larson.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the CIN 3 (Q2 30:06) — (:06) 9-R.Lindell 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The third quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 7–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the CIN 11 (Q3 22:35) — (7:35) 9-R.Lindell 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q3 18:12) — (3:12) 9-C.Palmer pass short left to 31-J.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 1 yd. into end zone.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 18:07) — 17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.St. Louis, Holder-19-K.Larson..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 17–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the CIN 20 (Q4 13:58) — (13:58) 9-R.Lindell 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the CIN 8 (Q4 5:57) — (5:57) 23-M.Lynch pass short right to 84-R.Royal for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 2 yds. into end zone.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the CIN 2 (Q4 5:51) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the CIN 56 (Q4 2:33); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the CIN 2 (Q4 2:22) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Cincinnati Bengals (Q2 31:56) — 9-R.Lindell kicks 70 yards from BUF 30 to CIN 0. 16-G.Holt for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +24.3% · EPA +6.73]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q3 20:24) — (5:24) (Shotgun) 9-C.Palmer pass deep right to 85-C.Johnson pushed ob at BUF 32 for 23 yards (37-G.Wilson). Caught along sideline at BUF 32. [WPA +13.4% · EPA +2.85]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 38:20) — (8:20) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep middle to 83-L.Evans to CIN 26 for 30 yards (59-L.Johnson). Caught at CIN 37. [WPA +12.2% · EPA +2.95]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q4 10:02) — (10:02) 19-K.Larson punts 36 yards to CIN 49, Center-48-B.St. Louis. 42-J.Leonhard to CIN 44 for 5 yards (91-R.Geathers). FUMBLES (91-R.Geathers), ball out of bounds at CIN 42. Penalty on CIN-28-D.Jac [WPA -11.3% · EPA -1.68]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 15:06) — (:06) 7-J.Losman pass short right to 83-L.Evans to CIN 23 for 16 yards (24-D.O'Neal). Slant pattern, caught at CIN 28 going to middle. [WPA +11.3% · EPA +1.55]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Cincinnati Bengals (Q2 31:56) — 9-R.Lindell kicks 70 yards from BUF 30 to CIN 0. 16-G.Holt for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +24.3% · EPA +6.73]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 2:33) — (2:33) 23-M.Lynch right guard for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Lynch broke tackles at BUF 45 before turning up sideline. D.O'Neal injured on play, assisted off. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +5.60]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q1 54:58) — (9:58) 9-C.Palmer pass short left to 33-K.Watson pushed ob at BUF 16 for 43 yards (20-D.Whitner). Screen left, key block: B.Williams. [WPA +8.3% · EPA +3.83]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q4 0:18) — (:18) 9-C.Palmer pass short left intended for 10-M.Maxwell INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Thomas at BUF 4. 25-K.Thomas to BUF 12 for 8 yards (10-M.Maxwell). [WPA -0.5% · EPA -3.11]

Quarterback report card

C.Palmer led all passers in efficiency for Cincinnati Bengals, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Palmer (Cincinnati Bengals) · 39 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +6.1% CPOE · +0.23 EPA/play · +8.90 total EPA
• J.Losman (Buffalo Bills) · 35 dropbacks · 68.6% completion · +11.5% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +13.37 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Buffalo Bills held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.22 vs +0.10), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, +19.29 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Cincinnati Bengals: 11 drives, +8.12 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Palmer (CIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• J. Losman (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 56:49 · CIN 8 · Score 0-6
   (11:49) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete short left to 83-L.Evans. Caught out of bounds in rear corner of end zone. Buffalo challenged the runner was in bounds ruling
2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 56:44 · CIN 2 · Score 0-7
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
3. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q1 53:40 · BUF 15 · Score 6-7
   (8:40) 9-C.Palmer pass short left to 84-T.Houshmandzadeh for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at goal line, crossing to middle.
4. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q1 53:35 · BUF 2 · Score 7-7
   17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.St. Louis, Holder-19-K.Larson.
5. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · CIN 5 · Score 7-10
   (2:00) 9-R.Lindell 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
6. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q2 31:56 · BUF 30 · Score 13-10
   9-R.Lindell kicks 70 yards from BUF 30 to CIN 0. 16-G.Holt for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q2 31:44 · BUF 2 · Score 14-10
   17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.St. Louis, Holder-19-K.Larson.
8. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 30:06 · CIN 3 · Score 14-13
   (:06) 9-R.Lindell 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
9. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 22:35 · CIN 11 · Score 14-16
   (7:35) 9-R.Lindell 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
10. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q3 18:12 · BUF 1 · Score 20-16
    (3:12) 9-C.Palmer pass short left to 31-J.Johnson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 1 yd. into end zone.
11. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q3 18:07 · BUF 2 · Score 21-16
    17-S.Graham extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.St. Louis, Holder-19-K.Larson.
12. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 13:58 · CIN 20 · Score 21-19
    (13:58) 9-R.Lindell 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
13. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 5:57 · CIN 8 · Score 21-25
    (5:57) 23-M.Lynch pass short right to 84-R.Royal for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 2 yds. into end zone.
14. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 5:51 · CIN 2 · Score 21-26
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
15. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 2:33 · CIN 56 · Score 21-32
    (2:33) 23-M.Lynch right guard for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. M.Lynch broke tackles at BUF 45 before turning up sideline. D.O'Neal injured on play, assisted off.
16. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 2:22 · CIN 2 · Score 21-33
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-72-R.Neill, Holder-8-B.Moorman.