FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 1, 2017 · 11 min read

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings: 2016 Week 17 Recap

Vikings defeat Bears 38–10 in Week 17

S.Bradford led Fantasy Impact as Vikings prevailed in a 10–38 Week 17 finish.

Chicago Bears 10 3–13
Final 10–38
Minnesota Vikings 38 8–8 Winner
Winner
Minnesota Vikings
Final score
10–38
Halftime
Chicago Bears 10–24 Minnesota Vikings
Top passer
S. Bradford
FantasyHQ MVP
S.Bradford
Game date
January 1, 2017

Top fantasy performers · Bears

  • J.Langford 3 REC · 41 YDS +3.6 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Meredith 1/1 · 2 YDS · 1 TD +2.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Matt Barkley
    Matt Barkley 1 REC · 2 YDS · 1 TD +2.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Vikings

  • S.Bradford 25/35 · 274 YDS · 3 TD +13.3 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Rudolph 11 REC · 117 YDS · 1 TD +7.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Cornelius Johnson
    Cornelius Johnson 1 REC · 11 YDS +1.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Minnesota Vikings defeated the Chicago Bears 38–10 in Week 17 of the 2016 NFL season on 2017-01-01, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-10.4% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Chicago Bears swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2016 NFL season on 2017-01-01, the Minnesota Vikings took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 38–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 27 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

S. Bradford (Minnesota Vikings) paced the passing game, with +13.35 total EPA, and +5.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, S. Bradford (Minnesota Vikings) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +13.35 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.4% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: (7:33) 12-M.Barkley pass deep right intended for 17-A.Jeffery INTERCEPTED by 29-X.Rhodes at MIN 0. 29-X.Rhodes to MIN 4 for 4 yards (17-A.Jeffery).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Chicago Bears01000010
Minnesota Vikings717140038

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 S. Bradford · Minnesota Vikings · Passing · +13.35 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  2. 2 K. Rudolph · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +7.60 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Langford · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.63 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Meredith · Chicago Bears · Passing · +2.09 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.09 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Barkley · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +2.09 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.09 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Johnson · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +1.95 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.95 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Asiata · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +1.89 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Wright · Minnesota Vikings · Receiving · +1.78 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

S. Bradford — MIN · Passing

S. Bradford posted the highest total EPA (+13.35) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Minnesota Vikings's efficiency. Across 35 counted snaps, they averaged +0.38 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.88 EPA) came from Chicago Bears: (10:04) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley sacked at CHI 33 for -4 yards (sack split by 98-L.Joseph and 99-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (98-L.Joseph) [98-L.Joseph], touched at CHI 33, RECOVERED by MIN-97-E.Griffen at CHI 20. 97-E.Griffen for

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Minnesota Vikings — J. McKinnon (S. Bradford pass) (Q1 56:45)
  • Minnesota Vikings — K. Rudolph (S. Bradford pass) (Q2 42:58)
  • Chicago Bears — M. Barkley (C. Meredith pass) (Q2 31:52)
  • Minnesota Vikings — J. Wright (S. Bradford pass) (Q2 30:21)
  • Minnesota Vikings — J. McKinnon (Q4 12:16)
  • Minnesota Vikings — E. Griffen (Q4 10:04)

Field goals

  • Minnesota Vikings — K. Forbath (Q2 44:57)
  • Chicago Bears — C. Barth (Q2 30:02)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 7–0. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the CHI 16 (Q1 56:45) — (11:45) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short left to 21-J.McKinnon for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q1 56:36) — (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke..

The second quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 17–10. Minnesota Vikings connected on a field goal from the CHI 3 (Q2 44:57) — (14:57) (Field Goal formation) 2-K.Forbath 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the CHI 22 (Q2 42:58) — (12:58) 8-S.Bradford pass short middle to 82-K.Rudolph for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q2 42:51) — (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the MIN 2 (Q2 31:52) — (1:52) (Shotgun) 81-C.Meredith pass short right to 12-M.Barkley for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the MIN 15 (Q2 31:48) — (Kick formation) 4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the CHI 1 (Q2 30:21) — (:21) 8-S.Bradford pass short right to 17-J.Wright for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q2 30:18) — (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the MIN 11 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) (Field Goal formation) 4-C.Barth 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The fourth quarter: Minnesota Vikings won the period 14–0. Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the CHI 10 (Q4 12:16) — (12:16) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 21-J.McKinnon. 21-J.McKinnon right end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 12:11) — (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.; Minnesota Vikings found the end zone from the MIN 63 (Q4 10:04); Minnesota Vikings added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 9:51) — (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Chicago Bears (Q1 52:33) — (7:33) 12-M.Barkley pass deep right intended for 17-A.Jeffery INTERCEPTED by 29-X.Rhodes at MIN 0. 29-X.Rhodes to MIN 4 for 4 yards (17-A.Jeffery). [WPA -10.4% · EPA -4.72]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q1 57:54) — (12:54) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass deep right to 84-C.Patterson to CHI 20 for 39 yards (22-C.LeBlanc). [WPA +8.8% · EPA +2.22]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 31:11) — (1:11) (Punt formation) 18-J.Locke punts 40 yards to CHI 25, Center-47-K.McDermott. 45-B.Addison MUFFS catch, touched at CHI 24, RECOVERED by MIN-27-J.Kearse at CHI 21. 27-J.Kearse to CHI 21 for no ga [WPA +7.4% · EPA +4.51]
  • Chicago Bears (Q1 53:43) — (8:43) 11-J.Bellamy left end to MIN 20 for 22 yards (26-T.Waynes). [WPA +6.2% · EPA +1.76]
  • Chicago Bears (Q3 24:33) — (9:33) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley pass short right intended for 81-C.Meredith INTERCEPTED by 26-T.Waynes at MIN 11. 26-T.Waynes to MIN 11 for no gain (81-C.Meredith). [WPA -5.7% · EPA -4.18]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Chicago Bears (Q4 10:04) — (10:04) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley sacked at CHI 33 for -4 yards (sack split by 98-L.Joseph and 99-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (98-L.Joseph) [98-L.Joseph], touched at CHI 33, RECOVERED by MIN-97-E.Griffen at CHI 2 [WPA -0.7% · EPA -7.88]
  • Chicago Bears (Q2 44:20) — (14:20) 33-J.Langford right end to CHI 31 for 2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by MIN-41-A.Harris at CHI 35. 41-A.Harris to CHI 35 for no gain (81-C.Meredith). [WPA -5.3% · EPA -4.82]
  • Chicago Bears (Q1 52:33) — (7:33) 12-M.Barkley pass deep right intended for 17-A.Jeffery INTERCEPTED by 29-X.Rhodes at MIN 0. 29-X.Rhodes to MIN 4 for 4 yards (17-A.Jeffery). [WPA -10.4% · EPA -4.72]
  • Minnesota Vikings (Q2 31:11) — (1:11) (Punt formation) 18-J.Locke punts 40 yards to CHI 25, Center-47-K.McDermott. 45-B.Addison MUFFS catch, touched at CHI 24, RECOVERED by MIN-27-J.Kearse at CHI 21. 27-J.Kearse to CHI 21 for no ga [WPA +7.4% · EPA +4.51]

Quarterback report card

S.Bradford led all passers in efficiency for Minnesota Vikings, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • S.Bradford (Minnesota Vikings) · 35 dropbacks · 71.4% completion · +5.7% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +13.35 total EPA
  • M.Barkley (Chicago Bears) · 16 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +7.2% CPOE · -0.55 EPA/play · -8.77 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatChicago BearsMinnesota Vikings
Offensive EPA/play-0.258+0.162
Offensive success rate45.3%47.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.389+0.287
Rush EPA/play-0.179-0.075
Defensive EPA/play-0.162+0.258
Defensive success rate52.6%54.7%

By the numbers

Minnesota Vikings held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.16 vs -0.26), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Chicago Bears: 10 drives, -19.37 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Minnesota Vikings: 11 drives, +12.35 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Minnesota Vikings leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • S. Bradford (Minnesota Vikings) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • S. Bradford (MIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Barkley (CHI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q1 56:45 · CHI 16 · Score 0-6
    (11:45) (Shotgun) 8-S.Bradford pass short left to 21-J.McKinnon for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q1 56:36 · CHI 15 · Score 0-7
    (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  3. Minnesota Vikings FG (+3) — Q2 44:57 · CHI 3 · Score 0-10
    (14:57) (Field Goal formation) 2-K.Forbath 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  4. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 42:58 · CHI 22 · Score 0-16
    (12:58) 8-S.Bradford pass short middle to 82-K.Rudolph for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 42:51 · CHI 15 · Score 0-17
    (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  6. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 31:52 · MIN 2 · Score 6-17
    (1:52) (Shotgun) 81-C.Meredith pass short right to 12-M.Barkley for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 31:48 · MIN 15 · Score 7-17
    (Kick formation) 4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  8. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q2 30:21 · CHI 1 · Score 7-23
    (:21) 8-S.Bradford pass short right to 17-J.Wright for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q2 30:18 · CHI 15 · Score 7-24
    (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  10. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · MIN 11 · Score 10-24
    (:02) (Field Goal formation) 4-C.Barth 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  11. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q4 12:16 · CHI 10 · Score 10-30
    (12:16) (Shotgun) Direct snap to 21-J.McKinnon. 21-J.McKinnon right end for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q4 12:11 · CHI 15 · Score 10-31
    (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.
  13. Minnesota Vikings TD (+6) — Q4 10:04 · MIN 63 · Score 10-37
    (10:04) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley sacked at CHI 33 for -4 yards (sack split by 98-L.Joseph and 99-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (98-L.Joseph) [98-L.Joseph], touched at CHI 33
  14. Minnesota Vikings XP (+1) — Q4 9:51 · CHI 15 · Score 10-38
    (Kick formation) 2-K.Forbath extra point is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-18-J.Locke.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings?

The Minnesota Vikings beat the Chicago Bears 38-10 in Week 17, 2016 on 2017-01-01.

What was the final score of Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings?

The final score was Chicago Bears 10, Minnesota Vikings 38 (CHI 10-38 MIN) in Week 17, 2016 on 2017-01-01.

What was the score by quarter in Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings?

Q1: Chicago Bears 0, Minnesota Vikings 7; Q2: Chicago Bears 10, Minnesota Vikings 17; Q4: Chicago Bears 0, Minnesota Vikings 14; Final: Chicago Bears 10, Minnesota Vikings 38.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings?

Minnesota Vikings touchdown — J. McKinnon (S. Bradford pass) (Q1 56:45) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — K. Rudolph (S. Bradford pass) (Q2 42:58) Chicago Bears touchdown — M. Barkley (C. Meredith pass) (Q2 31:52) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — J. Wright (S. Bradford pass) (Q2 30:21) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — J. McKinnon (Q4 12:16) Minnesota Vikings touchdown — E. Griffen (Q4 10:04) Minnesota Vikings field goal — K. Forbath (Q2 44:57, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Barth (Q2 30:02, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings?

S. Bradford (Minnesota Vikings), 71.4% completion, +5.7% CPOE, +0.38 EPA per dropback, +13.35 total passing EPA. M. Barkley (Chicago Bears), 62.5% completion, +7.2% CPOE, -0.55 EPA per dropback, -8.77 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings?

S. Bradford (Minnesota Vikings) led the game in total EPA with +13.35 on passing plays. across 35 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.88 EPA): (10:04) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley sacked at CHI 33 for -4 yards (sack split by 98-L.Joseph and 99-D.Hunter). FUMBLES (98-L.Joseph) [98-L.Joseph], touched at CHI 33, RECOVERED by MIN-9. The biggest win-probability swing was -10.4%.

Season records after this game

Chicago Bears

Entered 3-12 Now 3-13 L

Minnesota Vikings

Entered 7-8 Now 8-8 W