FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 5, 2025 · 12 min read

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers: 2024 Week 18 Recap

Bears defeat Packers 24–22 in Week 18

Josh Jacobs led Fantasy Impact as Bears prevailed in a 24–22 Week 18 finish.

Chicago Bears 24 5–12 Winner
Final 24–22
Green Bay Packers 22 11–6
Winner
Chicago Bears
Final score
24–22
Halftime
Chicago Bears 14–13 Green Bay Packers
Top passer
Connor Williams
FantasyHQ MVP
Josh Jacobs
Game date
January 5, 2025

Top fantasy performers · Bears

  • David Moore
    David Moore 9 REC · 86 YDS · 1 TD +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Kyle Allen
    Kyle Allen 3 REC · 25 YDS +2.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Connor Williams
    Connor Williams 1 CAR · 3 YDS +0.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Josh Jacobs
    Josh Jacobs 6 CAR · 44 YDS · 1 TD +4.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Malik Heath
    Malik Heath 3 REC · 53 YDS +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Joe Reed
    Joe Reed 2 REC · 48 YDS +3.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Chicago Bears defeated the Green Bay Packers 24–22 in Week 18 of the 2024 NFL season on 2025-01-05, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-43.9% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Chicago Bears swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2024 NFL season on 2025-01-05, the Chicago Bears took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 24–22 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 22 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Williams (Chicago Bears) paced the passing game, with -0.89 total EPA, and +14.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Jacobs (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.25 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-43.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: (1:55) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 2-D.Moore to CHI 47 for no gain (24-C.Valentine). FUMBLES (24-C.Valentine), RECOVERED by GB-20-J.Bullard at CHI 46. 20-J.Bullard to CHI 43 for 3 yards (75-L.Bor

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Chicago Bears77100024
Green Bay Packers310120022

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Jacobs · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +4.25 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Moore · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.96 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Heath · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.38 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.68 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Reed · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.08 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.03 EPA/play
  5. 5 Em. Wilson · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.95 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  6. 6 K. Allen · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +2.90 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
  7. 7 C. Brooks · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +1.70 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  8. 8 L. Musgrave · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.30 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Jacobs — GB · Rushing

J. Jacobs posted the highest total EPA (+4.25) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +0.71 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.35 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (6:52) 19-D.Whelan punts 38 yards to CHI 6, Center-42-M.Orzech. 39-J.Blackwell for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Chicago Bears — J. Blackwell (Q1 51:52)
  • Chicago Bears — D. Swift (Q2 44:20)
  • Green Bay Packers — J. Jacobs (Q2 41:17)
  • Chicago Bears — D. Moore (C. Williams pass) (Q4 10:11)
  • Green Bay Packers — unlisted player (Q4 4:35)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — B. McManus (Q1 47:28)
  • Green Bay Packers — B. McManus (Q2 32:00)
  • Green Bay Packers — B. McManus (Q4 0:58)
  • Green Bay Packers — C. Williams (Q4 0:48)
  • Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q4 0:02)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–3. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the CHI 44 (Q1 51:52) — (6:52) 19-D.Whelan punts 38 yards to CHI 6, Center-42-M.Orzech. 39-J.Blackwell for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 51:34) — 8-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 19 (Q1 47:28) — (2:28) 17-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–7. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the GB 4 (Q2 44:20) — (14:20) 4-D.Swift up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 44:17) — 8-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 9 (Q2 41:17) — (11:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q2 41:12) — 17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 12 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 17-B.McManus 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 12–10. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the GB 32 (Q4 10:11) — (10:11) 18-C.Williams pass short right to 2-D.Moore for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 10 (Q4 10:02) — 8-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 21 (Q4 4:35) — (4:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 31-Em.Wilson right guard for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 37 (Q4 0:58) — (:58) 17-B.McManus 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the GB 80 (Q4 0:48); Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 33 (Q4 0:02) — (:02) 8-C.Santos 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Chicago Bears (Q4 1:55) — (1:55) 18-C.Williams pass short left to 2-D.Moore to CHI 47 for no gain (24-C.Valentine). FUMBLES (24-C.Valentine), RECOVERED by GB-20-J.Bullard at CHI 46. 20-J.Bullard to CHI 43 for 3 yards (75-L.Bor [WPA -43.9% · EPA -4.08]
  • Chicago Bears (Q4 0:02) — (:02) 8-C.Santos 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor. [WPA +38.3% · EPA +1.09]
  • Chicago Bears (Q4 0:15) — (:15) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams pass short middle to 2-D.Moore to GB 33 for 18 yards (24-C.Valentine). [WPA +32.0% · EPA +1.10]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 23:37) — (8:37) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis sacked at CHI 40 for -8 yards (31-K.Byard). FUMBLES (31-K.Byard) [31-K.Byard], RECOVERED by CHI-53-T.Edwards at CHI 46. [WPA -21.7% · EPA -6.38]
  • Chicago Bears (Q3 26:03) — (11:03) 13-K.Allen pass short right intended for 4-D.Swift INTERCEPTED by 29-X.McKinney at GB 26. 29-X.McKinney to GB 43 for 17 yards (58-D.Wright). FUMBLES (58-D.Wright), recovered by GB-56-E.Cooper [WPA -20.1% · EPA -5.91]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 51:52) — (6:52) 19-D.Whelan punts 38 yards to CHI 6, Center-42-M.Orzech. 39-J.Blackwell for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -17.1% · EPA -7.35]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 23:37) — (8:37) (Shotgun) 2-M.Willis sacked at CHI 40 for -8 yards (31-K.Byard). FUMBLES (31-K.Byard) [31-K.Byard], RECOVERED by CHI-53-T.Edwards at CHI 46. [WPA -21.7% · EPA -6.38]
  • Chicago Bears (Q3 26:03) — (11:03) 13-K.Allen pass short right intended for 4-D.Swift INTERCEPTED by 29-X.McKinney at GB 26. 29-X.McKinney to GB 43 for 17 yards (58-D.Wright). FUMBLES (58-D.Wright), recovered by GB-56-E.Cooper [WPA -20.1% · EPA -5.91]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 45:10) — (:10) 11-J.Reed left end to GB 31 for 4 yards (1-J.Johnson). FUMBLES (1-J.Johnson), RECOVERED by CHI-36-J.Owens at GB 34. 36-J.Owens pushed ob at GB 21 for 13 yards (13-D.Wicks). [WPA -12.2% · EPA -5.85]

Quarterback report card

C.Williams led all passers in efficiency for Chicago Bears, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Williams (Chicago Bears) · 33 dropbacks · 63.6% completion · +14.2% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -0.89 total EPA
  • M.Willis (Green Bay Packers) · 19 dropbacks · 52.6% completion · +11.9% CPOE · -0.24 EPA/play · -4.53 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatChicago BearsGreen Bay Packers
Offensive EPA/play-0.130-0.169
Offensive success rate39.5%44.9%
Pass EPA/play-0.194-0.214
Rush EPA/play-0.165-0.030
Defensive EPA/play+0.169+0.130
Defensive success rate55.1%60.5%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Chicago Bears -0.13, Green Bay Packers -0.17) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Chicago Bears: 12 drives, -10.54 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Green Bay Packers: 13 drives, -13.22 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Chicago Bears leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Jacobs (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Williams (CHI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Willis (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 51:52 · CHI 44 · Score 6-0
    (6:52) 19-D.Whelan punts 38 yards to CHI 6, Center-42-M.Orzech. 39-J.Blackwell for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 51:34 · GB 15 · Score 7-0
    8-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
  3. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 47:28 · CHI 19 · Score 7-3
    (2:28) 17-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  4. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 44:20 · GB 4 · Score 13-3
    (14:20) 4-D.Swift up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 44:17 · GB 15 · Score 14-3
    8-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
  6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 41:17 · CHI 9 · Score 14-9
    (11:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-J.Jacobs up the middle for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 41:12 · CHI 15 · Score 14-10
    17-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  8. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · CHI 12 · Score 14-13
    (2:00) 17-B.McManus 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  9. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q4 10:11 · GB 32 · Score 20-13
    (10:11) 18-C.Williams pass short right to 2-D.Moore for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q4 10:02 · GB 10 · Score 21-13
    8-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.
  11. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 4:35 · CHI 21 · Score 21-19
    (4:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 31-Em.Wilson right guard for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 0:58 · CHI 37 · Score 21-22
    (:58) 17-B.McManus 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  13. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 0:48 · GB 80 · Score 21-22
    (:48) (Shotgun) 18-C.Williams sacked at CHI 13 for -7 yards (55-K.Enagbare). PENALTY on GB-55-K.Enagbare, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at CHI 20 - No
  14. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q4 0:02 · GB 33 · Score 24-22
    (:02) 8-C.Santos 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-S.Daly, Holder-19-T.Taylor.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

The Chicago Bears beat the Green Bay Packers 24-22 in Week 18, 2024 on 2025-01-05.

What was the final score of Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

The final score was Chicago Bears 24, Green Bay Packers 22 (CHI 24-22 GB) in Week 18, 2024 on 2025-01-05.

What was the score by quarter in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Q1: Chicago Bears 7, Green Bay Packers 3; Q2: Chicago Bears 7, Green Bay Packers 10; Q4: Chicago Bears 10, Green Bay Packers 12; Final: Chicago Bears 24, Green Bay Packers 22.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Chicago Bears touchdown — J. Blackwell (Q1 51:52) Chicago Bears touchdown — D. Swift (Q2 44:20) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Jacobs (Q2 41:17) Chicago Bears touchdown — D. Moore (C. Williams pass) (Q4 10:11) Green Bay Packers touchdown — unlisted player (Q4 4:35) Green Bay Packers field goal — B. McManus (Q1 47:28, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — B. McManus (Q2 32:00, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — B. McManus (Q4 0:58, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — C. Williams (Q4 0:48, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Santos (Q4 0:02, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

C. Williams (Chicago Bears), 63.6% completion, +14.2% CPOE, -0.03 EPA per dropback, -0.89 total passing EPA. M. Willis (Green Bay Packers), 52.6% completion, +11.9% CPOE, -0.24 EPA per dropback, -4.53 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

J. Jacobs (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +4.25 on rushing plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.35 EPA): (6:52) 19-D.Whelan punts 38 yards to CHI 6, Center-42-M.Orzech. 39-J.Blackwell for 94 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -43.9%.

Was Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 2 points. Chicago Bears won 24-22 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Chicago Bears

Entered 4-12 Now 5-12 W

Green Bay Packers

Entered 11-5 Now 11-6 L