FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 18 · January 7, 2024 · 10 min read

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers: 2023 Week 18 Recap

Packers defeat Bears 17–9 in Week 18

Julian Love led Fantasy Impact as Packers prevailed in a 9–17 Week 18 finish.

Chicago Bears 9 7–10
Final 9–17
Green Bay Packers 17 9–8 Winner
Winner
Green Bay Packers
Final score
9–17
Halftime
Chicago Bears 6–13 Green Bay Packers
Top passer
Julian Love
FantasyHQ MVP
Julian Love
Game date
January 7, 2024

Top fantasy performers · Bears

  • David Moore
    David Moore 4 REC · 64 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Cole Kmet
    Cole Kmet 3 REC · 41 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • E.St.Brown +1.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Julian Love
    Julian Love 27/34 · 309 YDS · 3 TD +10.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Joe Reed
    Joe Reed 4 REC · 112 YDS +8.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Dontayvion Wicks
    Dontayvion Wicks 6 REC · 61 YDS · 2 TD +4.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Green Bay Packers defeated the Chicago Bears 17–9 in Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on 2024-01-07, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (+12.3% win probability) came in the second quarter when Chicago Bears swung the momentum.

In Week 18 of the 2023 NFL season on 2024-01-07, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 17–9 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Love (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +10.85 total EPA, and +15.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Love (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.85 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+12.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: (4:01) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass short left to 2-D.Moore to GB 17 for 33 yards (37-C.Valentine).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Chicago Bears330309
Green Bay Packers01373017

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Love · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +10.85 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Reed · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +7.95 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.99 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Wicks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.67 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Moore · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.97 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
  5. 5 B. Melton · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.45 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +1.82 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Jones · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.50 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  8. 8 C. Kmet · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.42 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Love — GB · Passing

J. Love posted the highest total EPA (+10.85) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 34 counted snaps, they averaged +0.32 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.23 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (1:24) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love scrambles right end to CHI 49 for 1 yard (29-T.Stevenson). FUMBLES (29-T.Stevenson), RECOVERED by CHI-9-J.Brisker at CHI 42. 9-J.Brisker ran ob at CHI 42 for no gain.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Green Bay Packers — D. Wicks (J. Love pass) (Q2 37:25)
  • Green Bay Packers — D. Wicks (J. Love pass) (Q3 24:52)

Field goals

  • Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q1 53:59)
  • Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q2 31:20)
  • Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q4 13:07)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Carlson (Q4 10:57)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 3–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 32 (Q1 53:59) — (8:59) 8-C.Santos 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 10 (Q2 37:25) — (7:25) 10-J.Love pass short right to 13-D.Wicks for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 15 (Q2 37:20) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 21 (Q2 31:20) — (1:20) 8-C.Santos 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 12 (Q3 24:52) — (9:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 13-D.Wicks for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q3 24:47) — 17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 17 (Q4 13:07) — (13:07) 8-C.Santos 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 7 (Q4 10:57) — (10:57) 17-A.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Chicago Bears (Q2 34:01) — (4:01) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass short left to 2-D.Moore to GB 17 for 33 yards (37-C.Valentine). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +3.09]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 47:39) — (2:39) 17-A.Carlson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. [WPA -11.5% · EPA -3.41]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:11) — (:11) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short right to 13-D.Wicks to CHI 19 for 3 yards (29-T.Stevenson). [WPA -10.1% · EPA -2.37]
  • Chicago Bears (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields sacked at GB 21 for -8 yards (97-K.Clark). [WPA -9.6% · EPA -1.29]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 12:57) — (12:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 11-J.Reed pushed ob at CHI 13 for 59 yards (4-E.Jackson). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +3.89]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 16:24) — (1:24) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love scrambles right end to CHI 49 for 1 yard (29-T.Stevenson). FUMBLES (29-T.Stevenson), RECOVERED by CHI-9-J.Brisker at CHI 42. 9-J.Brisker ran ob at CHI 42 for no gain. [WPA -6.8% · EPA -4.23]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 12:57) — (12:57) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass deep left to 11-J.Reed pushed ob at CHI 13 for 59 yards (4-E.Jackson). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +3.89]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 47:39) — (2:39) 17-A.Carlson 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan. [WPA -11.5% · EPA -3.41]
  • Chicago Bears (Q2 34:01) — (4:01) (Shotgun) 1-J.Fields pass short left to 2-D.Moore to GB 17 for 33 yards (37-C.Valentine). [WPA +12.3% · EPA +3.09]

Quarterback report card

J.Love led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Love (Green Bay Packers) · 34 dropbacks · 79.4% completion · +15.5% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +10.85 total EPA
  • J.Fields (Chicago Bears) · 24 dropbacks · 45.8% completion · +2.9% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.38 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatChicago BearsGreen Bay Packers
Offensive EPA/play+0.020+0.126
Offensive success rate46.7%52.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.016+0.319
Rush EPA/play-0.255+0.118
Defensive EPA/play-0.126-0.020
Defensive success rate47.1%53.3%

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.13 vs +0.02), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Chicago Bears: 6 drives, +1.19 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Green Bay Packers: 7 drives, +8.59 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Love (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Love (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q1 53:59 · GB 32 · Score 3-0
    (8:59) 8-C.Santos 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
  2. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 37:25 · CHI 10 · Score 3-6
    (7:25) 10-J.Love pass short right to 13-D.Wicks for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Green Bay Packers TD (+7) — Q2 37:20 · CHI 15 · Score 3-7
    17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  4. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 31:20 · GB 21 · Score 6-7
    (1:20) 8-C.Santos 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
  5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 24:52 · CHI 12 · Score 6-13
    (9:52) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-J.Love pass short left to 13-D.Wicks for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 24:47 · CHI 15 · Score 6-14
    17-A.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.
  7. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q4 13:07 · GB 17 · Score 9-14
    (13:07) 8-C.Santos 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
  8. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 10:57 · CHI 7 · Score 9-17
    (10:57) 17-A.Carlson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-M.Orzech, Holder-19-D.Whelan.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Chicago Bears 17-9 in Week 18, 2023 on 2024-01-07.

What was the final score of Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

The final score was Chicago Bears 9, Green Bay Packers 17 (CHI 9-17 GB) in Week 18, 2023 on 2024-01-07.

What was the score by quarter in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Q1: Chicago Bears 3, Green Bay Packers 0; Q2: Chicago Bears 3, Green Bay Packers 13; Q3: Chicago Bears 0, Green Bay Packers 7; Q4: Chicago Bears 3, Green Bay Packers 3; Final: Chicago Bears 9, Green Bay Packers 17.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Wicks (J. Love pass) (Q2 37:25) Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Wicks (J. Love pass) (Q3 24:52) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Santos (Q1 53:59, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Santos (Q2 31:20, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Santos (Q4 13:07, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — A. Carlson (Q4 10:57, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

J. Love (Green Bay Packers), 79.4% completion, +15.5% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +10.85 total passing EPA. J. Fields (Chicago Bears), 45.8% completion, +2.9% CPOE, +0.02 EPA per dropback, +0.38 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

J. Love (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +10.85 on passing plays. across 34 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.23 EPA): (1:24) (Shotgun) 10-J.Love scrambles right end to CHI 49 for 1 yard (29-T.Stevenson). FUMBLES (29-T.Stevenson), RECOVERED by CHI-9-J.Brisker at CHI 42. 9-J.Brisker ran ob at CHI 42. The biggest win-probability swing was +12.3%.

Season records after this game

Chicago Bears

Entered 7-9 Now 7-10 L

Green Bay Packers

Entered 8-8 Now 9-8 W