Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers: 2018 Week 1 Recap

Game story

In Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-09-09, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 24–23 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) paced the passing game, with -2.22 total EPA, and +1.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Cobb (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.64 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+41.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (2:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +10.64 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +9.51 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.39 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
4. 4 G. Allison · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.58 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
5. 5 A.Robinson II · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.72 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Cohen · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +1.65 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Miller · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.40 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Cohen · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.27 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Chicago Bears — M. Trubisky (Q1 52:16)
• Chicago Bears — K. Mack (Q2 30:50)
• Green Bay Packers — G. Allison (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 14:06)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 9:10)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 2:29)

Field goals

• Chicago Bears — C. Parkey (Q2 45:00)
• Chicago Bears — C. Parkey (Q3 24:18)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 18:41)
• Chicago Bears — C. Parkey (Q4 2:42)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–0. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the GB 2 (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 52:11) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The second quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 10–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 8 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 1-C.Parkey 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the CHI 70 (Q2 30:50); Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 30:39) — 1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 15 (Q3 24:18) — (9:18) 1-C.Parkey 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 23 (Q3 18:41) — (3:41) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 21–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 39 (Q4 14:06) — (14:06) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 81-G.Allison for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 13:59) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 12 (Q4 9:10) — (9:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-R.Robertson-Harris].; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 9:01) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 14 (Q4 2:42) — (2:42) 1-C.Parkey 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 75 (Q4 2:29) — (2:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 2:13) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:29) — (2:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +41.9% · EPA +6.44]
• Chicago Bears (Q4 1:06) — (1:06) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at CHI 38 for -8 yards (53-N.Perry). FUMBLES (53-N.Perry) [53-N.Perry], RECOVERED by GB-97-K.Clark at CHI 39. 97-K.Clark to CHI 39 for no gain (75-K.Long). [WPA -22.8% · EPA -2.51]
• Chicago Bears (Q4 1:46) — (1:46) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass incomplete deep left to 18-T.Gabriel (23-J.Alexander) [52-C.Matthews]. PENALTY on GB-52-C.Matthews, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at CHI 19 - No Play. [WPA +17.8% · EPA +1.85]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 33:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 9-D.Kizer sacked at CHI 18 for -9 yards (52-K.Mack). FUMBLES (52-K.Mack), RECOVERED by CHI-52-K.Mack at CHI 21. 52-K.Mack to CHI 21 for no gain (9-D.Kizer). [WPA -12.5% · EPA -4.14]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 11:20) — (11:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams to CHI 24 for 51 yards (20-P.Amukamara). [WPA +11.3% · EPA +3.78]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:50) — (:50) (Shotgun) 9-D.Kizer pass short middle intended for 88-T.Montgomery INTERCEPTED by 52-K.Mack [95-R.Robertson-Harris] at GB 27. 52-K.Mack for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -8.0% · EPA -6.99]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 2:29) — (2:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +41.9% · EPA +6.44]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 33:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 9-D.Kizer sacked at CHI 18 for -9 yards (52-K.Mack). FUMBLES (52-K.Mack), RECOVERED by CHI-52-K.Mack at CHI 21. 52-K.Mack to CHI 21 for no gain (9-D.Kizer). [WPA -12.5% · EPA -4.14]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 11:20) — (11:20) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams to CHI 24 for 51 yards (20-P.Amukamara). [WPA +11.3% · EPA +3.78]

Quarterback report card

M.Trubisky led all passers in efficiency for Chicago Bears, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Trubisky (Chicago Bears) · 46 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +1.7% CPOE · -0.05 EPA/play · -2.22 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 34 dropbacks · 58.8% completion · +4.0% CPOE · +0.28 EPA/play · +9.51 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Chicago Bears -0.02, Green Bay Packers -0.05) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Chicago Bears: 11 drives, -1.37 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, -4.13 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• R. Cobb (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 52:16 · GB 2 · Score 6-0
   (7:16) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky left tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 52:11 · GB 15 · Score 7-0
   1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
3. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 45:00 · GB 8 · Score 10-0
   (15:00) 1-C.Parkey 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
4. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 30:50 · CHI 70 · Score 16-0
   (:50) (Shotgun) 9-D.Kizer pass short middle intended for 88-T.Montgomery INTERCEPTED by 52-K.Mack [95-R.Robertson-Harris] at GB 27. 52-K.Mack for 27 yards, TOUC
5. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 30:39 · GB 15 · Score 17-0
   1-C.Parkey extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
6. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q3 24:18 · GB 15 · Score 20-0
   (9:18) 1-C.Parkey 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
7. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 18:41 · CHI 23 · Score 20-3
   (3:41) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 14:06 · CHI 39 · Score 20-9
   (14:06) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 81-G.Allison for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 13:59 · CHI 15 · Score 20-10
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 9:10 · CHI 12 · Score 20-16
    (9:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-R.Robertson-Harris].
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 9:01 · CHI 15 · Score 20-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
12. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q4 2:42 · GB 14 · Score 23-17
    (2:42) 1-C.Parkey 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
13. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 2:29 · CHI 75 · Score 23-23
    (2:29) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 2:13 · CHI 15 · Score 23-24
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.