Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers: 2013 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-11-04, the Chicago Bears took care of business against the Green Bay Packers, pulling away with a 27–20 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. McCown (Chicago Bears) paced the passing game, with +11.16 total EPA, and -6.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. McCown (Chicago Bears) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.16 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-19.9% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (5:09) 9-S.Wallace pass short left intended for 87-J.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Peppers at CHI 41. 90-J.Peppers to GB 45 for 14 yards (70-T.Lang).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. McCown · Chicago Bears · Passing · +11.16 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Marshall · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +8.13 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
3. 3 E. Lacy · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +5.34 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Jeffery · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +5.22 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Forte · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +3.72 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Starks · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.48 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
7. 7 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +1.85 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Bush · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.32 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Chicago Bears — B. Marshall (J. McCown pass) (Q1 54:55)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Starks (Q1 48:45)
• Chicago Bears — M. Forte (Q2 39:28)
• Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy (Q3 28:08)
• Chicago Bears — A. Jeffery (J. McCown pass) (Q3 17:46)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 57:28)
• Chicago Bears — R. Gould (Q2 30:02)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 23:48)
• Chicago Bears — R. Gould (Q4 0:53)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–7. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 12 (Q1 57:28) — (12:28) 2-M.Crosby 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the GB 23 (Q1 54:55); Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 54:48) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 32 (Q1 48:45) — (3:45) 44-J.Starks left guard for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 2 (Q1 48:38) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 10–0. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q2 39:28) — (9:28) (Shotgun) 22-M.Forte left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 39:26) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 6 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 9-R.Gould 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 1 (Q3 28:08) — (13:08) 27-E.Lacy right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 2 (Q3 28:04) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 5 (Q3 23:48) — (8:48) 2-M.Crosby 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the GB 6 (Q3 17:46) — (2:46) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short right to 17-A.Jeffery for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q3 17:41) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh..

The fourth quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 3–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 9 (Q4 0:53) — (:53) 9-R.Gould 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 50:09) — (5:09) 9-S.Wallace pass short left intended for 87-J.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Peppers at CHI 41. 90-J.Peppers to GB 45 for 14 yards (70-T.Lang). [WPA -19.9% · EPA -5.90]
• Chicago Bears (Q1 48:55) — (3:55) 8-A.Podlesh punt is BLOCKED by 57-J.Lattimore, Center-65-P.Mannelly, RECOVERED by GB-32-C.Banjo at CHI 32. 32-C.Banjo to CHI 32 for no gain (14-E.Weems). [WPA -13.9% · EPA -3.29]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 28:57) — (13:57) 27-E.Lacy right guard pushed ob at CHI 1 for 56 yards (26-T.Jennings). [WPA +13.7% · EPA +3.92]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 10:19) — (10:19) (Shotgun) 9-S.Wallace sacked at CHI 45 for -5 yards (99-S.McClellin). [WPA -12.6% · EPA -2.25]
• Chicago Bears (Q2 42:26) — (12:26) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short left to 22-M.Forte to GB 25 for 33 yards (43-M.Jennings). [WPA +12.0% · EPA +2.87]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 50:09) — (5:09) 9-S.Wallace pass short left intended for 87-J.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Peppers at CHI 41. 90-J.Peppers to GB 45 for 14 yards (70-T.Lang). [WPA -19.9% · EPA -5.90]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 28:57) — (13:57) 27-E.Lacy right guard pushed ob at CHI 1 for 56 yards (26-T.Jennings). [WPA +13.7% · EPA +3.92]
• Chicago Bears (Q1 54:55) — (9:55) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass deep right to 15-B.Marshall for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-38-T.Williams, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +10.6% · EPA +3.66]
• Chicago Bears (Q1 48:55) — (3:55) 8-A.Podlesh punt is BLOCKED by 57-J.Lattimore, Center-65-P.Mannelly, RECOVERED by GB-32-C.Banjo at CHI 32. 32-C.Banjo to CHI 32 for no gain (14-E.Weems). [WPA -13.9% · EPA -3.29]

Quarterback report card

J.McCown led all passers in efficiency for Chicago Bears, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.McCown (Chicago Bears) · 43 dropbacks · 51.2% completion · -6.5% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +11.16 total EPA
• S.Wallace (Green Bay Packers) · 23 dropbacks · 47.8% completion · -9.2% CPOE · -0.55 EPA/play · -12.55 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Chicago Bears generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.03), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Chicago Bears: 12 drives, +7.92 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, -2.14 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Chicago Bears leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. McCown (Chicago Bears) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. McCown (CHI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• S. Wallace (GB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 57:28 · CHI 12 · Score 0-3
   (12:28) 2-M.Crosby 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
2. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 54:55 · GB 23 · Score 6-3
   (9:55) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass deep right to 15-B.Marshall for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-38-T.Williams, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
3. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 54:48 · GB 2 · Score 7-3
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh.
4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 48:45 · CHI 32 · Score 7-9
   (3:45) 44-J.Starks left guard for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 48:38 · CHI 2 · Score 7-10
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
6. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 39:28 · GB 1 · Score 13-10
   (9:28) (Shotgun) 22-M.Forte left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 39:26 · GB 2 · Score 14-10
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh.
8. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · GB 6 · Score 17-10
   (:02) 9-R.Gould 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh.
9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 28:08 · CHI 1 · Score 17-16
   (13:08) 27-E.Lacy right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 28:04 · CHI 2 · Score 17-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
11. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 23:48 · CHI 5 · Score 17-20
    (8:48) 2-M.Crosby 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
12. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 17:46 · GB 6 · Score 23-20
    (2:46) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short right to 17-A.Jeffery for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 17:41 · GB 2 · Score 24-20
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh.
14. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q4 0:53 · GB 9 · Score 27-20
    (:53) 9-R.Gould 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-8-A.Podlesh.