Game story
In Week 17 of the 2010 NFL season on 2011-01-02, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 10–3 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 7 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Cutler (Chicago Bears) paced the passing game, with -19.89 total EPA, and -10.8% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +2.44 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-17.6% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (10:33) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 85-G.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 33-C.Tillman at CHI 43. 33-C.Tillman to GB 15 for 42 yards (75-B.Bulaga). Green Bay challenged the incomplete pass ruling,
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Green Bay Packers | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.44 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.22 EPA/play
- 2 M. Forte · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +1.23 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
- 3 M. Forte · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.15 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
- 4 D. Lee · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +0.70 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
- 5 R. Davis · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +0.08 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.01 EPA/play
- 6 G. Olsen · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +0.01 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.00 EPA/play
- 7 A. Quarless · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +0.01 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.01 EPA/play
- 8 J. Starks · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · -0.17 total EPA · 3 snaps · -0.06 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Nelson — GB · Receiving
J. Nelson posted the highest total EPA (+2.44) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 2 counted snaps, they averaged +1.22 EPA per play.
The signature play (-6.71 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (10:33) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 85-G.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 33-C.Tillman at CHI 43. 33-C.Tillman to GB 15 for 42 yards (75-B.Bulaga). Green Bay challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was Up
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Green Bay Packers — D. Lee (A. Rodgers pass)
Field goals
- Chicago Bears — R. Gould
- Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The second quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 3–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 12 (Q2 34:35) — (4:35) 9-R.Gould 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard..
The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 5 (Q3 17:43) — (2:43) 2-M.Crosby 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..
The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 1 (Q4 12:46) — (12:46) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 86-D.Lee for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 2 (Q4 12:42) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 25:33) — (10:33) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 85-G.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 33-C.Tillman at CHI 43. 33-C.Tillman to GB 15 for 42 yards (75-B.Bulaga). Green Bay challenged the incomplete pass ruling,
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 13:36) — (13:36) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-G.Jennings to CHI 1 for 46 yards (38-D.Manning).
- Chicago Bears (Q3 21:20) — (6:20) 4-B.Maynard punts 52 yards to GB 15, Center-65-P.Mannelly. 38-T.Williams ran ob at CHI 44 for 41 yards (87-K.Davis).
- Chicago Bears (Q2 37:43) — (7:43) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 22-M.Forte to GB 18 for 27 yards (55-D.Bishop).
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 20:19) — (5:19) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-G.Jennings to CHI 1 for 33 yards (46-C.Harris).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 25:33) — (10:33) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 85-G.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 33-C.Tillman at CHI 43. 33-C.Tillman to GB 15 for 42 yards (75-B.Bulaga). Green Bay challenged the incomplete pass ruling,
- Green Bay Packers (Q1 50:58) — (5:58) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 80-D.Driver to CHI 35 for 8 yards (30-D.Moore). FUMBLES (30-D.Moore), RECOVERED by CHI-33-C.Tillman at CHI 35. 33-C.Tillman to CHI 35 for no gain (81-A
- Chicago Bears (Q3 23:45) — (8:45) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep left intended for 13-J.Knox INTERCEPTED by 26-C.Peprah at GB -1. Touchback.
- Green Bay Packers (Q4 13:36) — (13:36) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-G.Jennings to CHI 1 for 46 yards (38-D.Manning).
Quarterback report card
J.Cutler led all passers in efficiency for Chicago Bears, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Cutler (Chicago Bears) · 47 dropbacks · 44.7% completion · -10.8% CPOE · -0.42 EPA/play · -19.89 total EPA
- A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 38 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +3.8% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -5.81 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Chicago Bears | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.242 | -0.170 |
| Offensive success rate | 34.2% | 36.0% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.423 | -0.153 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.046 | -0.370 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.170 | +0.242 |
| Defensive success rate | 64.0% | 65.8% |
By the numbers
Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.17 vs -0.24), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Chicago Bears: 13 drives, -19.15 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
- Green Bay Packers: 13 drives, -12.74 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- J. Cutler (CHI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 34:35 · GB 12 · Score 3-0
(4:35) 9-R.Gould 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-P.Mannelly, Holder-4-B.Maynard. - Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 17:43 · CHI 5 · Score 3-3
(2:43) 2-M.Crosby 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. - Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 12:46 · CHI 1 · Score 3-9
(12:46) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 86-D.Lee for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 12:42 · CHI 2 · Score 3-10
2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?
The Green Bay Packers beat the Chicago Bears 10-3 in Week 17, 2010 on 2011-01-02.
What was the final score of Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?
The final score was Chicago Bears 3, Green Bay Packers 10 (CHI 3-10 GB) in Week 17, 2010 on 2011-01-02.
What was the score by quarter in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?
Q2: Chicago Bears 3, Green Bay Packers 0; Q3: Chicago Bears 0, Green Bay Packers 3; Q4: Chicago Bears 0, Green Bay Packers 7; Final: Chicago Bears 3, Green Bay Packers 10.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?
Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Lee (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 12:46) Chicago Bears field goal — R. Gould (Q2 34:35, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q3 17:43, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?
J. Cutler (Chicago Bears), 44.7% completion, -10.8% CPOE, -0.42 EPA per dropback, -19.89 total passing EPA. A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 50.0% completion, +3.8% CPOE, -0.15 EPA per dropback, -5.81 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?
J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +2.44 on receiving plays. across 2 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.71 EPA): (10:33) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left intended for 85-G.Jennings INTERCEPTED by 33-C.Tillman at CHI 43. 33-C.Tillman to GB 15 for 42 yards (75-B.Bulaga). Green Bay challenged the inc. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.6%.
Was Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 7 points. Green Bay Packers won 10-3 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Chicago Bears
Entered 11-4 Now 11-5 L
Green Bay Packers
Entered 9-6 Now 10-6 W
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