Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2019 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-10-13, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 37–26 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 26 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -14.70 total EPA, and -6.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.12 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-11.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (1:16) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at CAR 28 for -7 yards (92-V.Butler). FUMBLES (92-V.Butler) [94-E.Obada], RECOVERED by CAR-55-B.Irvin at CAR 29. 55-B.Irvin to CAR 29 for no gain (74-A.Marpet).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +7.12 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
2. 2 K. Allen · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +4.90 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Samuel · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.69 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Moore · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.47 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Brate · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.61 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Ogunbowale · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +1.68 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.68 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Samuel · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.66 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.66 EPA/play
8. 8 O. Howard · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.61 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Carolina Panthers — C. McCaffrey (Q1 46:11)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Jones (Q2 42:47)
• Carolina Panthers — C. McCaffrey (K. Allen pass) (Q2 37:41)
• Carolina Panthers — C. Samuel (Q3 23:10)
• Carolina Panthers — C. Samuel (K. Allen pass) (Q4 15:00)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Brate (J. Winston pass) (Q4 12:56)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Ogunbowale (Q4 4:52)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — J. Slye (Q1 58:25)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Slye (Q3 23:25)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Gay (Q3 20:32)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Slye (Q4 7:59)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 10–0. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the TB 31 (Q1 58:25) — (13:25) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Slye 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q1 46:11) — (1:11) 76-B.Witzmann reported in as eligible. 22-C.McCaffrey right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 46:05) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 5 (Q2 42:47) — (12:47) 27-R.Jones right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q2 42:43) — 9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 25 (Q2 37:41) — (7:41) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short left to 22-C.McCaffrey for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q2 37:32) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy..

The third quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 10–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the TB 28 (Q3 23:25) — (8:25) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Slye 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 8 (Q3 23:10) — (8:10) 10-C.Samuel right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 20 (Q3 23:05) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CAR 36 (Q3 20:32) — (5:32) (Field Goal formation) 9-M.Gay 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 16–10. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 13 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short right to 10-C.Samuel for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 14:55) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 10 (Q4 12:56) — (12:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 84-C.Brate for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers registered a safety from the CAR 2 (Q4 12:51) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-J.Winston pass to 13-M.Evans is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the TB 11 (Q4 7:59) — (7:59) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Slye 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q4 4:52) — (4:52) (No Huddle) 44-D.Ogunbowale left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers registered a safety from the CAR 2 (Q4 4:47) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-J.Winston rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 31:16) — (1:16) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at CAR 28 for -7 yards (92-V.Butler). FUMBLES (92-V.Butler) [94-E.Obada], RECOVERED by CAR-55-B.Irvin at CAR 29. 55-B.Irvin to CAR 29 for no gain (74-A.Marpet). [WPA -11.0% · EPA -4.00]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 44:17) — (14:17) (Punt formation) 8-B.Pinion punts 49 yards to CAR 23, Center-97-Z.Triner. 14-R.McCloud to CAR 33 for 10 yards (29-R.Smith). FUMBLES (29-R.Smith), RECOVERED by TB-51-K.Minter at CAR 37. 51-K.Mi [WPA +9.1% · EPA +4.90]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 3-J.Winston pass short left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Bradberry at TB 29. 24-J.Bradberry to TB 29 for no gain (13-M.Evans). [WPA -8.6% · EPA -4.75]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 39:17) — (9:17) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left intended for 85-B.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 23-J.Elliott (55-B.Irvin) at TB 36. 23-J.Elliott to TB 36 for no gain (80-O.Howard). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -2.99]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 43:26) — (13:26) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 80-O.Howard pushed ob at CAR 5 for 30 yards (97-M.Addison). [WPA +7.0% · EPA +2.87]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 23:21) — (8:21) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Kuechly [25-E.Reid] at TB 33. 59-L.Kuechly ran ob at TB 8 for 25 yards (71-E.Watford). [WPA -6.6% · EPA -6.24]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 10:06) — (10:06) (Punt formation) 5-M.Palardy punts 50 yards to TB 16, Center-44-J.Jansen. 85-B.Wilson MUFFS catch, touched at TB 16, RECOVERED by CAR-20-J.Scarlett at TB 17. 20-J.Scarlett to TB 17 for no gain [WPA +1.2% · EPA +5.33]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 44:17) — (14:17) (Punt formation) 8-B.Pinion punts 49 yards to CAR 23, Center-97-Z.Triner. 14-R.McCloud to CAR 33 for 10 yards (29-R.Smith). FUMBLES (29-R.Smith), RECOVERED by TB-51-K.Minter at CAR 37. 51-K.Mi [WPA +9.1% · EPA +4.90]
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 3-J.Winston pass short left intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Bradberry at TB 29. 24-J.Bradberry to TB 29 for no gain (13-M.Evans). [WPA -8.6% · EPA -4.75]

Quarterback report card

J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 66 dropbacks · 45.5% completion · -6.1% CPOE · -0.22 EPA/play · -14.70 total EPA
• K.Allen (Carolina Panthers) · 36 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · -0.4% CPOE · +0.14 EPA/play · +4.90 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Carolina Panthers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs -0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Carolina Panthers: 17 drives, +7.10 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 16 drives, -5.03 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• C. Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Winston (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q1 58:25 · TB 31 · Score 3-0
   (13:25) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Slye 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
2. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 46:11 · TB 1 · Score 9-0
   (1:11) 76-B.Witzmann reported in as eligible. 22-C.McCaffrey right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 46:05 · TB 15 · Score 10-0
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 42:47 · CAR 5 · Score 10-6
   (12:47) 27-R.Jones right guard for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 42:43 · CAR 15 · Score 10-7
   9-M.Gay extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
6. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 37:41 · TB 25 · Score 16-7
   (7:41) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short left to 22-C.McCaffrey for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 37:32 · TB 15 · Score 17-7
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q3 23:25 · TB 28 · Score 20-7
   (8:25) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Slye 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
9. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 23:10 · TB 8 · Score 26-7
   (8:10) 10-C.Samuel right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 23:05 · TB 20 · Score 27-7
    4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 20:32 · CAR 36 · Score 27-10
    (5:32) (Field Goal formation) 9-M.Gay 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
12. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · TB 13 · Score 33-10
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short right to 10-C.Samuel for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 14:55 · TB 15 · Score 34-10
    4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 12:56 · CAR 10 · Score 34-16
    (12:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle to 84-C.Brate for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Safety (+2) — Q4 12:51 · CAR 2 · Score 34-18
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-J.Winston pass to 13-M.Evans is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
16. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 7:59 · TB 11 · Score 37-18
    (7:59) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Slye 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 4:52 · CAR 3 · Score 37-24
    (4:52) (No Huddle) 44-D.Ogunbowale left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Safety (+2) — Q4 4:47 · CAR 2 · Score 37-26
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-J.Winston rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.