FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 6 · October 18, 2009 · 11 min read

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2009 Week 6 Recap

Panthers defeat Buccaneers 28–21 in Week 6

Dorian Williams led Fantasy Impact as Panthers prevailed in a 28–21 Week 6 finish.

Carolina Panthers 28 2–3 Winner
Final 28–21
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 0–6
Winner
Carolina Panthers
Final score
28–21
Halftime
Tied 7–7 at halftime
Top passer
Josh Johnson
FantasyHQ MVP
Dorian Williams
Game date
October 18, 2009

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • Dorian Williams
    Dorian Williams 30 CAR · 152 YDS · 2 TD +10.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Josaiah Stewart
    Josaiah Stewart 17 CAR · 110 YDS · 1 TD +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Johnny King 2 REC · 8 YDS · 1 TD +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • S.Stroughter 3 REC · 50 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Austin Bryant
    Austin Bryant 2 REC · 37 YDS +2.4 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Winslow 3 REC · 44 YDS +0.8 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Carolina Panthers defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28–21 in Week 6 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-10-18, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-37.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Carolina Panthers swung the momentum.

In Week 6 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-10-18, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 28–21 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -1.90 total EPA, and -1.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Williams (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.28 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-37.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (8:43) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass short middle intended for 87-M.Muhammad INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Jackson [54-G.Hayes] at CAR 26. 36-T.Jackson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Carolina Panthers07147028
Tampa Bay Buccaneers7077021

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 D. Williams · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +10.28 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  2. 2 S. Stroughter · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.47 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Bryant · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.40 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Williams · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.45 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Stewart · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.39 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. King · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.21 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
  7. 7 K. Winslow · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.76 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Ward · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.16 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

D. Williams — CAR · Rushing

D. Williams posted the highest total EPA (+10.28) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Carolina Panthers's efficiency. Across 30 counted snaps, they averaged +0.34 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.30 EPA) came from Carolina Panthers: (8:43) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass short middle intended for 87-M.Muhammad INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Jackson [54-G.Hayes] at CAR 26. 36-T.Jackson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Williams (Q1 56:07)
  • Carolina Panthers — D. Williams (Q2 41:59)
  • Carolina Panthers — J. King (J. Delhomme pass) (Q3 27:15)
  • Carolina Panthers — J. Stewart (Q3 17:44)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — S. Stroughter (Q3 17:33)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — T. Jackson (Q4 8:43)
  • Carolina Panthers — D. Williams (Q4 1:21)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 20 (Q1 56:07) — (11:07) 24-C.Williams left tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 55:57) — (Kick formation) 3-S.Andrus extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 20 (Q2 41:59) — (11:59) 34-D.Williams left end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q2 41:48) — (Kick formation) 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker..

The third quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–7. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q3 27:15) — (12:15) 17-J.Delhomme pass short left to 47-J.King for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 27:07) — (Kick formation) 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 26 (Q3 17:44) — (2:44) 28-J.Stewart left tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q3 17:33) — (Kick formation) 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CAR 30 (Q3 17:33) — 5-R.Lloyd kicks 67 yards from CAR 30 to TB 3. 18-S.Stroughter for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q3 17:17) — (Kick formation) 3-S.Andrus extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the TB 79 (Q4 8:43); Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q4 8:33) — (Kick formation) 3-S.Andrus extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 1:21) — (1:21) 34-D.Williams left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 0:29) — (Kick formation) 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 8:43) — (8:43) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass short middle intended for 87-M.Muhammad INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Jackson [54-G.Hayes] at CAR 26. 36-T.Jackson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -37.6% · EPA -6.30]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 29:53) — (14:53) 11-J.Johnson pass short right intended for 80-M.Clayton INTERCEPTED by 58-T.Davis at TB 36. 58-T.Davis pushed ob at TB 12 for 24 yards (76-J.Zuttah). [WPA -16.8% · EPA -5.76]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 40:55) — (10:55) 11-J.Johnson FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 21, RECOVERED by CAR-75-H.Thomas at TB 23. 75-H.Thomas to TB 23 for no gain (76-J.Zuttah). [WPA -15.6% · EPA -5.07]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 17:33) — 5-R.Lloyd kicks 67 yards from CAR 30 to TB 3. 18-S.Stroughter for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.0% · EPA +6.23]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 40:11) — (10:11) 28-J.Stewart up the middle to TB 3 for 14 yards (36-T.Jackson). FUMBLES (36-T.Jackson), RECOVERED by TB-98-R.Sims at TB 3. 98-R.Sims to TB 3 for no gain (79-J.Otah). [WPA -12.7% · EPA -4.17]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 8:43) — (8:43) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass short middle intended for 87-M.Muhammad INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Jackson [54-G.Hayes] at CAR 26. 36-T.Jackson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -37.6% · EPA -6.30]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 17:33) — 5-R.Lloyd kicks 67 yards from CAR 30 to TB 3. 18-S.Stroughter for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.0% · EPA +6.23]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 29:53) — (14:53) 11-J.Johnson pass short right intended for 80-M.Clayton INTERCEPTED by 58-T.Davis at TB 36. 58-T.Davis pushed ob at TB 12 for 24 yards (76-J.Zuttah). [WPA -16.8% · EPA -5.76]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 40:55) — (10:55) 11-J.Johnson FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 21, RECOVERED by CAR-75-H.Thomas at TB 23. 75-H.Thomas to TB 23 for no gain (76-J.Zuttah). [WPA -15.6% · EPA -5.07]

Quarterback report card

J.Johnson led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 30 dropbacks · 36.7% completion · -1.4% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -1.90 total EPA
  • J.Delhomme (Carolina Panthers) · 19 dropbacks · 47.4% completion · -1.0% CPOE · -0.47 EPA/play · -8.90 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCarolina PanthersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.018-0.125
Offensive success rate57.5%40.0%
Pass EPA/play-0.468-0.063
Rush EPA/play+0.248-0.334
Defensive EPA/play+0.125-0.018
Defensive success rate60.0%42.5%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Carolina Panthers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.12), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Carolina Panthers: 11 drives, +1.43 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 12 drives, -8.11 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • D. Williams (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 56:07 · CAR 20 · Score 0-6
    (11:07) 24-C.Williams left tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 55:57 · CAR 2 · Score 0-7
    (Kick formation) 3-S.Andrus extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
  3. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 41:59 · TB 20 · Score 6-7
    (11:59) 34-D.Williams left end for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 41:48 · TB 2 · Score 7-7
    (Kick formation) 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
  5. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 27:15 · TB 1 · Score 13-7
    (12:15) 17-J.Delhomme pass short left to 47-J.King for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 27:07 · TB 2 · Score 14-7
    (Kick formation) 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
  7. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 17:44 · TB 26 · Score 20-7
    (2:44) 28-J.Stewart left tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 17:33 · TB 2 · Score 21-7
    (Kick formation) 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 17:33 · CAR 30 · Score 21-13
    5-R.Lloyd kicks 67 yards from CAR 30 to TB 3. 18-S.Stroughter for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 17:17 · CAR 2 · Score 21-14
    (Kick formation) 3-S.Andrus extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q4 8:43 · TB 79 · Score 21-20
    (8:43) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass short middle intended for 87-M.Muhammad INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Jackson [54-G.Hayes] at CAR 26. 36-T.Jackson for 26 yards, TOUCH
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q4 8:33 · CAR 2 · Score 21-21
    (Kick formation) 3-S.Andrus extra point is GOOD, Center-48-A.Economos, Holder-8-D.Johnson.
  13. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 1:21 · TB 1 · Score 27-21
    (1:21) 34-D.Williams left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 0:29 · TB 2 · Score 28-21
    (Kick formation) 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Carolina Panthers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28-21 in Week 6, 2009 on 2009-10-18.

What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Carolina Panthers 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 (CAR 28-21 TB) in Week 6, 2009 on 2009-10-18.

What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Carolina Panthers 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q2: Carolina Panthers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q3: Carolina Panthers 14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q4: Carolina Panthers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Final: Carolina Panthers 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Williams (Q1 56:07) Carolina Panthers touchdown — D. Williams (Q2 41:59) Carolina Panthers touchdown — J. King (J. Delhomme pass) (Q3 27:15) Carolina Panthers touchdown — J. Stewart (Q3 17:44) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — S. Stroughter (Q3 17:33) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — T. Jackson (Q4 8:43) Carolina Panthers touchdown — D. Williams (Q4 1:21) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

J. Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 36.7% completion, -1.4% CPOE, -0.06 EPA per dropback, -1.90 total passing EPA. J. Delhomme (Carolina Panthers), 47.4% completion, -1.0% CPOE, -0.47 EPA per dropback, -8.90 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

D. Williams (Carolina Panthers) led the game in total EPA with +10.28 on rushing plays. across 30 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.30 EPA): (8:43) (Shotgun) 17-J.Delhomme pass short middle intended for 87-M.Muhammad INTERCEPTED by 36-T.Jackson [54-G.Hayes] at CAR 26. 36-T.Jackson for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -37.6%.

Was Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Carolina Panthers won 28-21 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Carolina Panthers

Entered 1-3 Now 2-3 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 0-5 Now 0-6 L