FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 10 · November 10, 2013 · 9 min read

Carolina Panthers vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2013 Week 10 Recap

Panthers defeat 49ers 10–9 in Week 10

De.Williams led Fantasy Impact as Panthers prevailed in a 10–9 Week 10 finish.

Carolina Panthers 10 6–3 Winner
Final 10–9
San Francisco 49ers 9 6–3
Winner
Carolina Panthers
Final score
10–9
Halftime
Carolina Panthers 7–9 San Francisco 49ers
Top passer
C. Newton
FantasyHQ MVP
De.Williams
Game date
November 10, 2013

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • De.Williams 8 CAR · 46 YDS · 1 TD +1.7 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Ginn 2 REC · 19 YDS +1.3 Fantasy Impact
  • B.LaFell 4 REC · 48 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · 49ers

  • Blake Miller
    Blake Miller 1 REC · 10 YDS +1.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Frank Gore Jr.
    Frank Gore Jr. 2 REC · 21 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Manningham 3 REC · 30 YDS +0.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Carolina Panthers defeated the San Francisco 49ers 10–9 in Week 10 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-11-10, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-21.5% win probability) came in the third quarter when San Francisco 49ers swung the momentum.

In Week 10 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-11-10, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 10–9 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Newton (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -5.35 total EPA, and -11.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, De. Williams (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +1.71 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.5% win probability) landed in the third quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (1:55) 32-K.Hunter right guard to CAR 39 for no gain (58-T.Davis). FUMBLES (58-T.Davis), RECOVERED by CAR-27-Q.Mikell at CAR 45. 27-Q.Mikell to CAR 45 for no gain (7-C.Kaepernick). SF-77-M.Iupati was

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Carolina Panthers0730010
San Francisco 49ers360009

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 De. Williams · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.71 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Ginn · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.29 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  3. 3 B. Miller · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +0.99 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. LaFell · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.88 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
  5. 5 D. Hixon · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.78 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
  6. 6 F. Gore · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +0.60 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Tolbert · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +0.44 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Manningham · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +0.26 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

De. Williams — CAR · Rushing

De. Williams posted the highest total EPA (+1.71) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Carolina Panthers's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +0.21 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.25 EPA) came from San Francisco 49ers: (1:55) 32-K.Hunter right guard to CAR 39 for no gain (58-T.Davis). FUMBLES (58-T.Davis), RECOVERED by CAR-27-Q.Mikell at CAR 45. 27-Q.Mikell to CAR 45 for no gain (7-C.Kaepernick). SF-77-M.Iupati was injured during the p

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Carolina Panthers — unlisted player (Q2 31:59)

Field goals

  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q1 55:51)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 43:38)
  • San Francisco 49ers — P. Dawson (Q2 36:20)
  • Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q4 10:10)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 3–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CAR 34 (Q1 55:51) — (10:51) 9-P.Dawson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–6. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CAR 25 (Q2 43:38) — (13:38) 9-P.Dawson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CAR 7 (Q2 36:20) — (6:20) 9-P.Dawson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SF 27 (Q2 31:59) — (1:59) (Shotgun) 34-De.Williams up the middle for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q2 31:52) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 3–0. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the SF 35 (Q4 10:10) — (10:10) 9-G.Gano 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • San Francisco 49ers (Q3 16:55) — (1:55) 32-K.Hunter right guard to CAR 39 for no gain (58-T.Davis). FUMBLES (58-T.Davis), RECOVERED by CAR-27-Q.Mikell at CAR 45. 27-Q.Mikell to CAR 45 for no gain (7-C.Kaepernick). SF-77-M.Iupati was [WPA -21.5% · EPA -5.25]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q4 0:37) — (:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right intended for 82-M.Manningham INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Florence at SF 42. 29-D.Florence to SF 40 for 2 yards. [WPA -20.2% · EPA -1.32]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 1:10) — (1:10) 8-B.Nortman punts 54 yards to end zone, Center-44-J.Jansen, Touchback. [WPA -17.7% · EPA -0.32]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 18:46) — (3:46) 9-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman. [WPA -15.8% · EPA -3.70]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q4 13:47) — (13:47) 4-A.Lee punts 44 yards to CAR 31, Center-47-K.McDermott. 19-T.Ginn to SF 44 for 25 yards (57-M.Wilhoite). [WPA -15.5% · EPA -1.19]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • San Francisco 49ers (Q3 16:55) — (1:55) 32-K.Hunter right guard to CAR 39 for no gain (58-T.Davis). FUMBLES (58-T.Davis), RECOVERED by CAR-27-Q.Mikell at CAR 45. 27-Q.Mikell to CAR 45 for no gain (7-C.Kaepernick). SF-77-M.Iupati was [WPA -21.5% · EPA -5.25]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 39:10) — (9:10) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 26-T.Brock at SF 35. 26-T.Brock to CAR 24 for 41 yards (11-B.LaFell). [WPA -6.9% · EPA -4.78]
  • San Francisco 49ers (Q1 45:28) — (:28) 4-A.Lee punts 22 yards to CAR 48, Center-47-K.McDermott. 29-D.Florence MUFFS catch, touched at CAR 41, RECOVERED by SF-35-E.Reid at CAR 41. 35-E.Reid to CAR 41 for no gain (22-J.Thomas). J.Senn [WPA +11.8% · EPA +4.04]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 31:59) — (1:59) (Shotgun) 34-De.Williams up the middle for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.1% · EPA +3.97]

Quarterback report card

C.Newton led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 37 dropbacks · 43.2% completion · -11.0% CPOE · -0.14 EPA/play · -5.35 total EPA
  • C.Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) · 32 dropbacks · 34.4% completion · -12.9% CPOE · -0.28 EPA/play · -9.04 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCarolina PanthersSan Francisco 49ers
Offensive EPA/play-0.162-0.205
Offensive success rate35.8%33.3%
Pass EPA/play-0.145-0.282
Rush EPA/play-0.159-0.496
Defensive EPA/play+0.205+0.162
Defensive success rate66.7%64.2%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Carolina Panthers -0.16, San Francisco 49ers -0.20) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, -13.16 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • San Francisco 49ers: 13 drives, -14.75 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • De. Williams (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Newton (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • C. Kaepernick (SF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 55:51 · CAR 34 · Score 0-3
    (10:51) 9-P.Dawson 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  2. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 43:38 · CAR 25 · Score 0-6
    (13:38) 9-P.Dawson 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q2 36:20 · CAR 7 · Score 0-9
    (6:20) 9-P.Dawson 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-K.McDermott, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  4. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 31:59 · SF 27 · Score 6-9
    (1:59) (Shotgun) 34-De.Williams up the middle for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 31:52 · SF 2 · Score 7-9
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  6. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 10:10 · SF 35 · Score 10-9
    (10:10) 9-G.Gano 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers?

The Carolina Panthers beat the San Francisco 49ers 10-9 in Week 10, 2013 on 2013-11-10.

What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers?

The final score was Carolina Panthers 10, San Francisco 49ers 9 (CAR 10-9 SF) in Week 10, 2013 on 2013-11-10.

What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers?

Q1: Carolina Panthers 0, San Francisco 49ers 3; Q2: Carolina Panthers 7, San Francisco 49ers 6; Q4: Carolina Panthers 3, San Francisco 49ers 0; Final: Carolina Panthers 10, San Francisco 49ers 9.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers?

Carolina Panthers touchdown — unlisted player (Q2 31:59) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q1 55:51, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q2 43:38, 3 pts) San Francisco 49ers field goal — P. Dawson (Q2 36:20, 3 pts) Carolina Panthers field goal — G. Gano (Q4 10:10, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers?

C. Newton (Carolina Panthers), 43.2% completion, -11.0% CPOE, -0.14 EPA per dropback, -5.35 total passing EPA. C. Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers), 34.4% completion, -12.9% CPOE, -0.28 EPA per dropback, -9.04 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers?

De. Williams (Carolina Panthers) led the game in total EPA with +1.71 on rushing plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.25 EPA): (1:55) 32-K.Hunter right guard to CAR 39 for no gain (58-T.Davis). FUMBLES (58-T.Davis), RECOVERED by CAR-27-Q.Mikell at CAR 45. 27-Q.Mikell to CAR 45 for no gain (7-C.Kaepernick).. The biggest win-probability swing was -21.5%.

Was Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Carolina Panthers won 10-9 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Carolina Panthers

Entered 5-3 Now 6-3 W

San Francisco 49ers

Entered 6-2 Now 6-3 L