Carolina Panthers vs. New York Jets: 2017 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-11-26, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 35–27 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 27 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. McCown (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -0.70 total EPA, and -4.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. Anderson (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.24 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-41.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (12:16) 15-J.McCown sacked at NYJ 36 for -9 yards (96-W.Horton). FUMBLES (96-W.Horton) [96-W.Horton], touched at NYJ 36, RECOVERED by CAR-59-L.Kuechly at NYJ 34. 59-L.Kuechly for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 R. Anderson · New York Jets · Receiving · +9.24 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Kearse · New York Jets · Receiving · +7.35 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Funchess · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +5.51 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
4. 4 C. McCaffrey · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +3.09 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.62 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Newton · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +2.41 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
6. 6 C. McCaffrey · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +2.11 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
7. 7 K. Clay · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.84 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.84 EPA/play
8. 8 L. Thomas · New York Jets · Receiving · +0.29 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Carolina Panthers — C. Newton (Q2 40:07)
• New York Jets — R. Anderson (J. McCown pass) (Q2 31:12)
• New York Jets — R. Anderson (J. McCown pass) (Q3 20:52)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Stewart (Q3 16:17)
• Carolina Panthers — L. Kuechly (Q4 12:16)
• Carolina Panthers — K. Clay (Q4 10:09)
• New York Jets — J. Kearse (J. McCown pass) (Q4 5:37)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q1 54:59)
• New York Jets — C. Catanzaro (Q1 50:16)
• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q2 34:02)
• New York Jets — C. Catanzaro (Q4 14:03)
• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q4 0:25)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the NYJ 22 (Q1 54:59) — (9:59) 9-G.Gano 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the CAR 13 (Q1 50:16) — (5:16) 7-C.Catanzaro 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 9–7. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q2 40:07) — (10:07) 72-T.Moton reported in as eligible. 1-C.Newton left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the NYJ 15 (Q2 34:02) — (4:02) 9-G.Gano 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; New York Jets found the end zone from the CAR 33 (Q2 31:12); New York Jets added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q2 31:12) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards..

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–6. New York Jets found the end zone from the CAR 54 (Q3 20:52); New York Jets added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 20:41) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the NYJ 2 (Q3 16:17) — (1:17) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 17–10. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the CAR 1 (Q4 14:03) — (14:03) 7-C.Catanzaro 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the CAR 55 (Q4 12:16); Carolina Panthers registered a safety from the NYJ 2 (Q4 12:05) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-C.Newton rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the CAR 77 (Q4 10:09) — (10:09) 4-L.Edwards punts 37 yards to CAR 40, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 12-K.Clay for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q4 5:37) — (5:37) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short right to 10-J.Kearse for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 5:32) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the NYJ 27 (Q4 0:25) — (:25) 9-G.Gano 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q4 12:16) — (12:16) 15-J.McCown sacked at NYJ 36 for -9 yards (96-W.Horton). FUMBLES (96-W.Horton) [96-W.Horton], touched at NYJ 36, RECOVERED by CAR-59-L.Kuechly at NYJ 34. 59-L.Kuechly for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -41.9% · EPA -8.94]
• New York Jets (Q3 20:52) — (5:52) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. [WPA +19.1% · EPA +4.24]
• New York Jets (Q3 15:16) — (:16) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short middle to 10-J.Kearse to CAR 18 for 42 yards (58-T.Davis). [WPA +15.4% · EPA +3.72]
• New York Jets (Q2 31:12) — (1:12) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. [WPA +13.6% · EPA +4.10]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 18:23) — (3:23) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 22-C.McCaffrey. PENALTY on NYJ-48-J.Jenkins, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 32 - No Play. [WPA +12.6% · EPA +2.35]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q4 12:16) — (12:16) 15-J.McCown sacked at NYJ 36 for -9 yards (96-W.Horton). FUMBLES (96-W.Horton) [96-W.Horton], touched at NYJ 36, RECOVERED by CAR-59-L.Kuechly at NYJ 34. 59-L.Kuechly for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -41.9% · EPA -8.94]
• New York Jets (Q4 10:09) — (10:09) 4-L.Edwards punts 37 yards to CAR 40, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 12-K.Clay for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -5.9% · EPA -5.46]
• New York Jets (Q3 20:52) — (5:52) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. [WPA +19.1% · EPA +4.24]
• New York Jets (Q2 31:12) — (1:12) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. [WPA +13.6% · EPA +4.10]

Quarterback report card

J.McCown led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.McCown (New York Jets) · 43 dropbacks · 44.2% completion · -4.5% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -0.70 total EPA
• C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 36 dropbacks · 30.6% completion · -14.2% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +2.41 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Carolina Panthers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.11), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Carolina Panthers: 14 drives, +2.41 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 14 drives, -10.61 total EPA, 7 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• R. Anderson (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. McCown (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• C. Newton (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q1 54:59 · NYJ 22 · Score 3-0
   (9:59) 9-G.Gano 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
2. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q1 50:16 · CAR 13 · Score 3-3
   (5:16) 7-C.Catanzaro 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.
3. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 40:07 · NYJ 1 · Score 9-3
   (10:07) 72-T.Moton reported in as eligible. 1-C.Newton left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 34:02 · NYJ 15 · Score 12-3
   (4:02) 9-G.Gano 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
5. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 31:12 · CAR 33 · Score 12-9
   (1:12) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was
6. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 31:12 · CAR 15 · Score 12-10
   7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.
7. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 20:52 · CAR 54 · Score 12-16
   (5:52) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Uphe
8. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 20:41 · CAR 15 · Score 12-17
   7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.
9. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 16:17 · NYJ 2 · Score 18-17
   (1:17) (Shotgun) 28-J.Stewart right tackle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 14:03 · CAR 1 · Score 18-20
    (14:03) 7-C.Catanzaro 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.
11. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 12:16 · CAR 55 · Score 24-20
    (12:16) 15-J.McCown sacked at NYJ 36 for -9 yards (96-W.Horton). FUMBLES (96-W.Horton) [96-W.Horton], touched at NYJ 36, RECOVERED by CAR-59-L.Kuechly at NYJ 34
12. Carolina Panthers Safety (+2) — Q4 12:05 · NYJ 2 · Score 26-20
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 1-C.Newton rushes right end. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
13. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 10:09 · CAR 77 · Score 32-20
    (10:09) 4-L.Edwards punts 37 yards to CAR 40, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 12-K.Clay for 60 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 5:37 · CAR 3 · Score 32-26
    (5:37) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short right to 10-J.Kearse for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 5:32 · CAR 15 · Score 32-27
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-4-L.Edwards.
16. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 0:25 · NYJ 27 · Score 35-27
    (:25) 9-G.Gano 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.