Carolina Panthers vs. New York Jets: 2009 Week 12 Recap

Game story

In Week 12 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-11-29, the New York Jets took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 17–6 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Delhomme (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -22.86 total EPA, and -17.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Rosario (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.17 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-22.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (8:59) (No Huddle) 17-J.Delhomme pass short left intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Revis at NYJ 33. 24-D.Revis for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Rosario · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.17 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Jarrett · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.06 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Woodhead · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.92 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Stewart · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +0.49 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.05 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Edwards · New York Jets · Receiving · -0.19 total EPA · 4 snaps · -0.05 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Keller · New York Jets · Receiving · -0.20 total EPA · 4 snaps · -0.05 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Cotchery · New York Jets · Receiving · -0.21 total EPA · 2 snaps · -0.10 EPA/play
8. 8 B. Hoover · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · -0.22 total EPA · 1 snaps · -0.22 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — D. Revis (Q1 53:59)
• New York Jets — T. Jones (Q2 30:33)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — J. Kasay (Q2 40:16)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Kasay (Q4 11:50)
• New York Jets — J. Feely (Q4 3:44)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the NYJ 39 (Q1 53:59); New York Jets added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 53:48) — 3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-11-K.Clemens..

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the NYJ 22 (Q2 40:16) — (10:16) 4-J.Kasay 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.; New York Jets found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q2 30:33); New York Jets added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 30:28) — 3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-11-K.Clemens..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the NYJ 10 (Q4 11:50) — (11:50) 4-J.Kasay 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the CAR 30 (Q4 3:44) — (3:44) 3-J.Feely 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-11-K.Clemens..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Carolina Panthers (Q1 53:59) — (8:59) (No Huddle) 17-J.Delhomme pass short left intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Revis at NYJ 33. 24-D.Revis for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -22.5% · EPA -8.68]
• New York Jets (Q2 32:39) — (2:39) NYJ #78 Hunter and #75 Turner reports as eligible. 23-S.Greene right guard to CAR 27 for 2 yards (90-J.Peppers, 92-D.Lewis). FUMBLES (90-J.Peppers), RECOVERED by CAR-52-J.Beason at CAR 26. 52-J [WPA -11.9% · EPA -4.30]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 55:20) — (10:20) (No Huddle) 17-J.Delhomme pass short right to 88-D.Rosario to NYJ 40 for 13 yards (30-D.Coleman). [WPA +9.5% · EPA +2.24]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 31:56) — (1:56) 17-J.Delhomme pass deep right intended for 87-M.Muhammad INTERCEPTED by 25-K.Rhodes [44-J.Ihedigbo] at CAR 49. 25-K.Rhodes to CAR 38 for 11 yards (87-M.Muhammad). [WPA -9.4% · EPA -3.08]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 42:47) — (12:47) 34-D.Williams right tackle to NYJ 27 for 5 yards (36-J.Leonhard). PENALTY on NYJ-95-H.Green, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 27. [WPA +9.1% · EPA +2.40]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Carolina Panthers (Q1 53:59) — (8:59) (No Huddle) 17-J.Delhomme pass short left intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Revis at NYJ 33. 24-D.Revis for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -22.5% · EPA -8.68]
• New York Jets (Q2 32:39) — (2:39) NYJ #78 Hunter and #75 Turner reports as eligible. 23-S.Greene right guard to CAR 27 for 2 yards (90-J.Peppers, 92-D.Lewis). FUMBLES (90-J.Peppers), RECOVERED by CAR-52-J.Beason at CAR 26. 52-J [WPA -11.9% · EPA -4.30]
• New York Jets (Q3 24:21) — (9:21) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short middle to 81-D.Keller to CAR 1 for 16 yards (43-C.Harris). FUMBLES (43-C.Harris), RECOVERED by CAR-31-R.Marshall at CAR 0. Touchback. [WPA -5.2% · EPA -3.96]
• New York Jets (Q4 14:18) — (14:18) 6-M.Sanchez pass short right intended for 17-B.Edwards INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Gamble at CAR 48. 20-C.Gamble to 50 for 2 yards (17-B.Edwards). [WPA -6.5% · EPA -3.65]

Quarterback report card

J.Delhomme led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Delhomme (Carolina Panthers) · 39 dropbacks · 35.9% completion · -17.3% CPOE · -0.59 EPA/play · -22.86 total EPA
• M.Sanchez (New York Jets) · 23 dropbacks · 56.5% completion · +11.8% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -1.35 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New York Jets held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.19 vs -0.32), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Carolina Panthers: 13 drives, -23.92 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 13 drives, -14.33 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Rosario (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Delhomme (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• M. Sanchez (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 53:59 · NYJ 39 · Score 0-6
   (8:59) (No Huddle) 17-J.Delhomme pass short left intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Revis at NYJ 33. 24-D.Revis for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 53:48 · CAR 2 · Score 0-7
   3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-11-K.Clemens.
3. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 40:16 · NYJ 22 · Score 3-7
   (10:16) 4-J.Kasay 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
4. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 30:33 · CAR 3 · Score 3-13
   (:33) 20-T.Jones left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.
5. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 30:28 · CAR 2 · Score 3-14
   3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-11-K.Clemens.
6. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 11:50 · NYJ 10 · Score 6-14
   (11:50) 4-J.Kasay 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
7. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 3:44 · CAR 30 · Score 6-17
   (3:44) 3-J.Feely 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-11-K.Clemens.