Game story
In Week 14 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-12-13, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 20–10 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 9 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with +0.25 total EPA, and -7.2% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, B. Watson (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.22 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-15.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (3:34) 4-J.Kasay 53 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| New England Patriots | 0 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 20 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 B. Watson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +5.22 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.74 EPA/play
- 2 W. Welker · New England Patriots · Receiving · +4.93 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
- 3 K. Faulk · New England Patriots · Rushing · +2.97 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
- 4 S. Smith · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.35 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
- 5 J. King · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.98 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
- 6 S. Smith · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +0.62 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
- 7 G. Barnidge · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.56 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
- 8 L. Maroney · New England Patriots · Receiving · +0.56 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
B. Watson — NE · Receiving
B. Watson posted the highest total EPA (+5.22) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New England Patriots's efficiency. Across 3 counted snaps, they averaged +1.74 EPA per play.
The signature play (+4.25 EPA) came from Carolina Panthers: (2:49) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Carolina Panthers — S. Smith (M. Moore pass)
- New England Patriots — K. Faulk
- New England Patriots — B. Watson (T. Brady pass)
Field goals
- Carolina Panthers — J. Kasay
- New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski
- New England Patriots — S. Gostkowski
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the NE 41 (Q1 47:49) — (2:49) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the NE 2 (Q1 47:43) — 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker..
The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q2 31:11) — (1:11) 33-K.Faulk right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 31:08) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson..
The third quarter: New England Patriots won the period 7–0. New England Patriots found the end zone from the CAR 5 (Q3 16:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-B.Watson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q3 16:06) — 3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson..
The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 6–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the NE 18 (Q4 12:19) — (12:19) 4-J.Kasay 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the CAR 30 (Q4 7:25) — (7:25) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the CAR 29 (Q4 4:01) — (4:01) 3-S.Gostkowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Carolina Panthers (Q2 33:34) — (3:34) 4-J.Kasay 53 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
- Carolina Panthers (Q1 47:49) — (2:49) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- New England Patriots (Q3 16:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-B.Watson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- New England Patriots (Q3 27:05) — (12:05) 34-S.Morris left end to CAR 15 for 10 yards (30-C.Godfrey). FUMBLES (30-C.Godfrey), RECOVERED by CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn at CAR 14. 41-C.Munnerlyn to CAR 14 for no gain (67-D.Koppen).
- New England Patriots (Q1 48:30) — (3:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 81-R.Moss INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Gamble at NE 48. 20-C.Gamble pushed ob at NE 48 for no gain (81-R.Moss).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Carolina Panthers (Q1 47:49) — (2:49) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- New England Patriots (Q3 27:05) — (12:05) 34-S.Morris left end to CAR 15 for 10 yards (30-C.Godfrey). FUMBLES (30-C.Godfrey), RECOVERED by CAR-41-C.Munnerlyn at CAR 14. 41-C.Munnerlyn to CAR 14 for no gain (67-D.Koppen).
- New England Patriots (Q1 48:30) — (3:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right intended for 81-R.Moss INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Gamble at NE 48. 20-C.Gamble pushed ob at NE 48 for no gain (81-R.Moss).
- New England Patriots (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 81-R.Moss to CAR 21 for 16 yards (43-C.Harris). FUMBLES (43-C.Harris), RECOVERED by CAR-55-D.Connor at CAR 21. 55-D.Connor to CAR 21 for no gain (81-R.Moss).
Quarterback report card
T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 35 dropbacks · 54.3% completion · -7.2% CPOE · +0.01 EPA/play · +0.25 total EPA
- M.Moore (Carolina Panthers) · 34 dropbacks · 44.1% completion · -11.6% CPOE · -0.25 EPA/play · -8.47 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Carolina Panthers | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.170 | -0.036 |
| Offensive success rate | 32.5% | 47.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.249 | +0.007 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.048 | -0.095 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.036 | +0.170 |
| Defensive success rate | 52.8% | 67.5% |
By the numbers
New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.04 vs -0.17), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, -13.06 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
- New England Patriots: 12 drives, -3.21 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- B. Watson (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- T. Brady (NE) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- M. Moore (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 47:49 · NE 41 · Score 6-0
(2:49) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 47:43 · NE 2 · Score 7-0
4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker. - New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 31:11 · CAR 3 · Score 7-6
(1:11) 33-K.Faulk right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 31:08 · CAR 2 · Score 7-7
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q3 16:10 · CAR 5 · Score 7-13
(1:10) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 84-B.Watson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q3 16:06 · CAR 2 · Score 7-14
3-S.Gostkowski extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 12:19 · NE 18 · Score 10-14
(12:19) 4-J.Kasay 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker. - New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 7:25 · CAR 30 · Score 10-17
(7:25) 3-S.Gostkowski 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson. - New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 4:01 · CAR 29 · Score 10-20
(4:01) 3-S.Gostkowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ingram, Holder-6-C.Hanson.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Carolina Panthers vs New England Patriots?
The New England Patriots beat the Carolina Panthers 20-10 in Week 14, 2009 on 2009-12-13.
What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs New England Patriots?
The final score was Carolina Panthers 10, New England Patriots 20 (CAR 10-20 NE) in Week 14, 2009 on 2009-12-13.
What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs New England Patriots?
Q1: Carolina Panthers 7, New England Patriots 0; Q2: Carolina Panthers 0, New England Patriots 7; Q3: Carolina Panthers 0, New England Patriots 7; Q4: Carolina Panthers 3, New England Patriots 6; Final: Carolina Panthers 10, New England Patriots 20.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs New England Patriots?
Carolina Panthers touchdown — S. Smith (M. Moore pass) (Q1 47:49) New England Patriots touchdown — K. Faulk (Q2 31:11) New England Patriots touchdown — B. Watson (T. Brady pass) (Q3 16:10) Carolina Panthers field goal — J. Kasay (Q4 12:19, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q4 7:25, 3 pts) New England Patriots field goal — S. Gostkowski (Q4 4:01, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs New England Patriots?
T. Brady (New England Patriots), 54.3% completion, -7.2% CPOE, +0.01 EPA per dropback, +0.25 total passing EPA. M. Moore (Carolina Panthers), 44.1% completion, -11.6% CPOE, -0.25 EPA per dropback, -8.47 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs New England Patriots?
B. Watson (New England Patriots) led the game in total EPA with +5.22 on receiving plays. across 3 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.25 EPA): (2:49) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -15.2%.
Season records after this game
Carolina Panthers
Entered 5-7 Now 5-8 L
New England Patriots
Entered 7-5 Now 8-5 W
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