Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers: 2014 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-10-19, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 38–17 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Newton (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -1.02 total EPA, and -8.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.53 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+12.6% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (12:01) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +15.53 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
2. 2 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +9.23 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play
3. 3 G. Olsen · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +7.04 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.88 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
5. 5 K. Benjamin · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.39 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
6. 6 E. Lacy · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +3.51 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Anderson · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +2.77 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.38 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.38 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 57:01)
• Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy (Q1 50:58)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Starks (Q1 47:14)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 34:07)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 25:28)
• Carolina Panthers — K. Benjamin (C. Newton pass) (Q4 9:43)
• Carolina Panthers — B. Bersin (D. Anderson pass) (Q4 1:28)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q2 30:05)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 15:13)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 21–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 59 (Q1 57:01) — (12:01) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 56:51) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 5 (Q1 50:58) — (5:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 50:53) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 13 (Q1 47:14) — (2:14) (No Huddle) 44-J.Starks left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 47:07) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–3. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q2 34:07) — (4:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 34:07) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the GB 15 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 9-G.Gano 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CAR 21 (Q3 25:28) — (10:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q3 25:20) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CAR 16 (Q3 15:13) — (:13) 2-M.Crosby 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the GB 13 (Q4 9:43) — (9:43) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 13-K.Benjamin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 9:39) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q4 1:28) — (1:28) (No Huddle) 3-D.Anderson pass short left to 11-B.Bersin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q4 1:24) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:01) — (12:01) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.6% · EPA +4.57]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 50:05) — (5:05) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 13 for -12 yards (53-N.Perry). [WPA -3.7% · EPA -2.45]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:45) — (12:45) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle intended for 87-J.Nelson INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Harper at CAR 45. 41-R.Harper pushed ob at GB 28 for 27 yards (87-J.Nelson). PENALTY on CAR-59-L.Kuechly, D [WPA +3.6% · EPA +0.79]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 55:14) — (10:14) 8-B.Nortman punts 42 yards to GB 30, Center-44-J.Jansen. 18-R.Cobb to GB 44 for 14 yards (21-T.DeCoud). [WPA -3.4% · EPA -0.93]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 59:11) — (14:11) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 20 for -10 yards (95-C.Johnson). [WPA -3.2% · EPA -1.72]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Carolina Panthers (Q3 17:31) — (2:31) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left intended for 11-B.Bersin INTERCEPTED by 29-C.Hayward at GB 30. 29-C.Hayward to CAR 49 for 21 yards (82-J.Cotchery). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -6.27]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 57:01) — (12:01) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.6% · EPA +4.57]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 27:26) — (12:26) 1-C.Newton up the middle to GB 42 for no gain (98-L.Guion; 56-J.Peppers). Carolina challenged the first down ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1 at 12: [WPA -1.2% · EPA -3.27]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 26:02) — (11:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb pushed ob at CAR 21 for 33 yards (58-T.Davis). [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.01]

Quarterback report card

C.Newton led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 41 dropbacks · 41.5% completion · -8.3% CPOE · -0.02 EPA/play · -1.02 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 29 dropbacks · 65.5% completion · +14.9% CPOE · +0.54 EPA/play · +15.53 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.21 vs -0.06), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, -5.24 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +15.99 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• C. Newton (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 57:01 · CAR 59 · Score 0-6
   (12:01) (No Huddle) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 56:51 · CAR 2 · Score 0-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 50:58 · CAR 5 · Score 0-13
   (5:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy right end for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 50:53 · CAR 2 · Score 0-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
5. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 47:14 · CAR 13 · Score 0-20
   (2:14) (No Huddle) 44-J.Starks left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 47:07 · CAR 2 · Score 0-21
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
7. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 34:07 · CAR 3 · Score 0-27
   (4:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 34:07 · CAR 2 · Score 0-28
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
9. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · GB 15 · Score 3-28
   (:05) 9-G.Gano 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 25:28 · CAR 21 · Score 3-34
    (10:28) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 25:20 · CAR 2 · Score 3-35
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 15:13 · CAR 16 · Score 3-38
    (:13) 2-M.Crosby 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
13. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 9:43 · GB 13 · Score 9-38
    (9:43) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 13-K.Benjamin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 9:39 · GB 2 · Score 10-38
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
15. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 1:28 · GB 1 · Score 16-38
    (1:28) (No Huddle) 3-D.Anderson pass short left to 11-B.Bersin for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 1:24 · GB 2 · Score 17-38
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.