Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears: 2023 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-11-09, the Chicago Bears took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 16–13 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Young (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -3.40 total EPA, and -8.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Scott (Chicago Bears) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +3.14 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-22.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (1:40) 4-E.Pineiro 59 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Scott · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.14 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.14 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Tremble · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.73 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.91 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Sanders · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.24 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
4. 4 M. Strachan · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.98 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Scott · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +0.90 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Kmet · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +0.72 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Kmet · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +0.66 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Blackshear · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.29 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Carolina Panthers — I. Smith-Marsette (Q1 51:05)
• Chicago Bears — D. Foreman (Q3 21:38)

Field goals

• Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q1 47:34)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q2 43:36)
• Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q2 33:10)
• Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q2 30:03)
• Carolina Panthers — E. Pineiro (Q4 11:10)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–3. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the CAR 78 (Q1 51:05) — (6:05) 16-T.Gill punts 57 yards to CAR 21, Center-48-P.Scales. 11-I.Smith-Marsette for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q1 50:46) — 4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the CAR 36 (Q1 47:34) — (2:34) 8-C.Santos 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill..

The second quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 6–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the CHI 15 (Q2 43:36) — (13:36) 4-E.Pineiro 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the CAR 18 (Q2 33:10) — (3:10) 8-C.Santos 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the CAR 21 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 8-C.Santos 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill..

The third quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–0. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the CAR 4 (Q3 21:38) — (6:38) (Shotgun) 21-D.Foreman right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 21:33) — 8-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 3–0. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the CHI 20 (Q4 11:10) — (11:10) 4-E.Pineiro 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Carolina Panthers (Q4 1:40) — (1:40) 4-E.Pineiro 59 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker. [WPA -22.7% · EPA -2.38]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short left to 6-M.Sanders ran ob at CHI 41 for 13 yards (53-T.Edwards). [WPA +18.9% · EPA +2.62]
• Chicago Bears (Q1 51:05) — (6:05) 16-T.Gill punts 57 yards to CAR 21, Center-48-P.Scales. 11-I.Smith-Marsette for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.4% · EPA -5.41]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 13:06) — (13:06) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 82-T.Tremble to CHI 25 for 11 yards (6-K.Gordon). Penalty on CHI-33-J.Johnson, Defensive Holding, declined. Penalty on CHI-29-T.Stevenson, Defensive Ho [WPA +13.9% · EPA +3.41]
• Chicago Bears (Q2 35:18) — (5:18) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass short middle to 13-T.Scott to CAR 21 for 15 yards (32-D.Bootle). [WPA +11.1% · EPA +3.14]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Chicago Bears (Q1 51:05) — (6:05) 16-T.Gill punts 57 yards to CAR 21, Center-48-P.Scales. 11-I.Smith-Marsette for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.4% · EPA -5.41]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 13:06) — (13:06) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass short middle to 82-T.Tremble to CHI 25 for 11 yards (6-K.Gordon). Penalty on CHI-33-J.Johnson, Defensive Holding, declined. Penalty on CHI-29-T.Stevenson, Defensive Ho [WPA +13.9% · EPA +3.41]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 46:48) — (1:48) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep left to 86-M.Strachan pushed ob at CHI 26 for 45 yards (9-J.Brisker). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +3.34]
• Chicago Bears (Q2 35:18) — (5:18) (Shotgun) 17-T.Bagent pass short middle to 13-T.Scott to CAR 21 for 15 yards (32-D.Bootle). [WPA +11.1% · EPA +3.14]

Quarterback report card

B.Young led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Young (Carolina Panthers) · 47 dropbacks · 44.7% completion · -8.0% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -3.40 total EPA
• T.Bagent (Chicago Bears) · 39 dropbacks · 51.3% completion · -4.0% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -4.03 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Carolina Panthers -0.14, Chicago Bears -0.12) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Carolina Panthers: 10 drives, -11.23 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• Chicago Bears: 11 drives, -10.16 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Chicago Bears leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• T. Scott (Chicago Bears) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• B. Young (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• T. Bagent (CHI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 51:05 · CAR 78 · Score 6-0
   (6:05) 16-T.Gill punts 57 yards to CAR 21, Center-48-P.Scales. 11-I.Smith-Marsette for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 50:46 · CHI 15 · Score 7-0
   4-E.Pineiro extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
3. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q1 47:34 · CAR 36 · Score 7-3
   (2:34) 8-C.Santos 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
4. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 43:36 · CHI 15 · Score 10-3
   (13:36) 4-E.Pineiro 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.
5. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 33:10 · CAR 18 · Score 10-6
   (3:10) 8-C.Santos 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
6. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · CAR 21 · Score 10-9
   (:03) 8-C.Santos 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
7. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 21:38 · CAR 4 · Score 10-15
   (6:38) (Shotgun) 21-D.Foreman right tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 21:33 · CAR 15 · Score 10-16
   8-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-T.Gill.
9. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 11:10 · CHI 20 · Score 13-16
   (11:10) 4-E.Pineiro 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-10-J.Hekker.