Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2019 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-12-08, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 40–20 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Allen (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -6.98 total EPA, and +1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.70 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-19.2% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (13:50) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen sacked at CAR 48 for -9 yards (44-V.Beasley). FUMBLES (44-V.Beasley) [44-V.Beasley], RECOVERED by ATL-96-T.Davison at CAR 46. 96-T.Davison to CAR 46 for no gain (65-D.Daley

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +7.70 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
2. 2 O. Zaccheaus · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +7.19 total EPA · 2 snaps · +3.59 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Ridley · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +7.05 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.41 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Moore · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +4.89 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Hill · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +4.37 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
6. 6 C. McCaffrey · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +3.92 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
7. 7 C. McCaffrey · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +2.95 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.51 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Atlanta Falcons — C. Ridley (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 35:22)
• Carolina Panthers — I. Thomas (K. Allen pass) (Q2 31:10)
• Atlanta Falcons — D. Freeman (Q3 26:16)
• Atlanta Falcons — O. Zaccheaus (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 21:45)
• Atlanta Falcons — B. Hill (Q4 5:12)
• Carolina Panthers — K. Allen (Q4 1:31)

Field goals

• Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q1 47:51)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Slye (Q2 44:56)
• Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q2 30:02)
• Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q3 19:59)
• Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q4 11:44)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Slye (Q4 7:59)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 3–0. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 19 (Q1 47:51) — (2:51) 7-Y.Koo 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 28 (Q2 44:56) — (14:56) 4-J.Slye 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 15 (Q2 35:22) — (5:22) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 18-C.Ridley for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q2 35:15) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short left to 80-I.Thomas for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 31:05) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 17 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 7-Y.Koo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen..

The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 17–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 13 (Q3 26:16) — (11:16) 24-D.Freeman right guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 26:08) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 93 (Q3 21:45) — (6:45) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 17-O.Zaccheaus for 93 yards, TOUCHDOWN [33-T.Boston].; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 21:30) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 11 (Q3 19:59) — (4:59) 7-Y.Koo 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 32 (Q4 11:44) — (11:44) 7-Y.Koo 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen. Kick hit the right upright and went through.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 24 (Q4 7:59) — (7:59) 4-J.Slye 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q4 5:12) — (5:12) 23-B.Hill right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 5:08) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q4 1:31) — (1:31) (No Huddle) 7-K.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q4 1:26) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Carolina Panthers (Q3 28:50) — (13:50) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen sacked at CAR 48 for -9 yards (44-V.Beasley). FUMBLES (44-V.Beasley) [44-V.Beasley], RECOVERED by ATL-96-T.Davison at CAR 46. 96-T.Davison to CAR 46 for no gain (65-D.Daley [WPA -19.2% · EPA -6.27]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 33:42) — (3:42) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass deep right intended for 80-I.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 27-D.Kazee (59-D.Campbell) at ATL 19. 27-D.Kazee to ATL 49 for 30 yards (22-C.McCaffrey). The Replay Official reviewe [WPA -12.1% · EPA -3.48]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q3 21:45) — (6:45) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 17-O.Zaccheaus for 93 yards, TOUCHDOWN [33-T.Boston]. [WPA +11.8% · EPA +8.05]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 35:22) — (5:22) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 18-C.Ridley for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.10]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:45) — (6:45) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 11-J.Jones to CAR 18 for 38 yards (24-J.Bradberry). [WPA +8.0% · EPA +2.33]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Atlanta Falcons (Q3 21:45) — (6:45) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 17-O.Zaccheaus for 93 yards, TOUCHDOWN [33-T.Boston]. [WPA +11.8% · EPA +8.05]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 28:50) — (13:50) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen sacked at CAR 48 for -9 yards (44-V.Beasley). FUMBLES (44-V.Beasley) [44-V.Beasley], RECOVERED by ATL-96-T.Davison at CAR 46. 96-T.Davison to CAR 46 for no gain (65-D.Daley [WPA -19.2% · EPA -6.27]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 21:30) — 7-Y.Koo kicks 69 yards from ATL 35 to CAR -4. 14-G.Dortch to CAR 17 for 21 yards (27-D.Kazee). FUMBLES (27-D.Kazee), RECOVERED by ATL-7-Y.Koo at CAR 19. 7-Y.Koo to CAR 16 for 3 yards (32-C.Luke). [WPA -2.9% · EPA -6.23]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 33:42) — (3:42) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass deep right intended for 80-I.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 27-D.Kazee (59-D.Campbell) at ATL 19. 27-D.Kazee to ATL 49 for 30 yards (22-C.McCaffrey). The Replay Official reviewe [WPA -12.1% · EPA -3.48]

Quarterback report card

K.Allen led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• K.Allen (Carolina Panthers) · 53 dropbacks · 52.8% completion · +1.6% CPOE · -0.13 EPA/play · -6.98 total EPA
• M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 37 dropbacks · 54.1% completion · -0.3% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +7.70 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Atlanta Falcons held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.14 vs -0.10), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Atlanta Falcons: 13 drives, +12.94 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, -9.23 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q1 47:51 · CAR 19 · Score 0-3
   (2:51) 7-Y.Koo 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.
2. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 44:56 · ATL 28 · Score 3-3
   (14:56) 4-J.Slye 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 35:22 · CAR 15 · Score 3-9
   (5:22) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 18-C.Ridley for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 35:15 · CAR 15 · Score 3-10
   7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.
5. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 31:10 · ATL 1 · Score 9-10
   (1:10) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short left to 80-I.Thomas for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 31:05 · ATL 15 · Score 10-10
   4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
7. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · CAR 17 · Score 10-13
   (:02) 7-Y.Koo 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.
8. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 26:16 · CAR 13 · Score 10-19
   (11:16) 24-D.Freeman right guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 26:08 · CAR 15 · Score 10-20
   7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.
10. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 21:45 · CAR 93 · Score 10-26
    (6:45) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 17-O.Zaccheaus for 93 yards, TOUCHDOWN [33-T.Boston].
11. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 21:30 · CAR 15 · Score 10-27
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.
12. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 19:59 · CAR 11 · Score 10-30
    (4:59) 7-Y.Koo 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.
13. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 11:44 · CAR 32 · Score 10-33
    (11:44) 7-Y.Koo 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen. Kick hit the right upright and went through.
14. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 7:59 · ATL 24 · Score 13-33
    (7:59) 4-J.Slye 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
15. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 5:12 · CAR 3 · Score 13-39
    (5:12) 23-B.Hill right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 5:08 · CAR 15 · Score 13-40
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-R.Allen.
17. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 1:31 · ATL 1 · Score 19-40
    (1:31) (No Huddle) 7-K.Allen left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 1:26 · ATL 15 · Score 20-40
    4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.