FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 28, 2014 · 10 min read

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2014 Week 17 Recap

Panthers defeat Falcons 34–3 in Week 17

Justin Jones led Fantasy Impact as Panthers prevailed in a 34–3 Week 17 finish.

Carolina Panthers 34 7–8 Winner
Final 34–3
Atlanta Falcons 3 6–10
Winner
Carolina Panthers
Final score
34–3
Halftime
Carolina Panthers 24–3 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Justin Jones
Game date
December 28, 2014

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • C.Newton 10/20 · 134 YDS · 1 TD +3.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Charles Brown
    Charles Brown 2 CAR · 41 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • E.Dickson 1 REC · 5 YDS · 1 TD +1.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 4 REC · 58 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Hester 4 REC · 32 YDS +0.8 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Freeman 2 REC · 3 YDS -0.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Carolina Panthers defeated the Atlanta Falcons 34–3 in Week 17 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-28, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-13.7% win probability) came in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-28, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 34–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -28.92 total EPA, and -7.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Jones (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +3.75 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.7% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (4:32) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Harper [95-C.Johnson] at ATL 31. 41-R.Harper for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3T
Carolina Panthers1014100034
Atlanta Falcons030003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.75 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
  2. 2 C. Newton · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +3.66 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. Brown · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +3.50 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Brown · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +2.16 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.16 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Newton · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +1.82 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
  6. 6 E. Dickson · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.58 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.58 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Stewart · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.27 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Cotchery · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.13 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Jones — ATL · Receiving

J. Jones posted the highest total EPA (+3.75) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 8 counted snaps, they averaged +0.47 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.66 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 33-T.Boston at CAR 16. 33-T.Boston for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CAR-24-J.Norman, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Carolina Panthers — E. Dickson (C. Newton pass) (Q1 45:10)
  • Carolina Panthers — R. Harper (Q2 34:32)
  • Carolina Panthers — C. Newton (Q2 31:54)
  • Carolina Panthers — T. Boston (Q3 15:23)

Field goals

  • Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q1 52:55)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 40:41)
  • Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q3 23:49)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 10–0. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 3 (Q1 52:55) — (7:55) 9-G.Gano 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 5 (Q1 45:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 84-E.Dickson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 45:04) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman. CAR-77-B.Bell was injured during the play. His return is Probable..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 3 (Q2 40:41) — (10:41) 3-M.Bryant 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the CAR 91 (Q2 34:32); Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 34:18) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 4 (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 31:47) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The third quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 10–0. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 30 (Q3 23:49) — (8:49) 9-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the CAR 36 (Q3 15:23); Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 15:07) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 34:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Harper [95-C.Johnson] at ATL 31. 41-R.Harper for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -13.7% · EPA -6.31]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 32:07) — (2:07) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 84-R.White to ATL 42 for 20 yards (57-A.Glanton). FUMBLES (57-A.Glanton), RECOVERED by CAR-58-T.Davis at ATL 42. 58-T.Davis to ATL 9 for 33 yards (80-L.Toilolo). P [WPA -9.0% · EPA -6.92]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 37:29) — (7:29) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 16-C.Brown pushed ob at CAR 46 for 28 yards (36-K.Ishmael). [WPA +7.9% · EPA +2.16]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 47:56) — (2:56) (Shotgun) 16-C.Brown left end pushed ob at ATL 34 for 28 yards (20-D.Lowery). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +2.40]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 57:36) — (12:36) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton scrambles right end to ATL 34 for 13 yards (36-K.Ishmael). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +1.68]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 15:23) — (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 33-T.Boston at CAR 16. 33-T.Boston for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CAR-24-J.Norman, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yar [WPA -0.3% · EPA -8.66]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 32:07) — (2:07) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 84-R.White to ATL 42 for 20 yards (57-A.Glanton). FUMBLES (57-A.Glanton), RECOVERED by CAR-58-T.Davis at ATL 42. 58-T.Davis to ATL 9 for 33 yards (80-L.Toilolo). P [WPA -9.0% · EPA -6.92]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 34:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Harper [95-C.Johnson] at ATL 31. 41-R.Harper for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -13.7% · EPA -6.31]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 11:05) — (11:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at CAR 28 for -5 yards (98-S.Lotulelei). [WPA +0.0% · EPA -3.67]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 56 dropbacks · 51.8% completion · -7.3% CPOE · -0.52 EPA/play · -28.92 total EPA
  • C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 20 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -0.2% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +3.66 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCarolina PanthersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play+0.083-0.367
Offensive success rate48.5%32.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.183-0.516
Rush EPA/play+0.059-0.398
Defensive EPA/play+0.367-0.083
Defensive success rate67.4%51.5%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Carolina Panthers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs -0.37), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 11 drives, -32.70 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Carolina Panthers: 11 drives, +5.46 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Jones (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q1 52:55 · ATL 3 · Score 3-0
    (7:55) 9-G.Gano 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  2. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 45:10 · ATL 5 · Score 9-0
    (:10) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 84-E.Dickson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q1 45:04 · ATL 2 · Score 10-0
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman. CAR-77-B.Bell was injured during the play. His return is Probable.
  4. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 40:41 · CAR 3 · Score 10-3
    (10:41) 3-M.Bryant 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  5. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 34:32 · CAR 91 · Score 16-3
    (4:32) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right intended for 84-R.White INTERCEPTED by 41-R.Harper [95-C.Johnson] at ATL 31. 41-R.Harper for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 34:18 · ATL 2 · Score 17-3
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  7. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 31:54 · ATL 4 · Score 23-3
    (1:54) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 31:47 · ATL 2 · Score 24-3
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  9. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q3 23:49 · ATL 30 · Score 27-3
    (8:49) 9-G.Gano 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  10. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 15:23 · CAR 36 · Score 33-3
    (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 33-T.Boston at CAR 16. 33-T.Boston for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CAR-24-J
  11. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 15:07 · ATL 2 · Score 34-3
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Carolina Panthers beat the Atlanta Falcons 34-3 in Week 17, 2014 on 2014-12-28.

What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Carolina Panthers 34, Atlanta Falcons 3 (CAR 34-3 ATL) in Week 17, 2014 on 2014-12-28.

What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Carolina Panthers 10, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q2: Carolina Panthers 14, Atlanta Falcons 3; Q3: Carolina Panthers 10, Atlanta Falcons 0; Final: Carolina Panthers 34, Atlanta Falcons 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Carolina Panthers touchdown — E. Dickson (C. Newton pass) (Q1 45:10) Carolina Panthers touchdown — R. Harper (Q2 34:32) Carolina Panthers touchdown — C. Newton (Q2 31:54) Carolina Panthers touchdown — T. Boston (Q3 15:23) Carolina Panthers field goal — G. Gano (Q1 52:55, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 40:41, 3 pts) Carolina Panthers field goal — G. Gano (Q3 23:49, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 51.8% completion, -7.3% CPOE, -0.52 EPA per dropback, -28.92 total passing EPA. C. Newton (Carolina Panthers), 50.0% completion, -0.2% CPOE, +0.18 EPA per dropback, +3.66 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

J. Jones (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +3.75 on receiving plays. across 8 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.66 EPA): (:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 33-T.Boston at CAR 16. 33-T.Boston for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CAR-24-J.Norman, Unsportsman. The biggest win-probability swing was -13.7%.

Season records after this game

Carolina Panthers

Entered 6-8 Now 7-8 W

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 6-9 Now 6-10 L