FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 29, 2013 · 11 min read

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2013 Week 17 Recap

Panthers defeat Falcons 21–20 in Week 17

T.Gonzalez led Fantasy Impact as Panthers prevailed in a 21–20 Week 17 finish.

Carolina Panthers 21 12–4 Winner
Final 21–20
Atlanta Falcons 20 4–12
Winner
Carolina Panthers
Final score
21–20
Halftime
Carolina Panthers 14–10 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
T.Gonzalez
Game date
December 29, 2013

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • G.Olsen 6 REC · 42 YDS · 1 TD +3.4 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Newton 15/35 · 196 YDS · 2 TD +2.4 Fantasy Impact
  • De.Williams 2 REC · 75 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • T.Gonzalez 4 REC · 56 YDS +4.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Ricky White III
    Ricky White III 8 REC · 91 YDS · 1 TD +3.1 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Snelling 2 REC · 15 YDS · 1 TD +3.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Carolina Panthers defeated the Atlanta Falcons 21–20 in Week 17 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-12-29, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-21.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-12-29, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 21–20 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -3.81 total EPA, and +3.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Gonzalez (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.28 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (:31) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan Aborted. 61-J.Hawley FUMBLES at ATL 27, recovered by ATL-44-J.Snelling at ATL 27. 44-J.Snelling to ATL 27 for no gain (23-M.White).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Carolina Panthers01470021
Atlanta Falcons7373020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.28 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
  2. 2 G. Olsen · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +3.37 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
  3. 3 R. White · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.13 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Snelling · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.11 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.55 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Newton · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +2.37 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  6. 6 S. Jackson · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.05 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
  7. 7 De. Williams · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.18 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Snelling · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +1.08 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Gonzalez — ATL · Receiving

T. Gonzalez posted the highest total EPA (+4.28) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 4 counted snaps, they averaged +1.07 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.89 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (8:02) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 23-M.White at ATL 8. 23-M.White for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Snelling (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 53:49)
  • Carolina Panthers — M. White (Q2 38:02)
  • Carolina Panthers — T. Ginn (C. Newton pass) (Q2 30:24)
  • Atlanta Falcons — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 24:58)
  • Carolina Panthers — G. Olsen (C. Newton pass) (Q3 19:30)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 40:05)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 7:14)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 9 (Q1 53:49) — (8:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 44-J.Snelling for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 53:43) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 24 (Q2 40:05) — (10:05) 3-M.Bryant 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the CAR 98 (Q2 38:02) — (8:02) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 23-M.White at ATL 8. 23-M.White for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 37:57) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 3 (Q2 30:24) — (:24) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 19-T.Ginn for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 30:19) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 39 (Q3 24:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 84-R.White for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN [76-G.Hardy].; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q3 24:50) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 7 (Q3 19:30) — (4:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q3 19:20) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 3–0. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 19 (Q4 7:14) — (7:14) 3-M.Bryant 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 0:31) — (:31) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan Aborted. 61-J.Hawley FUMBLES at ATL 27, recovered by ATL-44-J.Snelling at ATL 27. 44-J.Snelling to ATL 27 for no gain (23-M.White). [WPA -21.6% · EPA -0.73]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 0:05) — (:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete deep left to 84-R.White. [WPA -21.0% · EPA -0.00]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 24:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 84-R.White for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN [76-G.Hardy]. [WPA +20.8% · EPA +4.75]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) 5-M.Bosher punts 55 yards to CAR 33, Center-47-J.Harris. 19-T.Ginn to CAR 48 for 15 yards (52-A.Dent). [WPA -16.8% · EPA -0.50]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 1:28) — (1:28) 8-B.Nortman punts 37 yards to ATL 12, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 27-R.McClain. [WPA -16.3% · EPA -0.33]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 38:02) — (8:02) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 23-M.White at ATL 8. 23-M.White for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.3% · EPA -5.89]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 24:58) — (9:58) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 84-R.White for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN [76-G.Hardy]. [WPA +20.8% · EPA +4.75]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 43:17) — (13:17) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left intended for 87-D.Hixon INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Moore at ATL 42. 25-W.Moore to ATL 45 for 3 yards (87-D.Hixon). The Replay Assistant challenged the incomplete p [WPA -5.9% · EPA -3.00]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 53:49) — (8:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 44-J.Snelling for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.0% · EPA +2.98]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 51 dropbacks · 54.9% completion · +3.6% CPOE · -0.07 EPA/play · -3.81 total EPA
  • C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 35 dropbacks · 42.9% completion · -5.7% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +2.37 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCarolina PanthersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play-0.022-0.040
Offensive success rate39.7%42.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.068-0.075
Rush EPA/play-0.154-0.053
Defensive EPA/play+0.040+0.022
Defensive success rate58.0%60.3%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Carolina Panthers -0.02, Atlanta Falcons -0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 12 drives, -3.51 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Carolina Panthers: 11 drives, -1.58 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • T. Gonzalez (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • C. Newton (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 53:49 · CAR 9 · Score 0-6
    (8:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 44-J.Snelling for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 53:43 · CAR 2 · Score 0-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  3. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 40:05 · CAR 24 · Score 0-10
    (10:05) 3-M.Bryant 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  4. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 38:02 · CAR 98 · Score 6-10
    (8:02) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 23-M.White at ATL 8. 23-M.White for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 37:57 · ATL 2 · Score 7-10
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  6. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 30:24 · ATL 3 · Score 13-10
    (:24) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 19-T.Ginn for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 30:19 · ATL 2 · Score 14-10
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  8. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 24:58 · CAR 39 · Score 14-16
    (9:58) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 84-R.White for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN [76-G.Hardy].
  9. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 24:50 · CAR 2 · Score 14-17
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  10. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 19:30 · ATL 7 · Score 20-17
    (4:30) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 19:20 · ATL 2 · Score 21-17
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
  12. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 7:14 · CAR 19 · Score 21-20
    (7:14) 3-M.Bryant 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Carolina Panthers beat the Atlanta Falcons 21-20 in Week 17, 2013 on 2013-12-29.

What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Carolina Panthers 21, Atlanta Falcons 20 (CAR 21-20 ATL) in Week 17, 2013 on 2013-12-29.

What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Carolina Panthers 0, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q2: Carolina Panthers 14, Atlanta Falcons 3; Q3: Carolina Panthers 7, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q4: Carolina Panthers 0, Atlanta Falcons 3; Final: Carolina Panthers 21, Atlanta Falcons 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Snelling (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 53:49) Carolina Panthers touchdown — M. White (Q2 38:02) Carolina Panthers touchdown — T. Ginn (C. Newton pass) (Q2 30:24) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 24:58) Carolina Panthers touchdown — G. Olsen (C. Newton pass) (Q3 19:30) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 40:05, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 7:14, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 54.9% completion, +3.6% CPOE, -0.07 EPA per dropback, -3.81 total passing EPA. C. Newton (Carolina Panthers), 42.9% completion, -5.7% CPOE, +0.07 EPA per dropback, +2.37 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

T. Gonzalez (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +4.28 on receiving plays. across 4 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.89 EPA): (8:02) 2-M.Ryan pass short left intended for 83-H.Douglas INTERCEPTED by 23-M.White at ATL 8. 23-M.White for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -21.6%.

Was Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Carolina Panthers won 21-20 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Carolina Panthers

Entered 11-4 Now 12-4 W

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 4-11 Now 4-12 L