FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 2, 2011 · 11 min read

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2010 Week 17 Recap

Falcons defeat Panthers 31–10 in Week 17

Matt Ryan led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 10–31 Week 17 finish.

Carolina Panthers 10 2–14
Final 10–31
Atlanta Falcons 31 13–3 Winner
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
10–31
Halftime
Carolina Panthers 0–21 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Matt Ryan
Game date
January 2, 2011

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • B.LaFell 1 CAR · 60 YDS +4.3 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Clowney 2 REC · 56 YDS +3.3 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Gettis 1 CAR · 19 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 22/38 · 240 YDS · 2 TD +14.5 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Jenkins 5 REC · 52 YDS +3.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Ricky White III
    Ricky White III 6 REC · 62 YDS · 1 TD +3.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the Carolina Panthers 31–10 in Week 17 of the 2010 NFL season on 2011-01-02, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-10.3% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2010 NFL season on 2011-01-02, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 31–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +14.51 total EPA, and +5.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.51 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-10.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (5:31) (Shotgun) 33-M.Turner left end to CAR 14 for -1 yards (50-J.Anderson). FUMBLES (50-J.Anderson), RECOVERED by CAR-27-C.Wilson at CAR 3. 27-C.Wilson to CAR 3 for no gain (12-M.Jenkins).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Carolina Panthers0037010
Atlanta Falcons147100031

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +14.51 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  2. 2 B. LaFell · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +4.26 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.26 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Clowney · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +3.34 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Jenkins · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.22 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. White · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.95 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.89 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  7. 7 B. LaFell · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.64 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  8. 8 H. Douglas · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.49 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Ryan — ATL · Passing

M. Ryan posted the highest total EPA (+14.51) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.38 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.36 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (5:31) (Shotgun) 33-M.Turner left end to CAR 14 for -1 yards (50-J.Anderson). FUMBLES (50-J.Anderson), RECOVERED by CAR-27-C.Wilson at CAR 3. 27-C.Wilson to CAR 3 for no gain (12-M.Jenkins).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 55:11)
  • Atlanta Falcons — E. Weems (Q1 49:40)
  • Atlanta Falcons — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 30:56)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Turner (Q3 17:03)
  • Carolina Panthers — J. King (J. Clausen pass) (Q4 0:27)

Field goals

  • Carolina Panthers — J. Kasay (Q3 27:34)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q3 24:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 14–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 6 (Q1 55:11) — (10:11) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 88-T.Gonzalez for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 55:04) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ATL 94 (Q1 49:40) — (4:40) 7-J.Baker punts 49 yards to ATL 45, Center-44-J.Jansen. 14-E.Weems for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 49:24) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 14 (Q2 30:56); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 30:51) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 5 (Q3 27:34) — (12:34) 4-J.Kasay 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 29 (Q3 24:50) — (9:50) 3-M.Bryant 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q3 17:03) — (2:03) 33-M.Turner up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q3 17:00) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 2 (Q4 0:27) — (:27) 2-J.Clausen pass short left to 47-J.King for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q4 0:23) — 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 50:31) — (5:31) (Shotgun) 33-M.Turner left end to CAR 14 for -1 yards (50-J.Anderson). FUMBLES (50-J.Anderson), RECOVERED by CAR-27-C.Wilson at CAR 3. 27-C.Wilson to CAR 3 for no gain (12-M.Jenkins). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -4.36]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 49:40) — (4:40) 7-J.Baker punts 49 yards to ATL 45, Center-44-J.Jansen. 14-E.Weems for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -7.2% · EPA -4.13]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 41:55) — (11:55) 33-M.Goodson left end to ATL 31 for 15 yards (28-T.DeCoud). FUMBLES (28-T.DeCoud), RECOVERED by ATL-53-M.Peterson at ATL 25. 53-M.Peterson to ATL 25 for no gain (33-M.Goodson). [WPA -6.4% · EPA -3.59]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 52:13) — (7:13) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 12-M.Jenkins pushed ob at CAR 34 for 16 yards (23-S.Martin). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +2.20]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 56:49) — (11:49) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 44-J.Snelling to CAR 19 for 15 yards (31-R.Marshall). [WPA +5.0% · EPA +1.67]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 50:31) — (5:31) (Shotgun) 33-M.Turner left end to CAR 14 for -1 yards (50-J.Anderson). FUMBLES (50-J.Anderson), RECOVERED by CAR-27-C.Wilson at CAR 3. 27-C.Wilson to CAR 3 for no gain (12-M.Jenkins). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -4.36]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 29:20) — (14:20) 11-B.LaFell left end to ATL 13 for 60 yards (20-B.Grimes). [WPA +2.9% · EPA +4.26]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 49:40) — (4:40) 7-J.Baker punts 49 yards to ATL 45, Center-44-J.Jansen. 14-E.Weems for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -7.2% · EPA -4.13]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 38:21) — (8:21) 2-M.Ryan right guard to CAR 26 for no gain (52-J.Beason). [WPA -3.9% · EPA -3.80]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 38 dropbacks · 57.9% completion · +5.9% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +14.51 total EPA
  • J.Clausen (Carolina Panthers) · 37 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · -3.8% CPOE · -0.21 EPA/play · -7.94 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCarolina PanthersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play-0.259+0.018
Offensive success rate37.3%46.2%
Pass EPA/play-0.266+0.272
Rush EPA/play-0.197-0.378
Defensive EPA/play-0.018+0.259
Defensive success rate53.8%62.7%

By the numbers

Atlanta Falcons held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.26), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 13 drives, +1.64 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Carolina Panthers: 13 drives, -19.40 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. Clausen (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 55:11 · CAR 6 · Score 0-6
    (10:11) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 88-T.Gonzalez for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 55:04 · CAR 2 · Score 0-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 49:40 · ATL 94 · Score 0-13
    (4:40) 7-J.Baker punts 49 yards to ATL 45, Center-44-J.Jansen. 14-E.Weems for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 49:24 · CAR 2 · Score 0-14
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  5. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 30:56 · CAR 14 · Score 0-20
    (:56) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 84-R.White for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. CAR-30-C.Godfrey was injured during the play. His return is Probable. The Repla
  6. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 30:51 · CAR 2 · Score 0-21
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  7. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q3 27:34 · ATL 5 · Score 3-21
    (12:34) 4-J.Kasay 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.
  8. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 24:50 · CAR 29 · Score 3-24
    (9:50) 3-M.Bryant 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  9. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 17:03 · CAR 3 · Score 3-30
    (2:03) 33-M.Turner up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 17:00 · CAR 2 · Score 3-31
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  11. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 0:27 · ATL 2 · Score 9-31
    (:27) 2-J.Clausen pass short left to 47-J.King for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 0:23 · ATL 2 · Score 10-31
    4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-7-J.Baker.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Carolina Panthers 31-10 in Week 17, 2010 on 2011-01-02.

What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Carolina Panthers 10, Atlanta Falcons 31 (CAR 10-31 ATL) in Week 17, 2010 on 2011-01-02.

What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Carolina Panthers 0, Atlanta Falcons 14; Q2: Carolina Panthers 0, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q3: Carolina Panthers 3, Atlanta Falcons 10; Q4: Carolina Panthers 7, Atlanta Falcons 0; Final: Carolina Panthers 10, Atlanta Falcons 31.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 55:11) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — E. Weems (Q1 49:40) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — R. White (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 30:56) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Turner (Q3 17:03) Carolina Panthers touchdown — J. King (J. Clausen pass) (Q4 0:27) Carolina Panthers field goal — J. Kasay (Q3 27:34, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q3 24:50, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 57.9% completion, +5.9% CPOE, +0.38 EPA per dropback, +14.51 total passing EPA. J. Clausen (Carolina Panthers), 51.4% completion, -3.8% CPOE, -0.21 EPA per dropback, -7.94 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +14.51 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.36 EPA): (5:31) (Shotgun) 33-M.Turner left end to CAR 14 for -1 yards (50-J.Anderson). FUMBLES (50-J.Anderson), RECOVERED by CAR-27-C.Wilson at CAR 3. 27-C.Wilson to CAR 3 for no gain (12-M. The biggest win-probability swing was -10.3%.

Season records after this game

Carolina Panthers

Entered 2-13 Now 2-14 L

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 12-3 Now 13-3 W