Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans: 2021 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-10-18, the Tennessee Titans took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 34–31 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 34 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with +17.65 total EPA, and +13.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +17.65 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-38.4% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (:22) 17-J.Allen up the middle to TEN 3 for no gain (98-J.Simmons).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +17.65 total EPA · 56 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
2. 2 S. Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +9.73 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Beasley · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +8.36 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Brown · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +7.07 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Tannehill · Tennessee Titans · Passing · +5.98 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Henry · Tennessee Titans · Rushing · +4.13 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
7. 7 E. Sanders · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.82 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
8. 8 N. Westbrook-Ikhine · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +2.79 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Tennessee Titans — D. Henry (Q2 41:31)
• Buffalo Bills — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q2 37:57)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Tannehill (Q2 34:28)
• Buffalo Bills — C. Beasley (J. Allen pass) (Q2 30:47)
• Tennessee Titans — D. Henry (Q3 19:28)
• Buffalo Bills — T. Sweeney (J. Allen pass) (Q3 15:31)
• Tennessee Titans — D. Henry (Q4 3:10)

Field goals

• Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q1 51:11)
• Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q2 41:40)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Bullock (Q2 35:09)
• Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q3 25:54)
• Tennessee Titans — R. Bullock (Q4 9:49)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the TEN 5 (Q1 51:11) — (6:11) 2-T.Bass 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 17–17. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the TEN 10 (Q2 41:40) — (11:40) 2-T.Bass 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the BUF 76 (Q2 41:31) — (11:31) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 41:20) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the TEN 14 (Q2 37:57) — (7:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 14-S.Diggs for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q2 37:54) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the BUF 25 (Q2 35:09) — (5:09) 14-R.Bullock 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the BUF 4 (Q2 34:28) — (4:28) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 34:23) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the TEN 29 (Q2 30:47) — (:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 11-C.Beasley for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q2 30:40) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 11–7. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the TEN 34 (Q3 25:54) — (10:54) 2-T.Bass 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q3 19:28) — (4:28) 22-D.Henry left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q3 19:23) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the TEN 1 (Q3 15:31) — (:31) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 89-T.Sweeney for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills registered a safety from the TEN 2 (Q3 15:27) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 88-D.Knox pass to 17-J.Allen is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..

The fourth quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 10–0. Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the BUF 20 (Q4 9:49) — (9:49) 14-R.Bullock 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the BUF 13 (Q4 3:10) — (3:10) 22-D.Henry left tackle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 3:05) — 14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Buffalo Bills (Q4 0:22) — (:22) 17-J.Allen up the middle to TEN 3 for no gain (98-J.Simmons). [WPA -38.4% · EPA -3.45]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 35:04) — (5:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 20-Z.Moss INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard (96-D.Autry) [96-D.Autry] at BUF 27. 31-K.Byard to BUF 11 for 16 yards (79-S.Brown). [WPA -21.0% · EPA -5.84]
• Tennessee Titans (Q2 41:31) — (11:31) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.4% · EPA +6.01]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 16:48) — (1:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass incomplete deep right to 14-S.Diggs. PENALTY on TEN-39-B.Borders, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at TEN 44 - No Play. [WPA +17.0% · EPA +4.16]
• Tennessee Titans (Q4 4:35) — (4:35) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle to 15-N.Westbrook-Ikhine to BUF 22 for 8 yards (49-T.Edmunds). [WPA +16.0% · EPA +1.44]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Tennessee Titans (Q2 41:31) — (11:31) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.4% · EPA +6.01]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 35:04) — (5:04) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left intended for 20-Z.Moss INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard (96-D.Autry) [96-D.Autry] at BUF 27. 31-K.Byard to BUF 11 for 16 yards (79-S.Brown). [WPA -21.0% · EPA -5.84]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 30:47) — (:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 11-C.Beasley for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.6% · EPA +4.43]
• Tennessee Titans (Q1 46:12) — (1:12) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep middle intended for 2-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Poyer at BUF 35. 21-J.Poyer to TEN 48 for 17 yards (87-G.Swaim). [WPA -13.0% · EPA -4.36]

Quarterback report card

J.Allen led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 56 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +13.9% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +17.65 total EPA
• R.Tannehill (Tennessee Titans) · 31 dropbacks · 58.1% completion · +2.6% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +5.98 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Tennessee Titans held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.20 vs +0.14), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +13.08 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Tennessee Titans: 11 drives, +14.15 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Tennessee Titans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Allen (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 51:11 · TEN 5 · Score 3-0
   (6:11) 2-T.Bass 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
2. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 41:40 · TEN 10 · Score 6-0
   (11:40) 2-T.Bass 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
3. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 41:31 · BUF 76 · Score 6-6
   (11:31) 22-D.Henry up the middle for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 41:20 · BUF 15 · Score 6-7
   14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.
5. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 37:57 · TEN 14 · Score 12-7
   (7:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 14-S.Diggs for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 37:54 · TEN 15 · Score 13-7
   2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
7. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q2 35:09 · BUF 25 · Score 13-10
   (5:09) 14-R.Bullock 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.
8. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q2 34:28 · BUF 4 · Score 13-16
   (4:28) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q2 34:23 · BUF 15 · Score 13-17
   14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.
10. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 30:47 · TEN 29 · Score 19-17
    (:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 11-C.Beasley for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 30:40 · TEN 15 · Score 20-17
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
12. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 25:54 · TEN 34 · Score 23-17
    (10:54) 2-T.Bass 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
13. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q3 19:28 · BUF 3 · Score 23-23
    (4:28) 22-D.Henry left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q3 19:23 · BUF 15 · Score 23-24
    14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.
15. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 15:31 · TEN 1 · Score 29-24
    (:31) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 89-T.Sweeney for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Buffalo Bills Safety (+2) — Q3 15:27 · TEN 2 · Score 31-24
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 88-D.Knox pass to 17-J.Allen is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
17. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q4 9:49 · BUF 20 · Score 31-27
    (9:49) 14-R.Bullock 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.
18. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q4 3:10 · BUF 13 · Score 31-33
    (3:10) 22-D.Henry left tackle for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q4 3:05 · BUF 15 · Score 31-34
    14-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-8-J.Townsend.