FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 1 · September 8, 2019 · 10 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets: 2019 Week 1 Recap

Bills defeat Jets 17–16 in Week 1

Ji'Ayir Brown led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 17–16 Week 1 finish.

Buffalo Bills 17 1–0 Winner
Final 17–16
New York Jets 16 0–1
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
17–16
Top passer
Sam Darnold
FantasyHQ MVP
Ji'Ayir Brown
Game date
September 8, 2019

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Ji'Ayir Brown
    Ji'Ayir Brown 7 REC · 123 YDS · 1 TD +10.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Devin Singletary
    Devin Singletary 4 CAR · 70 YDS +5.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Tommy Sweeney
    Tommy Sweeney 2 REC · 35 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • Jamison Crowder
    Jamison Crowder 14 REC · 99 YDS +5.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Levi Bell 6 REC · 32 YDS · 1 TD +3.5 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Bellamy 1 REC · 15 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the New York Jets 17–16 in Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-09-08, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-27.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when New York Jets swung the momentum.

In Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-09-08, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 17–16 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

S. Darnold (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -4.60 total EPA, and -1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Brown (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.04 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-27.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (:08) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-Ro.Anderson to NYJ 33 for 8 yards. Lateral to 81-Q.Enunwa to NYJ 35 for 2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-93-T.Murphy at NYJ 21. 93-T.Murphy to NYJ

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills03140017
New York Jets61800016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Brown · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +10.04 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Singletary · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +5.46 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Crowder · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.02 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  4. 4 L. Bell · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.48 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Sweeney · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.58 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.29 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Bellamy · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.14 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
  7. 7 P. DiMarco · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · -0.15 total EPA · 2 snaps · -0.08 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Crowder · New York Jets · Rushing · -0.33 total EPA · 1 snaps · -0.33 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Brown — BUF · Receiving

J. Brown posted the highest total EPA (+10.04) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 10 counted snaps, they averaged +1.00 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.97 EPA) came from Buffalo Bills: (10:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 10-C.Beasley INTERCEPTED by 57-C.Mosley at BUF 17. 57-C.Mosley for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New York Jets — C. Mosley (Q1 55:42)
  • New York Jets — L. Bell (S. Darnold pass) (Q3 22:06)
  • Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q4 10:27)
  • Buffalo Bills — J. Brown (J. Allen pass) (Q4 3:07)

Field goals

  • Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q3 18:52)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Jets won the period 6–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the NYJ 88 (Q1 55:42).

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 18–3. New York Jets registered a safety from the NYJ 98 (Q3 27:01) — (12:01) 20-F.Gore left guard tackled in End Zone for -2 yards, SAFETY (34-B.Poole, 48-J.Jenkins).; New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 9 (Q3 22:06) — (7:06) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 26-L.Bell for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets registered a safety from the BUF 2 (Q3 22:01) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 14-S.Darnold pass to 26-L.Bell is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; New York Jets found the end zone from the NYJ 75 (Q3 22:01); Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 25 (Q3 18:52) — (3:52) 4-S.Hauschka 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 3 (Q4 10:27) — (10:27) 17-J.Allen scrambles right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 10:21) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 38 (Q4 3:07); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 3:00) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • New York Jets (Q4 0:08) — (:08) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 11-Ro.Anderson to NYJ 33 for 8 yards. Lateral to 81-Q.Enunwa to NYJ 35 for 2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-93-T.Murphy at NYJ 21. 93-T.Murphy to NYJ [WPA -27.6% · EPA -0.04]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 3:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 15-J.Brown for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-L.Williams]. Penalty on NYJ-27-D.Roberts, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +26.6% · EPA +4.59]
  • New York Jets (Q4 1:17) — (1:17) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep right to 82-J.Crowder (55-J.Hughes). Penalty on NYJ-68-K.Beachum, Offensive Holding, declined. [WPA -24.7% · EPA -2.59]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 57:11) — (12:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at NYJ 33 for -7 yards (48-J.Jenkins). FUMBLES (48-J.Jenkins) [48-J.Jenkins], RECOVERED by NYJ-99-S.McLendon at NYJ 38. 99-S.McLendon to NYJ 38 for no gain (76-J.Fe [WPA -17.5% · EPA -6.07]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 55:42) — (10:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 10-C.Beasley INTERCEPTED by 57-C.Mosley at BUF 17. 57-C.Mosley for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -16.5% · EPA -6.97]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 55:42) — (10:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 10-C.Beasley INTERCEPTED by 57-C.Mosley at BUF 17. 57-C.Mosley for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -16.5% · EPA -6.97]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 57:11) — (12:11) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen sacked at NYJ 33 for -7 yards (48-J.Jenkins). FUMBLES (48-J.Jenkins) [48-J.Jenkins], RECOVERED by NYJ-99-S.McLendon at NYJ 38. 99-S.McLendon to NYJ 38 for no gain (76-J.Fe [WPA -17.5% · EPA -6.07]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 3:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 15-J.Brown for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-L.Williams]. Penalty on NYJ-27-D.Roberts, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA +26.6% · EPA +4.59]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 31:06) — (1:06) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right intended for 11-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 46-N.Hewitt (44-H.Langi) at NYJ 48. 46-N.Hewitt to BUF 48 for 4 yards (11-Z.Jones). [WPA -7.9% · EPA -3.86]

Quarterback report card

S.Darnold led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • S.Darnold (New York Jets) · 48 dropbacks · 58.3% completion · -1.9% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -4.60 total EPA
  • J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 47 dropbacks · 51.1% completion · +2.8% CPOE · -0.11 EPA/play · -5.29 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsNew York Jets
Offensive EPA/play-0.080-0.118
Offensive success rate49.4%41.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.113-0.096
Rush EPA/play-0.043-0.221
Defensive EPA/play+0.118+0.080
Defensive success rate58.6%50.6%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Buffalo Bills -0.08, New York Jets -0.12) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, -6.34 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 13 drives, -10.26 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • J. Brown (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 55:42 · NYJ 88 · Score 0-6
    (10:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 10-C.Beasley INTERCEPTED by 57-C.Mosley at BUF 17. 57-C.Mosley for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. New York Jets Safety (+2) — Q3 27:01 · NYJ 98 · Score 0-8
    (12:01) 20-F.Gore left guard tackled in End Zone for -2 yards, SAFETY (34-B.Poole, 48-J.Jenkins).
  3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 22:06 · BUF 9 · Score 0-14
    (7:06) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short left to 26-L.Bell for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. New York Jets Safety (+2) — Q3 22:01 · BUF 2 · Score 0-16
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 14-S.Darnold pass to 26-L.Bell is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  5. New York Jets TD (+8) — Q3 22:01 · NYJ 75 · Score 0-16
    (7:01) 20-F.Gore right guard to BUF 26 for 1 yard (46-N.Hewitt). PENALTY on NYJ-92-L.Williams, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 26.
  6. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 18:52 · NYJ 25 · Score 3-16
    (3:52) 4-S.Hauschka 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
  7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 10:27 · NYJ 3 · Score 9-16
    (10:27) 17-J.Allen scrambles right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 10:21 · NYJ 15 · Score 10-16
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
  9. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 3:07 · NYJ 38 · Score 16-16
    (3:07) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 15-J.Brown for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-L.Williams]. Penalty on NYJ-27-D.Roberts, Defensive Pass Interference, decl
  10. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 3:00 · NYJ 15 · Score 17-16
    4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New York Jets 17-16 in Week 1, 2019 on 2019-09-08.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 17, New York Jets 16 (BUF 17-16 NYJ) in Week 1, 2019 on 2019-09-08.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 0, New York Jets 6; Q3: Buffalo Bills 3, New York Jets 18; Q4: Buffalo Bills 14, New York Jets 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 17, New York Jets 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

New York Jets touchdown — C. Mosley (Q1 55:42) New York Jets touchdown — L. Bell (S. Darnold pass) (Q3 22:06) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Allen (Q4 10:27) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Brown (J. Allen pass) (Q4 3:07) Buffalo Bills field goal — S. Hauschka (Q3 18:52, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

S. Darnold (New York Jets), 58.3% completion, -1.9% CPOE, -0.10 EPA per dropback, -4.60 total passing EPA. J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 51.1% completion, +2.8% CPOE, -0.11 EPA per dropback, -5.29 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

J. Brown (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +10.04 on receiving plays. across 10 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.97 EPA): (10:42) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle intended for 10-C.Beasley INTERCEPTED by 57-C.Mosley at BUF 17. 57-C.Mosley for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -27.6%.

Was Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Buffalo Bills won 17-16 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Now 1-0 W

New York Jets

Now 0-1 L