Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets: 2014 Week 8 Recap

Game story

In Week 8 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-10-26, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 43–23 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 27 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Vick (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -10.01 total EPA, and -4.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Orton (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.72 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+14.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (13:26) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins to NYJ 5 for 84 yards (15-S.Hakim). BUF-10-R.Woods was injured during the play.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 K. Orton · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +9.72 total EPA · 23 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
2. 2 S. Watkins · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +8.98 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Amaro · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.65 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Woods · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.51 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Powell · New York Jets · Rushing · +2.15 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Chandler · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.85 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
7. 7 P. Harvin · New York Jets · Rushing · +1.77 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
8. 8 F. Summers · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.21 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — R. Woods (K. Orton pass) (Q1 54:42)
• Buffalo Bills — L. Smith (K. Orton pass) (Q1 49:40)
• New York Jets — C. Ivory (Q2 44:25)
• Buffalo Bills — F. Summers (Q2 41:56)
• New York Jets — C. Ivory (Q2 31:55)
• Buffalo Bills — S. Chandler (K. Orton pass) (Q4 14:16)
• Buffalo Bills — S. Watkins (K. Orton pass) (Q4 9:56)
• New York Jets — B. Powell (Q4 4:11)

Field goals

• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q2 36:21)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q2 30:04)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q3 23:34)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q3 16:18)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 22 (Q1 54:42) — (9:42) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 10-R.Woods for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 54:37) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q1 49:40) — (4:40) 75-C.Hairston reported in as eligible. 18-K.Orton pass short middle to 85-L.Smith for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 49:36) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The second quarter: New York Jets won the period 17–10. New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 2 (Q2 44:25) — (14:25) (Shotgun) 33-C.Ivory up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 44:22) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 2 (Q2 41:56) — (11:56) 38-F.Summers up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 41:50) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 35 (Q2 36:21) — (6:21) 2-D.Carpenter 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 2 (Q2 31:55) — (1:55) 33-C.Ivory right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 31:50) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 37 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 2-N.Folk 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 6–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 18 (Q3 23:34) — (8:34) 2-D.Carpenter 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 11 (Q3 16:18) — (1:18) 2-D.Carpenter 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 13–6. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 12 (Q4 14:16) — (14:16) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short middle to 84-S.Chandler for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 14:11) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 61 (Q4 9:56) — (9:56) 18-K.Orton pass short left to 14-S.Watkins for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q4 4:11) — (4:11) 29-B.Powell right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Buffalo Bills (Q2 43:26) — (13:26) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins to NYJ 5 for 84 yards (15-S.Hakim). BUF-10-R.Woods was injured during the play. [WPA +14.5% · EPA +6.83]
• New York Jets (Q1 49:49) — (4:49) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 23-A.Williams at NYJ 27. 23-A.Williams to NYJ 1 for 26 yards (7-G.Smith). FUMBLES (7-G.Smith), ball out of bounds at N [WPA -11.3% · EPA -6.00]
• New York Jets (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 2-N.Folk 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley. [WPA +8.8% · EPA +1.39]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 54:42) — (9:42) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 10-R.Woods for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.4% · EPA +3.47]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 24:19) — (9:19) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short left to 14-S.Watkins to NYJ 18 for 12 yards (30-D.Walls) [58-J.Babin]. [WPA +7.3% · EPA +0.24]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Buffalo Bills (Q2 43:26) — (13:26) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins to NYJ 5 for 84 yards (15-S.Hakim). BUF-10-R.Woods was injured during the play. [WPA +14.5% · EPA +6.83]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 9:56) — (9:56) 18-K.Orton pass short left to 14-S.Watkins for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.4% · EPA +6.08]
• New York Jets (Q1 49:49) — (4:49) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep left intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 23-A.Williams at NYJ 27. 23-A.Williams to NYJ 1 for 26 yards (7-G.Smith). FUMBLES (7-G.Smith), ball out of bounds at N [WPA -11.3% · EPA -6.00]
• New York Jets (Q3 17:43) — (2:43) (Shotgun) 1-M.Vick sacked at NYJ 10 for -4 yards (97-C.Bryant). FUMBLES (97-C.Bryant), RECOVERED by BUF-96-S.Charles at NYJ 10. 96-S.Charles to NYJ 10 for no gain (74-N.Mangold). [WPA -6.6% · EPA -4.81]

Quarterback report card

M.Vick led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Vick (New York Jets) · 45 dropbacks · 40.0% completion · -4.6% CPOE · -0.22 EPA/play · -10.01 total EPA
• K.Orton (Buffalo Bills) · 23 dropbacks · 43.5% completion · +3.2% CPOE · +0.42 EPA/play · +9.72 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.24), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Buffalo Bills: 15 drives, +1.51 total EPA, 8 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 15 drives, -24.83 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• K. Orton (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Vick (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• K. Orton (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 54:42 · NYJ 22 · Score 6-0
   (9:42) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep right to 10-R.Woods for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 54:37 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-0
   2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
3. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 49:40 · NYJ 1 · Score 13-0
   (4:40) 75-C.Hairston reported in as eligible. 18-K.Orton pass short middle to 85-L.Smith for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 49:36 · NYJ 2 · Score 14-0
   2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
5. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 44:25 · BUF 2 · Score 14-6
   (14:25) (Shotgun) 33-C.Ivory up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 44:22 · BUF 2 · Score 14-7
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 41:56 · NYJ 2 · Score 20-7
   (11:56) 38-F.Summers up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 41:50 · NYJ 2 · Score 21-7
   2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
9. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 36:21 · NYJ 35 · Score 24-7
   (6:21) 2-D.Carpenter 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
10. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q2 31:55 · BUF 2 · Score 24-13
    (1:55) 33-C.Ivory right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q2 31:50 · BUF 2 · Score 24-14
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
12. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · BUF 37 · Score 24-17
    (:04) 2-N.Folk 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
13. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 23:34 · NYJ 18 · Score 27-17
    (8:34) 2-D.Carpenter 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
14. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 16:18 · NYJ 11 · Score 30-17
    (1:18) 2-D.Carpenter 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
15. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 14:16 · NYJ 12 · Score 36-17
    (14:16) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short middle to 84-S.Chandler for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 14:11 · NYJ 2 · Score 37-17
    2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
17. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 9:56 · NYJ 61 · Score 43-17
    (9:56) 18-K.Orton pass short left to 14-S.Watkins for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 4:11 · BUF 3 · Score 43-23
    (4:11) 29-B.Powell right tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.