FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 10, 2006 · 11 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets: 2006 Week 14 Recap

Bills defeat Jets 31–13 in Week 14

L.Evans led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 31–13 Week 14 finish.

Buffalo Bills 31 6–7 Winner
Final 31–13
New York Jets 13 7–6
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
31–13
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 21–13 New York Jets
Top passer
C. Pennington
FantasyHQ MVP
L.Evans
Game date
December 10, 2006

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • L.Evans 2 REC · 91 YDS · 1 TD +8.3 Fantasy Impact
  • W.McGahee 16 CAR · 125 YDS · 1 TD +7.4 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Losman 10/18 · 144 YDS · 2 TD +5.7 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • L.Coles 4 REC · 67 YDS · 1 TD +6.8 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Cotchery 5 REC · 37 YDS +3.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Luquay Washington 7 CAR · 55 YDS +3.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the New York Jets 31–13 in Week 14 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-12-10, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+23.0% win probability) came in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-12-10, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 31–13 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Pennington (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -18.00 total EPA, and -6.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.26 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+23.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (4:59) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Buffalo Bills71473031
New York Jets7600013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +8.26 total EPA · 2 snaps · +4.13 EPA/play
  2. 2 W. McGahee · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +7.39 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
  3. 3 L. Coles · New York Jets · Receiving · +6.82 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.71 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Losman · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +5.70 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Cotchery · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.72 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  6. 6 L. Washington · New York Jets · Rushing · +3.12 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Thomas · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.25 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
  8. 8 R. Royal · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.98 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.99 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

L. Evans — BUF · Receiving

L. Evans posted the highest total EPA (+8.26) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 2 counted snaps, they averaged +4.13 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.12 EPA) came from New York Jets: (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 89-J.Cotchery INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at BUF 42. 22-N.Clements for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — W. McGahee (Q1 49:33)
  • New York Jets — L. Coles (C. Pennington pass) (Q1 46:14)
  • Buffalo Bills — L. Evans (J. Losman pass) (Q2 34:59)
  • Buffalo Bills — N. Clements (Q2 32:00)
  • Buffalo Bills — R. Royal (J. Losman pass) (Q3 17:05)

Field goals

  • New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q2 41:02)
  • New York Jets — M. Nugent (Q2 30:06)
  • Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q4 8:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 57 (Q1 49:33) — (4:33) 21-W.McGahee left end for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q1 49:22) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 10 (Q1 46:14); New York Jets added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q1 46:08) — 1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–6. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 12 (Q2 41:02) — (11:02) 1-M.Nugent 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 77 (Q2 34:59) — (4:59) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 34:47) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 54 (Q2 32:00); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 31:47) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 20 (Q2 30:06) — (:06) 1-M.Nugent 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 6 (Q3 17:05) — (2:05) 7-J.Losman pass short left to 84-R.Royal for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 16:58) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 16 (Q4 8:04) — (8:04) 9-R.Lindell 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 34:59) — (4:59) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +23.0% · EPA +7.23]
  • New York Jets (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 89-J.Cotchery INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at BUF 42. 22-N.Clements for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -19.4% · EPA -8.12]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 49:33) — (4:33) 21-W.McGahee left end for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.1% · EPA +5.77]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 44:26) — (14:26) 28-A.Thomas right tackle to BUF 26 for 4 yards (22-J.Miller, 42-R.Washington). FUMBLES (22-J.Miller), RECOVERED by NYJ-22-J.Miller at BUF 26. 22-J.Miller to BUF 26 for no gain (28-A.Thomas). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -3.53]
  • New York Jets (Q3 18:38) — (3:38) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington sacked at NYJ 20 for -8 yards (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), RECOVERED by BUF-92-R.Denney at NYJ 18. [WPA -10.1% · EPA -5.50]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New York Jets (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 89-J.Cotchery INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at BUF 42. 22-N.Clements for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -19.4% · EPA -8.12]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 34:59) — (4:59) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +23.0% · EPA +7.23]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 49:33) — (4:33) 21-W.McGahee left end for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.1% · EPA +5.77]
  • New York Jets (Q3 18:38) — (3:38) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington sacked at NYJ 20 for -8 yards (94-A.Schobel). FUMBLES (94-A.Schobel), RECOVERED by BUF-92-R.Denney at NYJ 18. [WPA -10.1% · EPA -5.50]

Quarterback report card

C.Pennington led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • C.Pennington (New York Jets) · 40 dropbacks · 55.0% completion · -6.5% CPOE · -0.45 EPA/play · -18.00 total EPA
  • J.Losman (Buffalo Bills) · 18 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · +5.4% CPOE · +0.32 EPA/play · +5.70 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsNew York Jets
Offensive EPA/play+0.024-0.232
Offensive success rate47.1%43.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.317-0.528
Rush EPA/play-0.045-0.079
Defensive EPA/play+0.232-0.024
Defensive success rate56.3%52.9%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.23), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Buffalo Bills: 14 drives, +1.71 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 13 drives, -20.20 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Pennington (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • J. Losman (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 49:33 · NYJ 57 · Score 6-0
    (4:33) 21-W.McGahee left end for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 49:22 · NYJ 2 · Score 7-0
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 46:14 · BUF 10 · Score 7-6
    (1:14) (No Huddle) 10-C.Pennington pass short middle to 87-L.Coles for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-30-K.Simpson, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
  4. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 46:08 · BUF 2 · Score 7-7
    1-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
  5. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 41:02 · BUF 12 · Score 7-10
    (11:02) 1-M.Nugent 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
  6. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 34:59 · NYJ 77 · Score 13-10
    (4:59) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 34:47 · NYJ 2 · Score 14-10
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  8. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · BUF 54 · Score 20-10
    (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 89-J.Cotchery INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at BUF 42. 22-N.Clements for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 31:47 · NYJ 2 · Score 21-10
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 30:06 · BUF 20 · Score 21-13
    (:06) 1-M.Nugent 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-7-B.Graham.
  11. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 17:05 · NYJ 6 · Score 27-13
    (2:05) 7-J.Losman pass short left to 84-R.Royal for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 16:58 · NYJ 2 · Score 28-13
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  13. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 8:04 · NYJ 16 · Score 31-13
    (8:04) 9-R.Lindell 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New York Jets 31-13 in Week 14, 2006 on 2006-12-10.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 31, New York Jets 13 (BUF 31-13 NYJ) in Week 14, 2006 on 2006-12-10.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 7, New York Jets 7; Q2: Buffalo Bills 14, New York Jets 6; Q3: Buffalo Bills 7, New York Jets 0; Q4: Buffalo Bills 3, New York Jets 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 31, New York Jets 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — W. McGahee (Q1 49:33) New York Jets touchdown — L. Coles (C. Pennington pass) (Q1 46:14) Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. Evans (J. Losman pass) (Q2 34:59) Buffalo Bills touchdown — N. Clements (Q2 32:00) Buffalo Bills touchdown — R. Royal (J. Losman pass) (Q3 17:05) New York Jets field goal — M. Nugent (Q2 41:02, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — M. Nugent (Q2 30:06, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q4 8:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

C. Pennington (New York Jets), 55.0% completion, -6.5% CPOE, -0.45 EPA per dropback, -18.00 total passing EPA. J. Losman (Buffalo Bills), 55.6% completion, +5.4% CPOE, +0.32 EPA per dropback, +5.70 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +8.26 on receiving plays. across 2 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.12 EPA): (2:00) (Shotgun) 10-C.Pennington pass intended for 89-J.Cotchery INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at BUF 42. 22-N.Clements for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +23.0%.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 5-7 Now 6-7 W

New York Jets

Entered 7-5 Now 7-6 L