Game story
In Week 4 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-02, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the New England Patriots, pulling away with a 16–0 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 7 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with +10.76 total EPA, and +7.6% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+8.1% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (5:35) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short right to 25-L.McCoy for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| New England Patriots | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 T. Taylor · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +10.76 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
- 2 R. Woods · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +7.51 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
- 3 M. Bennett · New England Patriots · Receiving · +6.64 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
- 4 L. McCoy · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +5.00 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
- 5 J. White · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.75 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
- 6 N. O'Leary · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.51 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
- 7 W. Powell · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.27 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
- 8 T. Taylor · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +0.93 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
T. Taylor — BUF · Passing
T. Taylor posted the highest total EPA (+10.76) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 45 counted snaps, they averaged +0.24 EPA per play.
The signature play (-3.94 EPA) came from Buffalo Bills: (7:20) 2-D.Carpenter 47 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Buffalo Bills — L. McCoy (T. Taylor pass)
Field goals
- Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter
- Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter
- Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NE 7 (Q1 50:35) — (5:35) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short right to 25-L.McCoy for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NE 15 (Q1 50:31) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..
The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 6–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NE 16 (Q2 44:53) — (14:53) 2-D.Carpenter 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NE 24 (Q2 37:51) — (7:51) 2-D.Carpenter 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..
The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 3–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NE 26 (Q3 15:33) — (:33) 2-D.Carpenter 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Buffalo Bills (Q1 50:35) — (5:35) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short right to 25-L.McCoy for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- New England Patriots (Q2 37:46) — (7:46) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 88-M.Bennett to BUF 17 for 58 yards (28-R.Darby). NE 88-Bennett longest reception of his career.
- Buffalo Bills (Q2 40:58) — (10:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass deep right to 84-N.O'Leary ran ob at BUF 46 for 17 yards.
- Buffalo Bills (Q1 56:06) — (11:06) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short middle to 25-L.McCoy to NE 36 for 13 yards (26-L.Ryan).
- New England Patriots (Q2 35:11) — (5:11) 7-J.Brissett scrambles left guard to BUF 10 for 8 yards (53-Z.Brown). FUMBLES (53-Z.Brown), RECOVERED by BUF-52-P.Brown at BUF 9. 52-P.Brown to BUF 9 for no gain (61-M.Cannon).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 22:20) — (7:20) 2-D.Carpenter 47 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
- New England Patriots (Q2 37:46) — (7:46) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass deep right to 88-M.Bennett to BUF 17 for 58 yards (28-R.Darby). NE 88-Bennett longest reception of his career.
- New England Patriots (Q2 35:11) — (5:11) 7-J.Brissett scrambles left guard to BUF 10 for 8 yards (53-Z.Brown). FUMBLES (53-Z.Brown), RECOVERED by BUF-52-P.Brown at BUF 9. 52-P.Brown to BUF 9 for no gain (61-M.Cannon).
- New England Patriots (Q4 2:51) — (2:51) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett pass incomplete short right to 87-R.Gronkowski (23-A.Williams).
Quarterback report card
T.Taylor led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- T.Taylor (Buffalo Bills) · 45 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +7.6% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +10.76 total EPA
- J.Brissett (New England Patriots) · 35 dropbacks · 48.6% completion · +1.8% CPOE · -0.21 EPA/play · -7.30 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Buffalo Bills | New England Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.055 | -0.243 |
| Offensive success rate | 44.9% | 27.8% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.239 | -0.209 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.099 | -0.297 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.243 | -0.055 |
| Defensive success rate | 72.2% | 55.1% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.24), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Buffalo Bills: 9 drives, +4.93 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- New England Patriots: 10 drives, -17.47 total EPA, 0 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- T. Taylor (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 50:35 · NE 7 · Score 6-0
(5:35) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short right to 25-L.McCoy for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 50:31 · NE 15 · Score 7-0
2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 44:53 · NE 16 · Score 10-0
(14:53) 2-D.Carpenter 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 37:51 · NE 24 · Score 13-0
(7:51) 2-D.Carpenter 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt. - Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 15:33 · NE 26 · Score 16-0
(:33) 2-D.Carpenter 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots 16-0 in Week 4, 2016 on 2016-10-02.
What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
The final score was Buffalo Bills 16, New England Patriots 0 (BUF 16-0 NE) in Week 4, 2016 on 2016-10-02.
What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
Q1: Buffalo Bills 7, New England Patriots 0; Q2: Buffalo Bills 6, New England Patriots 0; Q3: Buffalo Bills 3, New England Patriots 0; Final: Buffalo Bills 16, New England Patriots 0.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. McCoy (T. Taylor pass) (Q1 50:35) Buffalo Bills field goal — D. Carpenter (Q2 44:53, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — D. Carpenter (Q2 37:51, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — D. Carpenter (Q3 15:33, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills), 60.0% completion, +7.6% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +10.76 total passing EPA. J. Brissett (New England Patriots), 48.6% completion, +1.8% CPOE, -0.21 EPA per dropback, -7.30 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots?
T. Taylor (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +10.76 on passing plays. across 45 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-3.94 EPA): (7:20) 2-D.Carpenter 47 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-C.Schmidt.. The biggest win-probability swing was +8.1%.
Season records after this game
Buffalo Bills
Entered 1-2 Now 2-2 W
New England Patriots
Entered 3-0 Now 3-1 L
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