Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots: 2004 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-11-14, the New England Patriots took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 29–6 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Brady (New England Patriots) paced the passing game, with +6.84 total EPA.

On the individual side, T. Brady (New England Patriots) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.84 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+10.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when New England Patriots changed the game: (13:46) 12-T.Brady pass to 81-B.Johnson to BUF 26 for 47 yards (43-I.Reese). Penalty on BUF-22-N.Clements, Illegal Contact, declined.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Brady · New England Patriots · Passing · +6.84 total EPA · 39 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
2. 2 D. Patten · New England Patriots · Receiving · +6.04 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.01 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Givens · New England Patriots · Receiving · +5.60 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
4. 4 B. Johnson · New England Patriots · Receiving · +3.96 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.96 EPA/play
5. 5 E. Moulds · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.92 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Brown · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.93 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.46 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Fauria · New England Patriots · Receiving · +2.79 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.79 EPA/play
8. 8 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New England Patriots — D. Patten (T. Brady pass) (Q2 34:02)
• New England Patriots — C. Fauria (T. Brady pass) (Q2 30:38)
• Buffalo Bills — J. Smith (Q3 17:49)

Field goals

• New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q1 49:24)
• New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q2 40:38)
• New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q3 24:12)
• New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q4 15:00)
• New England Patriots — A. Vinatieri (Q4 4:45)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New England Patriots won the period 3–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 9 (Q1 49:24) — (4:24) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller..

The second quarter: New England Patriots won the period 17–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 6 (Q2 40:38) — (10:38) 4-A.Vinatieri 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.; New England Patriots found the end zone from the BUF 13 (Q2 34:02) — (4:02) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-D.Patten for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 33:56); New England Patriots found the end zone from the BUF 5 (Q2 30:38) — (:38) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New England Patriots added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 30:35) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 6–3. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 2 (Q3 24:12) — (9:12) 4-A.Vinatieri 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 72 (Q3 17:49) — (2:49) 8-Jo.Miller punts 42 yards to BUF 30, Center-66-L.Paxton. 19-J.Smith for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: New England Patriots won the period 6–0. New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 27 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 4-A.Vinatieri 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.; New England Patriots connected on a field goal from the BUF 20 (Q4 4:45) — (4:45) 4-A.Vinatieri 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New England Patriots (Q2 43:46) — (13:46) 12-T.Brady pass to 81-B.Johnson to BUF 26 for 47 yards (43-I.Reese). Penalty on BUF-22-N.Clements, Illegal Contact, declined. [WPA +10.2% · EPA +3.96]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 45:17) — (:17) 11-D.Bledsoe pass intended for 80-E.Moulds INTERCEPTED by 26-E.Wilson at NE 3. 26-E.Wilson to NE 3 for no gain (80-E.Moulds). [WPA -9.0% · EPA -1.85]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 47:51) — (2:51) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NE-42-D.Reid, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 38 - No Play. [WPA +7.3% · EPA +2.20]
• New England Patriots (Q2 34:02) — (4:02) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-D.Patten for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.0% · EPA +3.37]
• New England Patriots (Q1 53:08) — (8:08) 33-K.Faulk right guard to BUF 35 for 15 yards (96-J.Posey). [WPA +6.2% · EPA +1.28]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New England Patriots (Q3 17:49) — (2:49) 8-Jo.Miller punts 42 yards to BUF 30, Center-66-L.Paxton. 19-J.Smith for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -2.3% · EPA -6.05]
• New England Patriots (Q4 13:17) — (13:17) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass intended for 81-B.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 22-N.Clements at BUF 17. 22-N.Clements to NE 48 for 35 yards (12-T.Brady). [WPA -1.0% · EPA -5.50]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 14:05) — (14:05) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass intended for 80-E.Moulds INTERCEPTED by 80-T.Brown at BUF 40. 80-T.Brown to BUF 23 for 17 yards (80-E.Moulds). 1st NFL interception. [WPA -1.2% · EPA -5.40]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 32:24) — (2:24) 11-D.Bledsoe pass intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 54-T.Bruschi at NE 44. 54-T.Bruschi to BUF 27 for 29 yards (58-C.Villarrial). [WPA -5.4% · EPA -4.44]

Quarterback report card

T.Brady led all passers in efficiency for New England Patriots, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Brady (New England Patriots) · 39 dropbacks · 48.7% completion · +0.18 EPA/play · +6.84 total EPA
• D.Bledsoe (Buffalo Bills) · 22 dropbacks · 36.4% completion · -0.79 EPA/play · -17.43 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New England Patriots held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.01 vs -0.36), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Buffalo Bills: 13 drives, -20.80 total EPA, 0 scoring drives
• New England Patriots: 13 drives, +1.00 total EPA, 8 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New England Patriots leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Brady (New England Patriots) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q1 49:24 · BUF 9 · Score 0-3
   (4:24) 4-A.Vinatieri 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
2. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q2 40:38 · BUF 6 · Score 0-6
   (10:38) 4-A.Vinatieri 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
3. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 34:02 · BUF 13 · Score 0-12
   (4:02) 12-T.Brady pass to 86-D.Patten for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 33:56 · BUF 2 · Score 0-13
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller. Career point 1000 for Vinatieri, 2nd Patriot ever with 1000 career points (Gino Cappe
5. New England Patriots TD (+6) — Q2 30:38 · BUF 5 · Score 0-19
   (:38) 12-T.Brady pass to 88-C.Fauria for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. New England Patriots XP (+1) — Q2 30:35 · BUF 2 · Score 0-20
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
7. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q3 24:12 · BUF 2 · Score 0-23
   (9:12) 4-A.Vinatieri 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
8. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 17:49 · BUF 72 · Score 6-23
   (2:49) 8-Jo.Miller punts 42 yards to BUF 30, Center-66-L.Paxton. 19-J.Smith for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 15:00 · BUF 27 · Score 6-26
   (15:00) 4-A.Vinatieri 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.
10. New England Patriots FG (+3) — Q4 4:45 · BUF 20 · Score 6-29
    (4:45) 4-A.Vinatieri 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-8-Jo.Miller.